2019-09-09 20:38:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Harvard macrofinance professor Robert Barro sees no good reasons for the recent sudden reversal of U.S. monetary policy normalization. As Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell yields to the persistent demands of a vocal president, the FOMC approves an interim interest rate cut by quarter point to 2%-2.25%. This rate cut represents a clear departure from the current business cycle of interest rate hikes in recent years. Barro advocates the Taylor monetary policy rule that the nominal interest rate should rise in response to higher inflation and economic output both relative to their targets. In accordance with the key Taylor monetary policy rule, the nominal interest rate normally tends toward a gradual long-term equilibrium path.
In this light, Barro regards the recent interest rate reduction as a special deviation from the prior path of U.S. monetary policy normalization. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell seems to justify the recent interest rate cut in terms of the fact that U.S. inflation remains low and tame as the economy operates near full employment despite continual trade escalation between the U.S. and China. Barro indicates the clear and present danger that the recent rate reduction represents a dovish Powell response to many stock market analysts and the Trump administration.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2023-03-14 16:43:00 Tuesday ET

Several feasible near-term reforms can substantially narrow the scope for global tax avoidance by closing information loopholes. Thomas Pogge and Krishen
2018-07-11 09:39:00 Wednesday ET

In recent times, the Trump administration sees the sweet state of U.S. economic expansion as of early-July 2018. The latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey
2019-07-27 17:37:00 Saturday ET

Capital gravitates toward key profitable mutual funds until the marginal asset return equilibrates near the core stock market benchmark. As Stanford finance
2025-09-18 08:03:32 Thursday ET

Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fund
2018-10-23 12:36:00 Tuesday ET

Former Fed Chair Paul Volcker releases his memoir, talks about American public governance, and worries about plutocracy in America. Volcker suggests that pu
2019-02-15 11:33:00 Friday ET

President Trump is open to extending the March 2019 deadline for raising tariffs on Chinese imports if both sides are close to mutual agreement. These bilat