2018-10-17 12:33:00 Wed ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
The Trump administration blames China for egregious currency misalignment, but this criticism cannot confirm *currency manipulation* on the part of the Chinese Xi administration. As President Trump remains eager to continue the Sino-U.S. trade war, the U.S. Treasury releases its biennial currency exchange report that criticizes the Chinese trade and currency practices. However, this report cannot conclude that the Chinese government improperly devalues its renminbi currency in order to improve competitive export prices.
If U.S. Treasury categorizes China as a currency manipulator, this decision would inadvertently ratchet up substantial trade tension between America and China. For technical reasons, the status quo remains the same. As the Chinese government continues to constrain its direct intervention in the foreign exchange market, there is minimal evidence of currency manipulation in China. At best, the recent Chinese renminbi devaluation amounts to transient currency misalignment.
On the other hand, the Trump administration begins to conduct bilateral trade pacts with former Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) members in order to contain China's economic prowess. As the Trump administration revives trade talks with 11 Asian countries, Britain, and European Union, this bilateral tactic better prepares for the next round of Sino-American trade negotiations soon after the mid-term elections.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-02-11 09:37:00 Monday ET

Corporate America uses Trump tax cuts and offshore cash stockpiles primarily to fund share repurchases for better stock market valuation. Share repurchases
2025-07-12 11:35:00 Saturday ET

Mitch Anthony explains why it is now more important for top sales leaders to apply social skills and emotional competences to fulfill customer needs, wants,
2017-10-09 09:34:00 Monday ET

The current Trump stock market rally has been impressive from November 2016 to October 2017. S&P 500 has risen by 21.1% since the 2016 presidential elec
2023-12-03 11:33:00 Sunday ET

Macro innovations and asset alphas show significant mutual causation. April 2023 This brief article draws from the recent research publicati
2018-10-09 08:40:00 Tuesday ET

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) appoints Harvard professor Gita Gopinath as its chief economist. Gopinath follows her PhD advisor and trailblazer Kenn
2018-10-25 10:36:00 Thursday ET

Trump tariffs begin to bite U.S. corporate profits from Ford and Harley-Davidson to Caterpillar and Walmart etc. U.S. corporate profit growth remains high a