2018-05-13 08:33:00 Sun ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Incoming New York Fed President John Williams suggests that it is about time to end forward guidance in order to stop holding the financial market's hand. As the current president and chief research director of San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, Williams expects U.S. inflation to rise to the central bank's 2% target in mid-2018. This inflation expectation resonates with the key consensus that most FOMC members share in the recent central bank forum. The inflation rate can stay above the 2% target for another couple of years even as the Federal Reserve continues the current interest rate hike toward late-2019. Also, Williams shares and echoes Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent open statement that the Federal Reserve should complete the current course of forward guidance.
In fact, economic media commentators and stock market investors should focus on economic data such as real GDP economic growth, employment, wage growth, capital investment, and industrial production etc. It is thus futile for financial market observers to read into the FOMC minutes, narratives, and word choices etc for key clues about the U.S. macro economy. The FOMC minutes and linguistic analytics can be informative to some extent, whereas, only economic data drive monetary policy decisions.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2023-12-04 12:30:00 Monday ET

Bank leverage and capital bias adjustment through the macroeconomic cycle Abstract We assess the quantitative effects of the recent proposal
2018-08-03 07:33:00 Friday ET

President Trump escalates the current Sino-American trade war by imposing 25% tariffs on $200 billion Chinese imports. These tariffs encompass chemical prod
2019-07-31 11:34:00 Wednesday ET

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube July 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of July 2019: (1) All 18 systemical
2018-08-15 14:40:00 Wednesday ET

Senator Elizabeth Warren advocates the alternative view that most U.S. trade deals serve corporate interests over workers, customers, and suppliers etc. She
2019-02-03 13:39:00 Sunday ET

It can be practical for the U.S. to impose the 2% wealth tax on the rich. Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren proposes a 2% wealth tax on the richest Americ
2018-11-25 12:37:00 Sunday ET

The Chinese administration delivers a written response to U.S. demands for trade reforms. This strategic move helps trigger more formal negotiations between