2019-11-21 11:34:00 Thu ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Berkeley macro economist Brad DeLong sees no good reasons for an imminent economic recession with mass unemployment and even depression. The current U.S. economic expansion can be sustainable over the longer run when the Trump administration helps direct people and resources from low to high-marginal-return productive activities. There is no clear sign of an economic recession with higher unemployment in light of moderate wage inflation, low price inflation below the 2% target, and reasonable real economic output. These fundamental considerations suggest that the current U.S. economic boom is likely to sustain at least over the medium term.
However, envy and greed are often the muses that almost always convince some stock market investors to buy equity stakes at the peak of an asset bubble. Later these stock market investors would wonder why there are no hints of the probable risks or black swans. The same economic rationale also applies to more generic investors who retain an active interest in bonds, currencies, futures, and precious metals such as gold, silver, and platinum etc.
As the Federal Reserve maintains the current dovish interest rate adjustments with Treasury fiscal stimulus packages such as tax cuts and infrastructure expenditures, an economic recession cannot be imminent under normal labor market conditions.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2023-01-09 10:31:00 Monday ET

Response to USPTO fintech patent protection As of early-January 2023, the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) has approved our U.S. utility patent
2025-01-31 09:26:00 Friday ET

The current homeland industrial policy stance worldwide seeks to embed the new notion of global resilience into economic statecraft. In the broader cont
2022-09-25 09:34:00 Sunday ET

Main reasons for share repurchases Temporary market undervaluation often induces corporate incumbents to initiate a share repurchase program to boost the
2023-04-28 16:38:00 Friday ET

Peter Schuck analyzes U.S. government failures and structural problems in light of both institutions and incentives. Peter Schuck (2015) Why
2018-11-17 09:33:00 Saturday ET

Zillow share price plunges 20% year-to-date as its competitors Redfin and Trulia also experience an economic slowdown in the real estate market. The real es
2019-09-15 14:35:00 Sunday ET

U.S. Treasury officially designates China a key currency manipulator in the broader context of Sino-American trade dispute resolution. The U.S. Treasury cla