2019-06-09 11:29:00 Sun ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
St Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard indicates that his ideal baseline scenario remains a mutually beneficial China-U.S. trade deal. Bullard indicates that the Xi administration should accept U.S. demands on trade deficit curtailment and intellectual property protection and enforcement in order to attract foreign capital investments as the oriental country can reap enormous benefits. In this baseline scenario of a major Sino-U.S. trade deal, the Trump tariffs may linger such that the Federal Reserve has to address the likely U.S. economic growth concerns. Since the U.S. and China still cannot conclude their yearlong trade conflict, this economic policy uncertainty stokes fresh worries about the global economy.
U.S. FOMC members agree that the current patient monetary policy approach can remain in place for some time. In this positive light, the Federal Reserve halts the next interest rate hikes as Fed governors communicate their implicit expectations of anchoring both U.S. economic growth and interest rates at 2.25%-2.5%. To the extent that inflation risk remains low or still below the 2% target level, the Federal Reserve keeps intact the 2.5% federal funds rate as the U.S. economy operates near full employment (with the 3.6%-3.7% unemployment rate). Patience pays well in time.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-01-15 13:35:00 Tuesday ET
Americans continue to keep their financial New Year resolutions. First, Americans should save more money. Everyone needs a budget to ensure that key paychec
2025-09-24 09:49:53 Wednesday ET
Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fund
2018-08-13 12:39:00 Monday ET
White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow points out that the recent U.S. dollar strength shows a clear sign of investor confidence and optimism. Gree
2019-11-05 07:41:00 Tuesday ET
The Trump administration expects to reach an interim partial trade deal with China. This interim partial trade deal represents the first phase of a comprehe
2022-05-30 09:32:00 Monday ET
The new semiconductor microchip demand-supply imbalance remains quite severe for the U.S. tech and auto industries. Our current fundamental macro a
2020-03-26 10:31:00 Thursday ET
The unique controversial management style of Steve Jobs helps translate his business acumen into smart product development. Jay Elliot (2012) Leading