Yale macro economist Stephen Roach draws 3 major conclusions with respect to the Chinese long-run view of the current tech trade conflict with America.

Joseph Corr

2019-09-05 09:26:00 Thu ET

Yale macro economist Stephen Roach draws 3 major conclusions with respect to the Chinese long-run view of the current tech trade conflict with America. First, the Chinese Xi administration would never lose legitimacy due to subpar 5.5%-to-6.3% real GDP economic growth. China retains more fiscal and monetary policy levers than global growth headwinds. Second, Chinese hawkish hardliners remain patient and methodical when they deal with external wildcards. These external wildcards include U.S. partisanship and economic policy uncertainty, Brexit trade and capital exodus, and diplomatic outrage in the South China Sea.

Third, the 5G tech titan HuaWei is a big deal and national champion for China. As China seeks to trudge on the long march toward tech supremacy, U.S. tech trade strategists should consider alternative approaches instead of the current legalistic approach to Sino-U.S. trade conflict resolution. It would be a symbolic loss of state dignity and sovereignty for China to agree to signing into law U.S. trade terms and conditions on intellectual property protection and enforcement. Alternatively, U.S. trade reps should focus on direct dispute negotiations between U.S. and Chinese tech corporations through the extant inland and international arbitration tribunals. This alternative mechanism may nevertheless favor domestic firms in China.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson show that good inclusive institutions contribute to better long-run economic growth.

Monica McNeil

2023-06-14 10:26:00 Wednesday ET

Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson show that good inclusive institutions contribute to better long-run economic growth.

Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson show that good inclusive institutions contribute to better long-run economic growth. Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson

+See More

E.U. antitrust regulators impose a fine on Qualcomm for advancing its exclusive microchip deal with Apple.

Fiona Sydney

2018-01-17 05:30:00 Wednesday ET

E.U. antitrust regulators impose a fine on Qualcomm for advancing its exclusive microchip deal with Apple.

European Union antitrust regulators impose a fine on Qualcomm for advancing its key exclusive microchip deal with Apple to block out rivals such as Intel an

+See More

Central bank independence remains important for core inflation containment in the current age of political populism.

Jonah Whanau

2019-04-21 10:07:54 Sunday ET

Central bank independence remains important for core inflation containment in the current age of political populism.

Central bank independence remains important for core inflation containment in the current age of political populism. In accordance with the dual mandate of

+See More

President Trump indicates that he would consider an interim Sino-American trade deal in lieu of a full trade agreement.

Apple Boston

2019-10-03 17:39:00 Thursday ET

President Trump indicates that he would consider an interim Sino-American trade deal in lieu of a full trade agreement.

President Trump indicates that he would consider an interim Sino-American trade deal in lieu of a full trade agreement. The Trump administration defers high

+See More

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Laura Hermes

2025-03-03 04:11:06 Monday ET

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America? In recent years, S&P 500 stock market returns exhibit spectacular concentrati

+See More

European Central Bank designs its current monetary policy reaction function and interest rate forward guidance in response to low inflation.

Peter Prince

2019-04-11 07:35:00 Thursday ET

European Central Bank designs its current monetary policy reaction function and interest rate forward guidance in response to low inflation.

European Central Bank designs its current monetary policy reaction function and interest rate forward guidance in response to key delays in inflation conver

+See More