2018-08-13 12:39:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow points out that the recent U.S. dollar strength shows a clear sign of investor confidence and optimism. Greenback appreciation reflects the fact that international capital continues to flow into the U.S. economy as the Federal Reserve accelerates its interest rate hike. Meanwhile, this dollar appreciation helps dampen commodity prices within healthy and reasonable bounds.
However, President Trump suggests in an earlier tweet that the strong dollar may put America at a competitive disadvantage. In fact, greenback strength can render U.S. export prices less competitive and so may exacerbate future trade deficits in the current account. In addition to these recent exchange rate gyrations, the Trump administration gradually reveals the precautionary motive behind the current trade war against China. This major trade dispute and its attendant measures shine light on the U.S. grand strategy that seeks to thwart China's economic rise as a global superpower.
It is plausible for the Trump administration to view China as an aggressive currency manipulator. As the Chinese renminbi continues to depreciate at a gradual pace, Chinese low-cost imports become more affordable to most American households. For these strategic reasons, the Trump administration needs to re-engage Chinese diplomats and economists in the next round of bilateral trade negotiations.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-07-30 15:33:00 Tuesday ET

All of the 18 systemically important banks pass the annual Federal Reserve stress tests. Many of the largest lenders announce higher cash payouts to shareho
2019-01-06 08:39:00 Sunday ET

President Trump signs an executive order to freeze federal employee pay in early-2019. Federal employees face furlough or work without pay due to the govern
2019-03-31 11:40:00 Sunday ET

AYA Analytica free finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube March 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of March 2019: (1) Sargent-Wallac
2018-07-27 10:35:00 Friday ET

Admitting China to the World Trade Organization (WTO) and other international activities seems ineffective in imparting economic freedom and democracy to th
2017-04-25 06:35:00 Tuesday ET

This nice and clear infographic visualization helps us better decipher the main memes and themes of President Donald Trump's first 100 days in office.
2019-02-06 10:36:49 Wednesday ET

President Trump delivers his second state-of-the-union address to U.S. Congress. Several key themes emerge from this presidential address. First, President