Yale macro economist Stephen Roach draws 3 major conclusions with respect to the Chinese long-run view of the current tech trade conflict with America.

Joseph Corr

2019-09-05 09:26:00 Thu ET

Yale macro economist Stephen Roach draws 3 major conclusions with respect to the Chinese long-run view of the current tech trade conflict with America. First, the Chinese Xi administration would never lose legitimacy due to subpar 5.5%-to-6.3% real GDP economic growth. China retains more fiscal and monetary policy levers than global growth headwinds. Second, Chinese hawkish hardliners remain patient and methodical when they deal with external wildcards. These external wildcards include U.S. partisanship and economic policy uncertainty, Brexit trade and capital exodus, and diplomatic outrage in the South China Sea.

Third, the 5G tech titan HuaWei is a big deal and national champion for China. As China seeks to trudge on the long march toward tech supremacy, U.S. tech trade strategists should consider alternative approaches instead of the current legalistic approach to Sino-U.S. trade conflict resolution. It would be a symbolic loss of state dignity and sovereignty for China to agree to signing into law U.S. trade terms and conditions on intellectual property protection and enforcement. Alternatively, U.S. trade reps should focus on direct dispute negotiations between U.S. and Chinese tech corporations through the extant inland and international arbitration tribunals. This alternative mechanism may nevertheless favor domestic firms in China.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

U.S. Treasury officially designates China a key currency manipulator in the broader context of Sino-American trade dispute resolution.

Becky Berkman

2019-09-15 14:35:00 Sunday ET

U.S. Treasury officially designates China a key currency manipulator in the broader context of Sino-American trade dispute resolution.

U.S. Treasury officially designates China a key currency manipulator in the broader context of Sino-American trade dispute resolution. The U.S. Treasury cla

+See More

Michael Sandel analyzes what money cannot buy in stark contrast to the free market ideology of capitalism.

Daisy Harvey

2023-06-21 12:32:00 Wednesday ET

Michael Sandel analyzes what money cannot buy in stark contrast to the free market ideology of capitalism.

Michael Sandel analyzes what money cannot buy in stark contrast to the free market ideology of capitalism. Michael Sandel (2013)   What money

+See More

Trumpism may now become the new populist world order of economic governance.

Monica McNeil

2018-07-30 11:36:00 Monday ET

Trumpism may now become the new populist world order of economic governance.

Trumpism may now become the new populist world order of economic governance. Populist support contributes to Trump's 2016 presidential election victory

+See More

Citron Research short-sellers initiate a class-action lawsuit against Tesla and its executive chairman Elon Musk.

Monica McNeil

2018-09-05 08:34:00 Wednesday ET

Citron Research short-sellers initiate a class-action lawsuit against Tesla and its executive chairman Elon Musk.

Citron Research short-sellers initiate a class-action lawsuit against Tesla and its executive chairman Elon Musk because he might have deliberately orchestr

+See More

Modern themes and insights in behavioral finance (Part 1)

Laura Hermes

2022-02-05 09:26:00 Saturday ET

Modern themes and insights in behavioral finance (Part 1)

Modern themes and insights in behavioral finance   Shiller, R.J. (2003). From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance. Journal of Economi

+See More

Yale macro economist Stephen Roach draws 3 major conclusions with respect to the Chinese long-run view of the current tech trade conflict with America.

Joseph Corr

2019-09-05 09:26:00 Thursday ET

Yale macro economist Stephen Roach draws 3 major conclusions with respect to the Chinese long-run view of the current tech trade conflict with America.

Yale macro economist Stephen Roach draws 3 major conclusions with respect to the Chinese long-run view of the current tech trade conflict with America. Firs

+See More