2019-01-02 06:28:00 Wed ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
New York Fed CEO John Williams listens to sharp share price declines as part of the data-dependent interest rate policy. The Federal Reserve can respond to stock market plunges, but key FOMC members still view the U.S. economy as sufficiently strong to grow with higher interest rates. Williams emphasizes softening the central bank language that the next 2 interest rate increases are only economic projections. The upward interest rate trajectory is not a matter of right-or-wrong with Wall Street, and the central bank cannot be on autopilot at this stage of the real business cycle. Williams expects U.S. real GDP to slow to 2%-2.5% in 2019 from 3%-3.5% in 2018, whereas, inflation should be around 2% in 2019. Trump tariffs continue to pose a major tone of economic policy uncertainty.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin tries to assuage bank CEOs and stock market investors that the Trump administration has no power to oust Fed Chair Jay Powell for his recent interest rate hike. Mnuchin seeks consultation with the Securities and Exchange Commission and Federal Reserve on the partial government shutdown and stock market turmoil. This stock market plunge protection team hence receives reassurance from banks that there is ample liquidity for lending to both consumers and firms.
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2018-12-23 13:39:00 Sunday ET
The House of Representatives considers a government expenditure bill with border wall finance and therefore sets up a shutdown stalemate with Senate. As fre
2019-07-05 09:32:00 Friday ET
Warwick macroeconomic expert Roger Farmer proposes paying for social welfare programs with no tax hikes. The U.S. government pension and Medicare liabilitie
2019-08-24 14:38:00 Saturday ET
Warren Buffett warns that the current cap ratio of U.S. stock market capitalization to real GDP seems to be much higher than the long-run average benchmark.
2019-05-05 10:34:00 Sunday ET
Former Vice President Joe Biden enters the next U.S. presidential race with many moderate-to-progressive policy proposals. At the age of 76, Biden stands ou
2018-11-23 09:39:00 Friday ET
Former White House chief economic advisor Gary Cohn points out that there is no instant cure for the Sino-U.S. trade dilemma. After the U.S. midterm electio
2019-09-25 15:33:00 Wednesday ET
Product market competition and online e-commerce help constrain money supply growth with low inflation. Key e-commerce retailers such as Amazon, Alibaba, an