2019-06-09 11:29:00 Sun ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
St Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard indicates that his ideal baseline scenario remains a mutually beneficial China-U.S. trade deal. Bullard indicates that the Xi administration should accept U.S. demands on trade deficit curtailment and intellectual property protection and enforcement in order to attract foreign capital investments as the oriental country can reap enormous benefits. In this baseline scenario of a major Sino-U.S. trade deal, the Trump tariffs may linger such that the Federal Reserve has to address the likely U.S. economic growth concerns. Since the U.S. and China still cannot conclude their yearlong trade conflict, this economic policy uncertainty stokes fresh worries about the global economy.
U.S. FOMC members agree that the current patient monetary policy approach can remain in place for some time. In this positive light, the Federal Reserve halts the next interest rate hikes as Fed governors communicate their implicit expectations of anchoring both U.S. economic growth and interest rates at 2.25%-2.5%. To the extent that inflation risk remains low or still below the 2% target level, the Federal Reserve keeps intact the 2.5% federal funds rate as the U.S. economy operates near full employment (with the 3.6%-3.7% unemployment rate). Patience pays well in time.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-06-27 10:39:00 Thursday ET
Berkeley tax economists Gabriel Zucman and Emmanuel Saez find fresh insights into wealth inequality in America. Their latest estimates show that the top 0.1
2019-09-19 15:30:00 Thursday ET
U.S. yield curve inversion can be a sign but not a root cause of the next economic recession. Treasury yield curve inversion helps predict each of the U.S.
2020-08-12 07:25:00 Wednesday ET
Most sustainably successful business leaders make a mark in the world, create a positive impact, and challenge the status quo. Jerry Porras, Stewart Emer
2017-12-14 12:41:00 Thursday ET
Federal Reserve raises the interest rate by 25 basis points to the target range of 1.25% to 1.5% as FOMC members revise up their GDP estimate from 2% to 2.5
2019-10-17 08:35:00 Thursday ET
The European Central Bank expects to further reduce negative interest rates with new quantitative government bond purchases. The ECB commits to further cutt
2018-01-23 06:38:00 Tuesday ET
Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, and JPMorgan Chase establish a new company to reduce U.S. employee health care costs in negotiations with drugmakers, doctors, a