2020-01-08 08:25:00 Wed ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Conservative Party wins the British parliamentary majority in the general election with hefty British pound appreciation. In response to this general election outcome, British stock and bond markets surge with much investor optimism. As this election result resolves economic policy uncertainty, the British pound reaps reasonable gains against the greenback, euro, and most other currencies. The Conservative Party 365-seat majority can help push for the early resolution of both fair trade and fine Brexit negotiations with the European Union. Many stock market analysts and economic media commentators now expect Brexit to take place in early-2020. As a result, a second referendum on Brexit is less likely as Labour Party garners only 203 seats in the U.K. parliament.
London School of Economics political scientist Sara Hobolt critiques that the first-past-the-post system may not translate U.K. voter beliefs into parliamentary seats. At the heart of the Brexit debate, many British voters consider domestic healthcare and infrastructure subsidies to outweigh in relative importance trade, immigration, and membership in the European Union. In democratic countries with proportional representation, this result has become a major party realignment. This realignment reflects the pervasive British voter sentiment that U.K. politicians should get Brexit done in due course.
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