2017-03-27 06:33:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
The highly probable shrinkage of Fed's $4.5 billion balance sheet will phase out over the next few months before the next leadership transition.
This shrinkage accords with the Federal Reserve's likely interest rate hike later in 2017.
Targeting inflation at a little over 2% per annum, the Federal Reserve reacts to high stock market momentum with a more hawkish monetary policy stance.
Favorable macroeconomic data such as better industrial production growth and manufacturing job creation support the next interest rate increase.
In response, the U.S. greenback tends to appreciate while American economic growth rebounds to attract capital flows back from emerging economies at the medium stage of the global financial cycle.
With free international capital flows and flexible exchange rates, the current Fed interest rate hike is likely to lead non-U.S. monetary contraction worldwide over the next few years (aka the Mundellian international-finance trilemma).
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-01-05 11:39:00 Saturday ET
Reuters polls show that most Americans blame President Trump for the recent U.S. government shutdown. President Trump remains adamant about having to shut d
2019-05-23 10:33:00 Thursday ET
Berkeley professor and economist Barry Eichengreen reconciles the nominal and real interest rates to argue in favor of greater fiscal deficits. French econo
2019-11-13 11:34:00 Wednesday ET
The new Brexit deal can boost British pound appreciation and economic optimism. British prime minister Boris Johnson wins the parliamentary vote on his new
2023-08-14 09:25:00 Monday ET
Peter Isard analyzes the proper economic policy reforms and root causes of global financial crises of the 1990s and 2008-2009. Peter Isard (2005) &nbs
2018-12-19 17:41:00 Wednesday ET
Tencent Music Entertainment debuts its IPO on NYSE to strike a chord with stock market investors. Tencent Music goes public and marks the biggest IPO by a m
2019-06-05 10:34:00 Wednesday ET
Fed Chair Jay Powell suggests that the recent surge in U.S. business debt poses moderate risks to the economy. Many corporate treasuries now carry about 40%