2019-11-15 13:34:00 Fri ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
The Economist offers a special report that the new normal state of economic affairs shines fresh light on the division of labor between central banks and governments. The recent U.S. economic outlook combines full employment with low inflation, and this rare combination accords with the Federal Reserve dual mandate of maximum sustainable employment and price stabilization. The New Keynesian Phillips Curve becomes flat in recent times, and there is no inexorable trade-off between inflation and unemployment. The U.S. unemployment rate reaches 3.5% or the lowest level since 1969. The core inflation rate hovers in the range of 1.5%-1.7% or well below the 2% target inflation rate. On the one hand, the Federal Reserve may continue to reduce the interest rate to help sustain the U.S. economic expansion and stock market rally in response to a vocal president.
On the other hand, the dovish interest rate cuts suggest that the U.S. central bank may have fewer monetary policy levers to cope with the next economic recession. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury continues to offer Americans fiscal stimulus packages in the generic form of both tax incentives and infrastructure expenditures. Whether fiscal deficits can cause higher inflation remains a major economic policy concern.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2023-04-21 12:39:00 Friday ET

Angus Deaton analyzes the correlation between health and wealth in light of the economic origins of inequality worldwide. Angus Deaton (2015)
2023-03-21 11:28:00 Tuesday ET

Barry Eichengreen compares the Great Depression of the 1930s and the Great Recession as historical episodes of economic woes. Barry Eichengreen (2016)
2018-07-13 09:41:00 Friday ET

Yale economist Stephen Roach warns that America has much to lose from the current trade war with China for a few reasons. First, America is highly dependent
2017-12-14 12:41:00 Thursday ET

Federal Reserve raises the interest rate by 25 basis points to the target range of 1.25% to 1.5% as FOMC members revise up their GDP estimate from 2% to 2.5
2023-08-07 12:29:00 Monday ET

Oxford macro professor Stephen Nickell and his co-authors delve into the trade-off between inflation and unemployment in the dual mandate of price stability
2018-08-01 11:43:00 Wednesday ET

Apple becomes the first company to hit $1 trillion stock market valuation. The tech titan sells about the same number of smart phones or 41 million iPhones