2018-12-07 11:35:00 Fri ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Fed Chair Jerome Powell hints slower interest rate increases because the current rate is just below the neutral threshold. NYSE and NASDAQ share prices rebound in response to the accommodative monetary policy moderation. Dow Jones surges about 600 points primarily due to this less hawkish stance. Wall Street expects the current interest rate hike to taper off. As a result, the U.S. dollar weakens a little bit relative to the major trade-weighted-average greenback index.
FOMC minutes reveal the high likelihood of another quarter-point increase in the federal funds rate in December 2018. However, some FOMC members propose removing the reference to *further gradual increases* in the target range insofar as the current stock market conditions persist. The federal funds rate might be near its neutral level so that some further rate hikes might inadvertently slow the current macroeconomic expansion and productivity growth. Within the target neutral range of interest rates, the U.S. economy operates with lower unemployment (3.7%) with minimal inflationary pressure (2%). Several FOMC members continue to express their deep concerns about Sino-U.S. tariff tension, corporate leverage, and public debt accumulation. The Trump team should exercise a fair bit of fiscal discipline in taxation and infrastructure with interim arrangements for Sino-American fair trade.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-01-01 06:30:00 Monday ET
As former chairman of the British Financial Services Authority and former director of the London School of Economics, Howard Davies shares his ingenious ins
2018-01-05 07:37:00 Friday ET
Warren Buffett cleverly points out that American children will not only be better off than their parents, but the former will also enjoy higher living stand
2023-08-28 08:26:00 Monday ET
Jared Diamond delves into how some societies fail, succeed, and revive in global human history. Jared Diamond (2004) Collapse: how societies
2023-07-14 10:32:00 Friday ET
Ray Fair applies his macroeconometric model to study the central features of the U.S. macroeconomy such as price stability and full employment in the dual m
2017-08-01 09:40:00 Tuesday ET
In American states, all of the Top 4 richest people are self-made billionaires: Bill Gates in Washington, Warren Buffett in Nebraska, Michael Bloomberg in N
2019-02-01 15:35:00 Friday ET
Our proprietary alpha investment model outperforms the major stock market benchmarks such as S&P 500, MSCI, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq. We implem