U.S. Treasury officially designates China a key currency manipulator in the broader context of Sino-American trade dispute resolution.

Becky Berkman

2019-09-15 14:35:00 Sun ET

U.S. Treasury officially designates China a key currency manipulator in the broader context of Sino-American trade dispute resolution. The U.S. Treasury classification of China as a new currency manipulator suggests that this classification represents another escalation of the current Sino-U.S. trade conflict. The next currency battle may turn out to be relentless in the current game of competitive depreciation. This escalation spooks global financial markets and therefore wipes 3.5% from all major U.S. stock market indices such as S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and MSCI USA. French, German, and other European stock market indices decline by 2.5%-3%.

China allows its renminbi currency to tumble to the psychologically vital 7-yuan per U.S. dollar (or the lowest level in 11 years). This depreciation may give China an unfair competitive advantage against America in the current game of chicken in tech, trade, and currency. However, the recent renminbi currency misalignment may or may not help increase Chinese exports due to global interest rate surprises and competitive prices outside East Asia. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts may inadvertently give American politicians the vague impression that monetary policy can help repair the damage of trade policy mistakes. When push comes to shove, the law of inadvertent consequences counsel caution.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

We share Warren Buffett's famous quotes on fundamental stock investment.

Charlene Vos

2017-07-19 11:35:00 Wednesday ET

We share Warren Buffett's famous quotes on fundamental stock investment.

This brief article encapsulates the timeless wisdom of Warren Buffett's famous quotes on fundamental stock investment, fear and greed, patience, risk co

+See More

America seeks to advance the global energy dominance agenda by toppling Saudi Arabia as the top oil exporter by 2024.

Olivia London

2019-03-25 17:30:00 Monday ET

America seeks to advance the global energy dominance agenda by toppling Saudi Arabia as the top oil exporter by 2024.

America seeks to advance the global energy dominance agenda by toppling Saudi Arabia as the top oil exporter by 2024. The International Energy Agency (IEA)

+See More

OECD cuts the global economic growth forecast from 3.5% to 3.3% for the current fiscal year 2019-2020.

Rose Prince

2019-03-27 11:28:00 Wednesday ET

OECD cuts the global economic growth forecast from 3.5% to 3.3% for the current fiscal year 2019-2020.

OECD cuts the global economic growth forecast from 3.5% to 3.3% for the current fiscal year 2019-2020. The global economy suffers from economic protraction

+See More

The OECD projects global growth to decline from 3.2% to 2.9% in the current fiscal year 2019-2020.

Rose Prince

2019-10-29 13:36:00 Tuesday ET

The OECD projects global growth to decline from 3.2% to 2.9% in the current fiscal year 2019-2020.

The OECD projects global growth to decline from 3.2% to 2.9% in the current fiscal year 2019-2020. This global economic growth projection represents the slo

+See More

The Economist digs deep into the political economy of U.S. government shutdown over 3 days in January 2018.

Apple Boston

2018-01-13 08:39:00 Saturday ET

The Economist digs deep into the political economy of U.S. government shutdown over 3 days in January 2018.

The Economist digs deep into the political economy of U.S. government shutdown over 3 days in January 2018. In more than 4 years since 2014, U.S. government

+See More

World Economic Forum warns that artificial intelligence may destabilize the financial system.

Jonah Whanau

2018-08-19 10:34:00 Sunday ET

World Economic Forum warns that artificial intelligence may destabilize the financial system.

The World Economic Forum warns that artificial intelligence may destabilize the financial system. Artificial intelligence poses at least a trifecta of major

+See More