Presidents Trump and Xi agree on an interim trade truce at the G20 summit in Argentina.

Apple Boston

2018-12-09 08:44:00 Sun ET

President Trump meets with Chinese President Xi again at the G20 summit in the city of Buenos Aires, Argentina, in late-November 2018. President Donald Trump and President Xi JinPing, the political leaders of the 2 largest economies on earth, agree to a 90-day trace truce and ceasefire in the Sino-U.S. trade war. After the 3-hour dinner discussion at the G20 summit, Trump agrees to retain the 10% tariffs on $200 billion Chinese goods without raising the tariffs to 25% in the next 90 days. In exchange, China agrees to buy substantial amounts of agriculture, energy, and other goods from America to help reduce the Sino-U.S. bilateral trade deficit.

Chinese state councilor and foreign minister Wang Yi extends many reconciliatory gestures and regards the Trump-Xi summit *candid and amicable*. Wang remains optimistic about opening up the Chinese market for U.S. multinational corporations from Apple and Microsoft to Ford and Merck etc. Wang further expects Sino-U.S. trade delegates to step up serious negotiations toward the eventual elimination of all additional tariffs.

However, stock market analysts and commentators warn that the trade truce may be only an interim tactical solution. This trade truce can barely be a major business breakthrough on substance, but a new framework for subsequent Sino-American economic dialogues. Over the steak dinner at G20, Trump and Xi agree on mutual compromises that help pause their unproductive trade conflict. Both presidents set an ambitious 90-day timeline for Sino-American trade negotiators to reach broader economic agreements.

All key stock market indices worldwide rise in response to the Sino-U.S. trade truce. Dow Jones, NASDAQ, and S&P 500 reap 3% healthy gains for many U.S. stocks. Chinese, European, and other Asian stock market indices see similar 2%-5% gains as a natural result of investor optimism after the Trump-Xi G20 summit. Whether the Trump administration can continue to contain the economic prowess of *China 2025* remains a complex and mysterious national security concern. On balance, the Trump team should downplay the importance of seeking diplomatic means to dramatically reduce the current bilateral trade deficit with China. A more important strategic issue pertains to the fact that several Chinese regulations require U.S. tech titans to transfer critical technologies in the form of both backdoor intellectual property theft and infringement. The latter issue persists as a moot question.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

AT&T wins court approval to take over Time Warner with a trademark $85 billion bid despite the Trump prior dissent due to antitrust concerns.

Chanel Holden

2018-06-07 10:36:00 Thursday ET

AT&T wins court approval to take over Time Warner with a trademark $85 billion bid despite the Trump prior dissent due to antitrust concerns.

AT&T wins court approval to take over Time Warner with a trademark $85 billion bid despite the Trump administration prior dissent due to antitrust conce

+See More

The Chinese administration delivers a written response to U.S. demands for trade reforms.

Olivia London

2018-11-25 12:37:00 Sunday ET

The Chinese administration delivers a written response to U.S. demands for trade reforms.

The Chinese administration delivers a written response to U.S. demands for trade reforms. This strategic move helps trigger more formal negotiations between

+See More

Fed Chair Jerome Powell answers CBS News 60 Minutes questions about the recent U.S. economic outlook.

Dan Rochefort

2019-03-29 12:28:00 Friday ET

Fed Chair Jerome Powell answers CBS News 60 Minutes questions about the recent U.S. economic outlook.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell answers CBS News 60 Minutes questions about the recent U.S. economic outlook and interest rate cycle. Powell views the c

+See More

U.S. government shuts down again because House Democrats refuse to spend $5 billion on the border wall.

Amy Hamilton

2019-01-19 12:38:00 Saturday ET

U.S. government shuts down again because House Democrats refuse to spend $5 billion on the border wall.

U.S. government shuts down again because House Democrats refuse to spend $5 billion on the border wall that would give President Trump great victory on his

+See More

The new Fed chairman Jerome Powell faces a new challenge in the form of core CPI rate hikes toward 1.8%-2.1%.

Laura Hermes

2018-02-07 06:38:00 Wednesday ET

The new Fed chairman Jerome Powell faces a new challenge in the form of core CPI rate hikes toward 1.8%-2.1%.

The new Fed chairman Jerome Powell faces a new challenge in the form of both core CPI and CPI inflation rate hikes toward 1.8%-2.1% year-over-year with stro

+See More

The current AI-driven stock market rally may not be an asset bubble yet.

Laura Hermes

2027-04-30 12:31:00 Friday ET

The current AI-driven stock market rally may not be an asset bubble yet.

In recent years, the current AI-driven stock market rally may or may not turn out to be another major asset bubble in global human history. For the pract

+See More