Incoming New York Fed President John Williams suggests that it is about time to end forward guidance.

Becky Berkman

2018-05-13 08:33:00 Sun ET

Incoming New York Fed President John Williams suggests that it is about time to end forward guidance in order to stop holding the financial market's hand. As the current president and chief research director of San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, Williams expects U.S. inflation to rise to the central bank's 2% target in mid-2018. This inflation expectation resonates with the key consensus that most FOMC members share in the recent central bank forum. The inflation rate can stay above the 2% target for another couple of years even as the Federal Reserve continues the current interest rate hike toward late-2019. Also, Williams shares and echoes Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent open statement that the Federal Reserve should complete the current course of forward guidance.

In fact, economic media commentators and stock market investors should focus on economic data such as real GDP economic growth, employment, wage growth, capital investment, and industrial production etc. It is thus futile for financial market observers to read into the FOMC minutes, narratives, and word choices etc for key clues about the U.S. macro economy. The FOMC minutes and linguistic analytics can be informative to some extent, whereas, only economic data drive monetary policy decisions.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Apple provides positive forward guidance on both revenue and profit forecasts for iPhones, iPads, and MacBooks.

James Campbell

2019-02-09 08:33:00 Saturday ET

Apple provides positive forward guidance on both revenue and profit forecasts for iPhones, iPads, and MacBooks.

Apple provides positive forward guidance on both revenue and profit forecasts for iPhones, iPads, and MacBooks. In the Christmas 2018 festive season, MacBoo

+See More

Financial institutions benefit from higher equity risk premiums and interest rate spreads.

Charlene Vos

2017-04-01 06:40:00 Saturday ET

Financial institutions benefit from higher equity risk premiums and interest rate spreads.

With the current interest rate hike, large banks and insurance companies are likely to benefit from higher equity risk premiums and interest rate spreads.

+See More

Louis Kaplow strives to find a delicate balance between efficiency gains and redistributive taxes in the social welfare function.

Chanel Holden

2023-07-07 10:29:00 Friday ET

Louis Kaplow strives to find a delicate balance between efficiency gains and redistributive taxes in the social welfare function.

Louis Kaplow strives to find a delicate balance between efficiency gains and redistributive taxes in the social welfare function. Louis Kaplow (2010)

+See More

President Trump warns Google, Facebook, and Twitter that these tech titans now tread on troublesome territory.

Daphne Basel

2018-08-25 12:33:00 Saturday ET

President Trump warns Google, Facebook, and Twitter that these tech titans now tread on troublesome territory.

President Trump warns Google, Facebook, and Twitter that these tech titans now tread on troublesome territory. Specifically, Trump accuses Google of rigging

+See More

Value investment strategies make investors wiser like water with core fundamental factor analysis.

Jacob Miramar

2018-04-17 12:38:00 Tuesday ET

Value investment strategies make investors wiser like water with core fundamental factor analysis.

Value investment strategies make investors wiser like water with core fundamental factor analysis. Value investors tend to buy stocks below their intrinsic

+See More

Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fundamental analysis of IonQ (U.S. stock symbol: $IONQ).

Olivia London

2025-10-01 10:29:00 Wednesday ET

Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fundamental analysis of IonQ (U.S. stock symbol: $IONQ).

Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fund

+See More