2018-10-13 10:44:00 Sat ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Dow Jones tumbles 3% or 831 points while NASDAQ tanks 4%, and this negative investor sentiment rips through most European and Asian stock markets in early-October 2018. President Trump blames the Federal Reserve for its *crazy tight* interest rate hike. However, this criticism may not be the main trigger for bearish massive stock sell-off. The relentless Sino-American trade impasse remains on the radar for stock market investors. Also, the 10-year Treasury bond yield rises above 3%, and then many institutional investors switch from stock bets to Treasury bond purchases.
Due to these unforeseen circumstances, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) downgrades global economic growth from 3.9% to 3.7% as of October 2018. This latter downgrade seems to trigger ubiquitous investor panic that manifests in the recent surge of the CBOE volatility index (VIX) well beyond 22 points.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin views the severe bloodbath from S&P 500 to NASDAQ as a normal stock market correction. Mnuchin considers this widespread stock market correction as part of the healthy fundamental recalibration primarily for tech titans such as Facebook, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Netflix, and Twitter (FAMGANT). These tech titans exhibit prior stock market overvaluation in the interim period from late-2017 to early-2018.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2023-02-07 08:26:00 Tuesday ET
Michel De Vroey delves into the global history of macroeconomic theories from real business cycles to persistent monetary effects. Michel De Vroey (2016)
2019-05-30 16:44:00 Thursday ET
AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube May 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of May 2019: (1) Our proprietary alp
2019-07-09 15:14:00 Tuesday ET
The Chinese new star board launches for tech firms to list at home. The Nasdaq-equivalent new star board serves as a key avenue for Chinese tech companies t
2019-02-17 14:40:00 Sunday ET
U.S. economic inequality increases to pre-Great-Depression levels. U.C. Berkeley economics professor Gabriel Zucman empirically finds that the top 0.1% rich
2018-01-05 07:37:00 Friday ET
Warren Buffett cleverly points out that American children will not only be better off than their parents, but the former will also enjoy higher living stand
2018-07-01 08:34:00 Sunday ET
Are China and Russia etc gonna dethrone the petrodollar? Over the years, China, Russia, France, Germany, and Japan have made numerous attempts to use their