2018-12-07 11:35:00 Fri ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Fed Chair Jerome Powell hints slower interest rate increases because the current rate is just below the neutral threshold. NYSE and NASDAQ share prices rebound in response to the accommodative monetary policy moderation. Dow Jones surges about 600 points primarily due to this less hawkish stance. Wall Street expects the current interest rate hike to taper off. As a result, the U.S. dollar weakens a little bit relative to the major trade-weighted-average greenback index.
FOMC minutes reveal the high likelihood of another quarter-point increase in the federal funds rate in December 2018. However, some FOMC members propose removing the reference to *further gradual increases* in the target range insofar as the current stock market conditions persist. The federal funds rate might be near its neutral level so that some further rate hikes might inadvertently slow the current macroeconomic expansion and productivity growth. Within the target neutral range of interest rates, the U.S. economy operates with lower unemployment (3.7%) with minimal inflationary pressure (2%). Several FOMC members continue to express their deep concerns about Sino-U.S. tariff tension, corporate leverage, and public debt accumulation. The Trump team should exercise a fair bit of fiscal discipline in taxation and infrastructure with interim arrangements for Sino-American fair trade.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-11-21 11:34:00 Thursday ET

Berkeley macro economist Brad DeLong sees no good reasons for an imminent economic recession with mass unemployment and even depression. The current U.S. ec
2023-12-05 09:25:00 Tuesday ET

Better corporate ownership governance through worldwide convergence toward Berle-Means stock ownership dispersion Abstract We design a model
2020-02-05 10:28:00 Wednesday ET

Our proprietary AYA fintech finbuzz essay shines light on the modern collection of business insights with executive annotations and personal reflections. Th
2020-11-01 11:21:00 Sunday ET

Artificial intelligence continues to push boundaries for several tech titans to sustain their central disruptive innovations, competitive moats, and first-m
2019-02-28 20:44:00 Thursday ET

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube February 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of February 2019: (1) our proprieta
2020-06-17 09:23:00 Wednesday ET

Successful founders focus on their continuous growth, passion, perseverance, and the collective wisdom of most team members. William Ferguson (2013) &