Presidents Trump and Xi agree on an interim trade truce at the G20 summit in Argentina.

Apple Boston

2018-12-09 08:44:00 Sun ET

President Trump meets with Chinese President Xi again at the G20 summit in the city of Buenos Aires, Argentina, in late-November 2018. President Donald Trump and President Xi JinPing, the political leaders of the 2 largest economies on earth, agree to a 90-day trace truce and ceasefire in the Sino-U.S. trade war. After the 3-hour dinner discussion at the G20 summit, Trump agrees to retain the 10% tariffs on $200 billion Chinese goods without raising the tariffs to 25% in the next 90 days. In exchange, China agrees to buy substantial amounts of agriculture, energy, and other goods from America to help reduce the Sino-U.S. bilateral trade deficit.

Chinese state councilor and foreign minister Wang Yi extends many reconciliatory gestures and regards the Trump-Xi summit *candid and amicable*. Wang remains optimistic about opening up the Chinese market for U.S. multinational corporations from Apple and Microsoft to Ford and Merck etc. Wang further expects Sino-U.S. trade delegates to step up serious negotiations toward the eventual elimination of all additional tariffs.

However, stock market analysts and commentators warn that the trade truce may be only an interim tactical solution. This trade truce can barely be a major business breakthrough on substance, but a new framework for subsequent Sino-American economic dialogues. Over the steak dinner at G20, Trump and Xi agree on mutual compromises that help pause their unproductive trade conflict. Both presidents set an ambitious 90-day timeline for Sino-American trade negotiators to reach broader economic agreements.

All key stock market indices worldwide rise in response to the Sino-U.S. trade truce. Dow Jones, NASDAQ, and S&P 500 reap 3% healthy gains for many U.S. stocks. Chinese, European, and other Asian stock market indices see similar 2%-5% gains as a natural result of investor optimism after the Trump-Xi G20 summit. Whether the Trump administration can continue to contain the economic prowess of *China 2025* remains a complex and mysterious national security concern. On balance, the Trump team should downplay the importance of seeking diplomatic means to dramatically reduce the current bilateral trade deficit with China. A more important strategic issue pertains to the fact that several Chinese regulations require U.S. tech titans to transfer critical technologies in the form of both backdoor intellectual property theft and infringement. The latter issue persists as a moot question.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig raise broad critical issues about bank capital regulation and asset market stabilization.

Charlene Vos

2023-06-07 10:27:00 Wednesday ET

Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig raise broad critical issues about bank capital regulation and asset market stabilization.

Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig raise broad critical issues about bank capital regulation and asset market stabilization. Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig (

+See More

AYA free finbuzz analytic report on the U.S. top tech titans FAMGA Spring-Summer 2020

Chanel Holden

2020-05-05 09:31:00 Tuesday ET

AYA free finbuzz analytic report on the U.S. top tech titans FAMGA Spring-Summer 2020

Our fintech finbuzz analytic report shines fresh light on the fundamental prospects of U.S. tech titans Facebook, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon (F.A.

+See More

America and China cannot decouple decades of long-term collaboration in trade, finance, and technology.

Becky Berkman

2019-12-16 11:37:00 Monday ET

America and China cannot decouple decades of long-term collaboration in trade, finance, and technology.

America and China cannot decouple decades of long-term collaboration in trade, finance, and technology. In recent times, some economists claim that China ma

+See More

Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe outlines the main economic priorities for the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan.

Laura Hermes

2019-07-13 07:17:00 Saturday ET

Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe outlines the main economic priorities for the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan.

Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe outlines the main economic priorities for the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan. First, Asian countries need to forge the key Re

+See More

Credit supply growth drives business cycle fluctuations and often sows the seeds of their own subsequent destruction.

Fiona Sydney

2018-04-26 07:37:00 Thursday ET

Credit supply growth drives business cycle fluctuations and often sows the seeds of their own subsequent destruction.

Credit supply growth drives business cycle fluctuations and often sows the seeds of their own subsequent destruction. The global financial crisis from 2008

+See More

The semiconductor microchip demand-supply imbalance remains severe for American big tech.

Amy Hamilton

2022-05-30 09:32:00 Monday ET

The semiconductor microchip demand-supply imbalance remains severe for American big tech.

The new semiconductor microchip demand-supply imbalance remains quite severe for the U.S. tech and auto industries.  Our current fundamental macro a

+See More