2019-09-09 20:38:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Harvard macrofinance professor Robert Barro sees no good reasons for the recent sudden reversal of U.S. monetary policy normalization. As Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell yields to the persistent demands of a vocal president, the FOMC approves an interim interest rate cut by quarter point to 2%-2.25%. This rate cut represents a clear departure from the current business cycle of interest rate hikes in recent years. Barro advocates the Taylor monetary policy rule that the nominal interest rate should rise in response to higher inflation and economic output both relative to their targets. In accordance with the key Taylor monetary policy rule, the nominal interest rate normally tends toward a gradual long-term equilibrium path.
In this light, Barro regards the recent interest rate reduction as a special deviation from the prior path of U.S. monetary policy normalization. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell seems to justify the recent interest rate cut in terms of the fact that U.S. inflation remains low and tame as the economy operates near full employment despite continual trade escalation between the U.S. and China. Barro indicates the clear and present danger that the recent rate reduction represents a dovish Powell response to many stock market analysts and the Trump administration.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2020-02-02 11:32:00 Sunday ET

Our fintech finbuzz analytic report shines fresh light on the current global economic outlook. As of Winter-Spring 2020, the analytical report delves into t
2020-02-19 14:35:00 Wednesday ET

The U.S. bank oligarchy has become bigger, more profitable, and more resistant to public regulation after the global financial crisis. Simon Johnson and
2023-11-14 08:24:00 Tuesday ET

Thomas Sowell argues that some economic reforms inadvertently exacerbate economic disparities. Thomas Sowell (2019) Discrimination and econo
2020-03-05 08:28:00 Thursday ET

The Stanford computer science overlords Larry Page and Sergey Brin design and develop Google as an Internet search company. Janet Lowe (2009) Google s
2019-08-20 07:33:00 Tuesday ET

The recent British pound depreciation is a big Brexit barometer. Britain appoints former London mayor and Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson as the prime minis
2019-10-17 08:35:00 Thursday ET

The European Central Bank expects to further reduce negative interest rates with new quantitative government bond purchases. The ECB commits to further cutt