U.S. Treasury officially designates China a key currency manipulator in the broader context of Sino-American trade dispute resolution.

Becky Berkman

2019-09-15 14:35:00 Sun ET

U.S. Treasury officially designates China a key currency manipulator in the broader context of Sino-American trade dispute resolution. The U.S. Treasury classification of China as a new currency manipulator suggests that this classification represents another escalation of the current Sino-U.S. trade conflict. The next currency battle may turn out to be relentless in the current game of competitive depreciation. This escalation spooks global financial markets and therefore wipes 3.5% from all major U.S. stock market indices such as S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and MSCI USA. French, German, and other European stock market indices decline by 2.5%-3%.

China allows its renminbi currency to tumble to the psychologically vital 7-yuan per U.S. dollar (or the lowest level in 11 years). This depreciation may give China an unfair competitive advantage against America in the current game of chicken in tech, trade, and currency. However, the recent renminbi currency misalignment may or may not help increase Chinese exports due to global interest rate surprises and competitive prices outside East Asia. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts may inadvertently give American politicians the vague impression that monetary policy can help repair the damage of trade policy mistakes. When push comes to shove, the law of inadvertent consequences counsel caution.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

The world now faces an economic inequality crisis with few policy options.

Daisy Harvey

2018-01-04 07:36:00 Thursday ET

The world now faces an economic inequality crisis with few policy options.

The world now faces an economic inequality crisis with few policy options. Some recent U.S. Federal Reserve data suggest that both income and wealth inequal

+See More

The current Trump stock market rally has been impressive from November 2016 to October 2017.

John Fourier

2017-10-09 09:34:00 Monday ET

The current Trump stock market rally has been impressive from November 2016 to October 2017.

The current Trump stock market rally has been impressive from November 2016 to October 2017. S&P 500 has risen by 21.1% since the 2016 presidential elec

+See More

The Trump team now aims to make progress on health care, infrastructure, social welfare, and immigration.

Monica McNeil

2018-01-06 07:32:00 Saturday ET

The Trump team now aims to make progress on health care, infrastructure, social welfare, and immigration.

Subsequent to the Trump tax cuts for Christmas in December 2017, the one-year-old Trump presidency now aims to make progress on health care, infrastructure,

+See More

Bank of England publishes its latest insights into the economic impact of Brexit on British real productivity, capital investment, and labor supply.

Olivia London

2018-12-03 10:40:00 Monday ET

Bank of England publishes its latest insights into the economic impact of Brexit on British real productivity, capital investment, and labor supply.

Bank of England publishes its latest insights into the economic impact of Brexit on British real productivity, capital investment, and labor supply as of 20

+See More

The U.S. greenback soars in value as the Federal Reserve continues its interest rate hike.

Daisy Harvey

2018-10-07 13:39:00 Sunday ET

The U.S. greenback soars in value as the Federal Reserve continues its interest rate hike.

The U.S. greenback soars in value as the Federal Reserve continues its interest rate hike. With impressive service-sector data and non-farm payroll wage gro

+See More

Federal Reserve reduces the interest rate by another quarter point to the target range of 1.75%-2% in September 2019.

John Fourier

2019-10-07 12:35:00 Monday ET

Federal Reserve reduces the interest rate by another quarter point to the target range of 1.75%-2% in September 2019.

Federal Reserve reduces the interest rate by another key quarter point to the target range of 1.75%-2% in September 2019. In accordance with the Federal Res

+See More