2018-05-13 08:33:00 Sun ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Incoming New York Fed President John Williams suggests that it is about time to end forward guidance in order to stop holding the financial market's hand. As the current president and chief research director of San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, Williams expects U.S. inflation to rise to the central bank's 2% target in mid-2018. This inflation expectation resonates with the key consensus that most FOMC members share in the recent central bank forum. The inflation rate can stay above the 2% target for another couple of years even as the Federal Reserve continues the current interest rate hike toward late-2019. Also, Williams shares and echoes Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent open statement that the Federal Reserve should complete the current course of forward guidance.
In fact, economic media commentators and stock market investors should focus on economic data such as real GDP economic growth, employment, wage growth, capital investment, and industrial production etc. It is thus futile for financial market observers to read into the FOMC minutes, narratives, and word choices etc for key clues about the U.S. macro economy. The FOMC minutes and linguistic analytics can be informative to some extent, whereas, only economic data drive monetary policy decisions.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-06-21 13:33:00 Friday ET
Amazon and Google face more intense antitrust scrutiny. In recent times, Justice Department and Federal Trade Commission have reached an internal agreement
2018-04-26 07:37:00 Thursday ET
Credit supply growth drives business cycle fluctuations and often sows the seeds of their own subsequent destruction. The global financial crisis from 2008
2026-04-30 08:28:00 Thursday ET
In the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services, the new integration of artificial intelligence (AI)
2017-10-27 06:35:00 Friday ET
Leon Cooperman, Chairman and CEO of Omega Advisors, points out that the current Trump stock market rally now approaches normalization. The U.S. stock market
2019-01-13 12:37:00 Sunday ET
We need crowdfunds to support our next responsive web design and iOS and Android app development. Upon successful campaign completion, we will provide an eb
2018-12-11 10:34:06 Tuesday ET
Several eminent American China-specialists champion the key notion of *strategic engagement* with the Xi administration. From the Hoover Institution at Stan