2018-10-17 12:33:00 Wed ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
The Trump administration blames China for egregious currency misalignment, but this criticism cannot confirm *currency manipulation* on the part of the Chinese Xi administration. As President Trump remains eager to continue the Sino-U.S. trade war, the U.S. Treasury releases its biennial currency exchange report that criticizes the Chinese trade and currency practices. However, this report cannot conclude that the Chinese government improperly devalues its renminbi currency in order to improve competitive export prices.
If U.S. Treasury categorizes China as a currency manipulator, this decision would inadvertently ratchet up substantial trade tension between America and China. For technical reasons, the status quo remains the same. As the Chinese government continues to constrain its direct intervention in the foreign exchange market, there is minimal evidence of currency manipulation in China. At best, the recent Chinese renminbi devaluation amounts to transient currency misalignment.
On the other hand, the Trump administration begins to conduct bilateral trade pacts with former Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) members in order to contain China's economic prowess. As the Trump administration revives trade talks with 11 Asian countries, Britain, and European Union, this bilateral tactic better prepares for the next round of Sino-American trade negotiations soon after the mid-term elections.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-02-28 20:44:00 Thursday ET

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube February 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of February 2019: (1) our proprieta
2019-06-23 08:30:00 Sunday ET

The financial crisis of 2008-2009 affects many millennials as they bear the primary costs of college tuition, residential demand, health care, and childcare
2020-11-10 07:25:00 Tuesday ET

The McKinsey edge reflects the collective wisdom of key success principles in business management consultancy. Shu Hattori (2015) The McKins
2019-11-19 09:33:00 Tuesday ET

American unemployment declines to the 50-year historical low level of 3.5% with moderate job growth. Despite a sharp slowdown in U.S. services and utilities
2023-04-28 16:38:00 Friday ET

Peter Schuck analyzes U.S. government failures and structural problems in light of both institutions and incentives. Peter Schuck (2015) Why
2020-05-07 08:26:00 Thursday ET

Disruptive innovators often apply their 5 major pragmatic skills in new blue-ocean niche discovery and market share dominance. Jeff Dyer, Hal Gregersen,