2018-08-13 12:39:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow points out that the recent U.S. dollar strength shows a clear sign of investor confidence and optimism. Greenback appreciation reflects the fact that international capital continues to flow into the U.S. economy as the Federal Reserve accelerates its interest rate hike. Meanwhile, this dollar appreciation helps dampen commodity prices within healthy and reasonable bounds.
However, President Trump suggests in an earlier tweet that the strong dollar may put America at a competitive disadvantage. In fact, greenback strength can render U.S. export prices less competitive and so may exacerbate future trade deficits in the current account. In addition to these recent exchange rate gyrations, the Trump administration gradually reveals the precautionary motive behind the current trade war against China. This major trade dispute and its attendant measures shine light on the U.S. grand strategy that seeks to thwart China's economic rise as a global superpower.
It is plausible for the Trump administration to view China as an aggressive currency manipulator. As the Chinese renminbi continues to depreciate at a gradual pace, Chinese low-cost imports become more affordable to most American households. For these strategic reasons, the Trump administration needs to re-engage Chinese diplomats and economists in the next round of bilateral trade negotiations.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2023-04-07 12:29:00 Friday ET

Timothy Geithner shares his reflections on the post-crisis macro financial stress tests for U.S. banks. Timothy Geithner (2014) Macrofinanci
2020-11-10 07:25:00 Tuesday ET

The McKinsey edge reflects the collective wisdom of key success principles in business management consultancy. Shu Hattori (2015) The McKins
2019-10-09 16:46:00 Wednesday ET

IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath indicates that competitive currency devaluation may be an ineffective solution to improving export prospects. In the form
2019-09-13 10:37:00 Friday ET

China allows its renminbi currency to slide below the key psychologically important threshold of 7-yuan per U.S. dollar. A currency dispute between the U.S.
2020-02-05 10:28:00 Wednesday ET

Our proprietary AYA fintech finbuzz essay shines light on the modern collection of business insights with executive annotations and personal reflections. Th
2023-11-30 08:29:00 Thursday ET

In addition to the OECD bank-credit-card model and Chinese online payment platforms, the open-payments gateways of UPI in India and Pix in Brazil have adapt