2019-10-07 12:35:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Federal Reserve reduces the interest rate by another key quarter point to the target range of 1.75%-2% in September 2019. In accordance with the Federal Reserve dot plot of interest rate expectations, 5 FOMC members favor the prior status quo of 2% to 2.25%.
The same flagship dot plot suggests that 5 FOMC members support a quarter point cut with no more rate cuts through the remainder of the current calendar year. The dot plot further indicates that 7 FOMC members support at least one more interest rate cut in late-2019. The U.S. monetary policy committee cites the implications of global trade frictions and other regional clouds of both fiscal policy uncertainty and asset price normalization for the current economic outlook. Low inflation remains the root cause of the second interest rate cut. The recent dovish monetary policy stance accords with the Federal Reserve dual mandate of maximum sustainable employment and price stability.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicates that it may be essential for most market participants to raise the bar for any further interest rate reductions due to tighter financial constraints in the foreseeable future. Data dictate future moderate moves in the monetary policy space.
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