2019-10-07 12:35:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Federal Reserve reduces the interest rate by another key quarter point to the target range of 1.75%-2% in September 2019. In accordance with the Federal Reserve dot plot of interest rate expectations, 5 FOMC members favor the prior status quo of 2% to 2.25%.
The same flagship dot plot suggests that 5 FOMC members support a quarter point cut with no more rate cuts through the remainder of the current calendar year. The dot plot further indicates that 7 FOMC members support at least one more interest rate cut in late-2019. The U.S. monetary policy committee cites the implications of global trade frictions and other regional clouds of both fiscal policy uncertainty and asset price normalization for the current economic outlook. Low inflation remains the root cause of the second interest rate cut. The recent dovish monetary policy stance accords with the Federal Reserve dual mandate of maximum sustainable employment and price stability.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicates that it may be essential for most market participants to raise the bar for any further interest rate reductions due to tighter financial constraints in the foreseeable future. Data dictate future moderate moves in the monetary policy space.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2022-03-05 09:27:00 Saturday ET
Addendum on empirical tests of multi-factor models for asset return prediction Fama and French (2015) propose an empirical five-factor asset pricing mode
2018-03-13 07:34:00 Tuesday ET
From crony capitalism to state capitalism, what economic policy lessons can we learn from President Putin's current reign in Russia? In the 15 years of
2019-12-28 09:36:00 Saturday ET
Global debt surges to $250 trillion in the fiscal year 2019. The International Institute of Finance analytic report shows that both China and the U.S. accou
2018-09-19 12:38:00 Wednesday ET
The Trump administration imposes 10% tariffs on $200 billion Chinese imports and expects to raise these tariffs to 25% additional duties toward the end of t
2019-12-30 11:28:00 Monday ET
AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube December 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of December 2019: (1) The Trump adm
2022-02-25 00:00:00 Friday ET
Empirical tests of multi-factor models for asset return prediction The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) of Sharpe (1964), Lintner (1965), and Bla