2019-01-02 06:28:00 Wed ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
New York Fed CEO John Williams listens to sharp share price declines as part of the data-dependent interest rate policy. The Federal Reserve can respond to stock market plunges, but key FOMC members still view the U.S. economy as sufficiently strong to grow with higher interest rates. Williams emphasizes softening the central bank language that the next 2 interest rate increases are only economic projections. The upward interest rate trajectory is not a matter of right-or-wrong with Wall Street, and the central bank cannot be on autopilot at this stage of the real business cycle. Williams expects U.S. real GDP to slow to 2%-2.5% in 2019 from 3%-3.5% in 2018, whereas, inflation should be around 2% in 2019. Trump tariffs continue to pose a major tone of economic policy uncertainty.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin tries to assuage bank CEOs and stock market investors that the Trump administration has no power to oust Fed Chair Jay Powell for his recent interest rate hike. Mnuchin seeks consultation with the Securities and Exchange Commission and Federal Reserve on the partial government shutdown and stock market turmoil. This stock market plunge protection team hence receives reassurance from banks that there is ample liquidity for lending to both consumers and firms.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2023-04-21 12:39:00 Friday ET

Angus Deaton analyzes the correlation between health and wealth in light of the economic origins of inequality worldwide. Angus Deaton (2015)
2020-02-05 10:28:00 Wednesday ET

Our proprietary AYA fintech finbuzz essay shines light on the modern collection of business insights with executive annotations and personal reflections. Th
2019-07-30 15:33:00 Tuesday ET

All of the 18 systemically important banks pass the annual Federal Reserve stress tests. Many of the largest lenders announce higher cash payouts to shareho
2025-06-20 08:27:00 Friday ET

President Trump poses new threats to Fed Chair monetary policy independence again. We describe, discuss, and delve into the mainstream reasons, conc
2018-06-08 13:35:00 Friday ET

The Federal Reserve delivers a second interest rate hike to 1.75%-2% and then expects subsequent rate increases in September and December 2018 to dampen inf
2018-09-27 11:41:00 Thursday ET

Michael Kors pays $2.3 billion to acquire the Italian elite fashion brand Versace. In accordance with Michael Kors's 5-year plan, the joint company grow