2019-01-02 06:28:00 Wed ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
New York Fed CEO John Williams listens to sharp share price declines as part of the data-dependent interest rate policy. The Federal Reserve can respond to stock market plunges, but key FOMC members still view the U.S. economy as sufficiently strong to grow with higher interest rates. Williams emphasizes softening the central bank language that the next 2 interest rate increases are only economic projections. The upward interest rate trajectory is not a matter of right-or-wrong with Wall Street, and the central bank cannot be on autopilot at this stage of the real business cycle. Williams expects U.S. real GDP to slow to 2%-2.5% in 2019 from 3%-3.5% in 2018, whereas, inflation should be around 2% in 2019. Trump tariffs continue to pose a major tone of economic policy uncertainty.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin tries to assuage bank CEOs and stock market investors that the Trump administration has no power to oust Fed Chair Jay Powell for his recent interest rate hike. Mnuchin seeks consultation with the Securities and Exchange Commission and Federal Reserve on the partial government shutdown and stock market turmoil. This stock market plunge protection team hence receives reassurance from banks that there is ample liquidity for lending to both consumers and firms.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2022-03-05 09:27:00 Saturday ET
Addendum on empirical tests of multi-factor models for asset return prediction Fama and French (2015) propose an empirical five-factor asset pricing mode
2017-09-13 10:35:00 Wednesday ET
CNBC reports the Top 5 features of Apple's iPhone X. This new product release can be the rising tide that lifts all boats in Apple's upstream value
2023-08-14 09:25:00 Monday ET
Peter Isard analyzes the proper economic policy reforms and root causes of global financial crises of the 1990s and 2008-2009. Peter Isard (2005) &nbs
2018-12-29 09:32:00 Saturday ET
Andy Yeh Alpha (AYA) AYA Analytica financial health memo (FHM) podcast channel on YouTube December 2018 AYA Analytica is our online regular podcast and news
2018-05-23 09:41:00 Wednesday ET
Many U.S. large public corporations spend their tax cuts on new dividend payout and share buyback but not on new job creation and R&D innovation. These
2023-08-31 10:22:00 Thursday ET
Government intervention remains a major influence over global trade, finance, and technology. Nowadays, many governments tend to eschew common ownership