2018-05-13 08:33:00 Sun ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Incoming New York Fed President John Williams suggests that it is about time to end forward guidance in order to stop holding the financial market's hand. As the current president and chief research director of San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, Williams expects U.S. inflation to rise to the central bank's 2% target in mid-2018. This inflation expectation resonates with the key consensus that most FOMC members share in the recent central bank forum. The inflation rate can stay above the 2% target for another couple of years even as the Federal Reserve continues the current interest rate hike toward late-2019. Also, Williams shares and echoes Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent open statement that the Federal Reserve should complete the current course of forward guidance.
In fact, economic media commentators and stock market investors should focus on economic data such as real GDP economic growth, employment, wage growth, capital investment, and industrial production etc. It is thus futile for financial market observers to read into the FOMC minutes, narratives, and word choices etc for key clues about the U.S. macro economy. The FOMC minutes and linguistic analytics can be informative to some extent, whereas, only economic data drive monetary policy decisions.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-06-01 07:30:00 Friday ET
The U.S. federal government debt has risen from less than 40% of total GDP about a decade ago to 78% as of May 2018. The Congressional Budget Office predict
2018-03-07 07:34:00 Wednesday ET
President Trump tweets his key decision to oust State Secretary Rex Tillerson after several months of intense disagreement over diplomatic affairs. Trump so
2018-05-17 07:41:00 Thursday ET
Has America become a democratic free land of crumbling infrastructure, galloping income inequality, bitter political polarization, and dysfunctional governa
2019-06-07 04:02:05 Friday ET
The world seeks to reduce medicine prices and other health care costs to better regulate big pharma. Nowadays the Trump administration requires pharmaceutic
2019-04-29 08:35:00 Monday ET
IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath predicts no global recession with key downside risks at this delicate moment. First, trade tensions remain one of the key
2019-04-01 08:28:00 Monday ET
OraSure and its subsidiary DNA Genotek specialize in the lean production of home DNA spit tubes. OraSure extracts core genetic information from microbiome s