2018-08-13 12:39:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow points out that the recent U.S. dollar strength shows a clear sign of investor confidence and optimism. Greenback appreciation reflects the fact that international capital continues to flow into the U.S. economy as the Federal Reserve accelerates its interest rate hike. Meanwhile, this dollar appreciation helps dampen commodity prices within healthy and reasonable bounds.
However, President Trump suggests in an earlier tweet that the strong dollar may put America at a competitive disadvantage. In fact, greenback strength can render U.S. export prices less competitive and so may exacerbate future trade deficits in the current account. In addition to these recent exchange rate gyrations, the Trump administration gradually reveals the precautionary motive behind the current trade war against China. This major trade dispute and its attendant measures shine light on the U.S. grand strategy that seeks to thwart China's economic rise as a global superpower.
It is plausible for the Trump administration to view China as an aggressive currency manipulator. As the Chinese renminbi continues to depreciate at a gradual pace, Chinese low-cost imports become more affordable to most American households. For these strategic reasons, the Trump administration needs to re-engage Chinese diplomats and economists in the next round of bilateral trade negotiations.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-03-07 12:39:00 Thursday ET

A physicist derives a mathematical formula that success equates the product of both personal quality and the potential value of a random idea. As a Northeas
2019-10-31 13:38:00 Thursday ET

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube October 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of October 2019: (1)
2019-10-17 08:35:00 Thursday ET

The European Central Bank expects to further reduce negative interest rates with new quantitative government bond purchases. The ECB commits to further cutt
2017-12-17 11:41:00 Sunday ET

Warren Buffett points out that it is important to invest in oneself. Learning about oneself empowers him or her to lead a meaningful life. This valuable inv
2019-05-19 19:31:00 Sunday ET

MIT professor and co-author Daron Acemoglu suggests that economic prosperity comes from high-wage job creation. Progressive tax redistribution cannot achiev
2019-12-13 09:32:00 Friday ET

Saudi Aramco aims to initiate its fresh IPO in December 2019. Several investment banks indicate to the Saudi government that most investors may value the mi