2018-05-13 08:33:00 Sun ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Incoming New York Fed President John Williams suggests that it is about time to end forward guidance in order to stop holding the financial market's hand. As the current president and chief research director of San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, Williams expects U.S. inflation to rise to the central bank's 2% target in mid-2018. This inflation expectation resonates with the key consensus that most FOMC members share in the recent central bank forum. The inflation rate can stay above the 2% target for another couple of years even as the Federal Reserve continues the current interest rate hike toward late-2019. Also, Williams shares and echoes Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent open statement that the Federal Reserve should complete the current course of forward guidance.
In fact, economic media commentators and stock market investors should focus on economic data such as real GDP economic growth, employment, wage growth, capital investment, and industrial production etc. It is thus futile for financial market observers to read into the FOMC minutes, narratives, and word choices etc for key clues about the U.S. macro economy. The FOMC minutes and linguistic analytics can be informative to some extent, whereas, only economic data drive monetary policy decisions.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-09-19 12:38:00 Wednesday ET
The Trump administration imposes 10% tariffs on $200 billion Chinese imports and expects to raise these tariffs to 25% additional duties toward the end of t
2025-06-28 10:39:00 Saturday ET
Former New York Times science author and Harvard psychologist Daniel Goleman explains why great mental focus serves as a vital mainstream driver of personal
2019-04-17 11:34:00 Wednesday ET
Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos admits the fact that antitrust scrutiny remains a primary imminent threat to his e-commerce business empire. In his annual letter to A
2018-02-23 09:35:00 Friday ET
Warren Buffett releases his annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders as of February 2018. Buffett discusses Berkshire's core cash ambition, its
2020-03-05 08:28:00 Thursday ET
The Stanford computer science overlords Larry Page and Sergey Brin design and develop Google as an Internet search company. Janet Lowe (2009) Google s
2019-05-11 10:28:00 Saturday ET
The Trump administration still expects to reach a Sino-U.S. trade agreement with a better mechanism for intellectual property protection and enforcement. Pr