Yale macro economist Stephen Roach draws 3 major conclusions with respect to the Chinese long-run view of the current tech trade conflict with America.

Joseph Corr

2019-09-05 09:26:00 Thu ET

Yale macro economist Stephen Roach draws 3 major conclusions with respect to the Chinese long-run view of the current tech trade conflict with America. First, the Chinese Xi administration would never lose legitimacy due to subpar 5.5%-to-6.3% real GDP economic growth. China retains more fiscal and monetary policy levers than global growth headwinds. Second, Chinese hawkish hardliners remain patient and methodical when they deal with external wildcards. These external wildcards include U.S. partisanship and economic policy uncertainty, Brexit trade and capital exodus, and diplomatic outrage in the South China Sea.

Third, the 5G tech titan HuaWei is a big deal and national champion for China. As China seeks to trudge on the long march toward tech supremacy, U.S. tech trade strategists should consider alternative approaches instead of the current legalistic approach to Sino-U.S. trade conflict resolution. It would be a symbolic loss of state dignity and sovereignty for China to agree to signing into law U.S. trade terms and conditions on intellectual property protection and enforcement. Alternatively, U.S. trade reps should focus on direct dispute negotiations between U.S. and Chinese tech corporations through the extant inland and international arbitration tribunals. This alternative mechanism may nevertheless favor domestic firms in China.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Daniel Goleman explains why working with emotional intelligence helps hone our social skills for smarter, better, and more effective leaders, teams, and organizations in modern life, business, innovation, and entrepreneurship.

Fiona Sydney

2025-07-05 11:23:00 Saturday ET

Daniel Goleman explains why working with emotional intelligence helps hone our social skills for smarter, better, and more effective leaders, teams, and organizations in modern life, business, innovation, and entrepreneurship.

Former New York Times science author and Harvard psychologist Daniel Goleman explains why working with emotional intelligence helps hone our social skills f

+See More

Joel Mokyr suggests that economic growth arises from a change in cultural beliefs toward technological progress.

John Fourier

2023-11-07 11:31:00 Tuesday ET

Joel Mokyr suggests that economic growth arises from a change in cultural beliefs toward technological progress.

Joel Mokyr suggests that economic growth arises from a change in cultural beliefs toward technological progress. Joel Mokyr (2018)   A culture

+See More

China continues to sell U.S. Treasury bonds amid Sino-U.S. trade truce uncertainty.

Chanel Holden

2019-08-05 13:30:00 Monday ET

China continues to sell U.S. Treasury bonds amid Sino-U.S. trade truce uncertainty.

China continues to sell U.S. Treasury bonds amid Sino-U.S. trade truce uncertainty. In mid-2019, China reduces its U.S. Treasury bond positions by $20.5 bil

+See More

Yale economist Stephen Roach warns that America has much to lose from the current trade war with China for a few reasons.

Joseph Corr

2018-07-13 09:41:00 Friday ET

Yale economist Stephen Roach warns that America has much to lose from the current trade war with China for a few reasons.

Yale economist Stephen Roach warns that America has much to lose from the current trade war with China for a few reasons. First, America is highly dependent

+See More

Warren Buffett shares his key insights into life, success, money, and interpersonal communication.

Rose Prince

2018-09-09 13:42:00 Sunday ET

Warren Buffett shares his key insights into life, success, money, and interpersonal communication.

Warren Buffett shares his key insights into life, success, money, and interpersonal communication. Institutional money managers and retail investors ca

+See More

The new Fed chairman Jerome Powell faces a new challenge in the form of core CPI rate hikes toward 1.8%-2.1%.

Laura Hermes

2018-02-07 06:38:00 Wednesday ET

The new Fed chairman Jerome Powell faces a new challenge in the form of core CPI rate hikes toward 1.8%-2.1%.

The new Fed chairman Jerome Powell faces a new challenge in the form of both core CPI and CPI inflation rate hikes toward 1.8%-2.1% year-over-year with stro

+See More