2018-12-07 11:35:00 Fri ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Fed Chair Jerome Powell hints slower interest rate increases because the current rate is just below the neutral threshold. NYSE and NASDAQ share prices rebound in response to the accommodative monetary policy moderation. Dow Jones surges about 600 points primarily due to this less hawkish stance. Wall Street expects the current interest rate hike to taper off. As a result, the U.S. dollar weakens a little bit relative to the major trade-weighted-average greenback index.
FOMC minutes reveal the high likelihood of another quarter-point increase in the federal funds rate in December 2018. However, some FOMC members propose removing the reference to *further gradual increases* in the target range insofar as the current stock market conditions persist. The federal funds rate might be near its neutral level so that some further rate hikes might inadvertently slow the current macroeconomic expansion and productivity growth. Within the target neutral range of interest rates, the U.S. economy operates with lower unemployment (3.7%) with minimal inflationary pressure (2%). Several FOMC members continue to express their deep concerns about Sino-U.S. tariff tension, corporate leverage, and public debt accumulation. The Trump team should exercise a fair bit of fiscal discipline in taxation and infrastructure with interim arrangements for Sino-American fair trade.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-02-09 08:33:00 Saturday ET

Apple provides positive forward guidance on both revenue and profit forecasts for iPhones, iPads, and MacBooks. In the Christmas 2018 festive season, MacBoo
2026-04-30 08:28:00 Thursday ET

In the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services, the new integration of artificial intelligence (AI)
2023-03-07 11:29:00 Tuesday ET

Former Bank of England Governor Mervyn King provides his deep substantive analysis of the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009. Mervyn King (2017) &nb
2019-03-23 09:31:00 Saturday ET

Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez proposes greater public debt finance with minimal tax increases for the Green New Deal. In accordance with the modern
2022-02-15 14:41:00 Tuesday ET

Modern themes and insights in behavioral finance Lee, C.M., Shleifer, A., and Thaler, R.H. (1990). Anomalies: closed-end mutual funds. Journal
2022-04-15 10:32:00 Friday ET

Corporate investment management This review of corporate investment literature focuses on some recent empirical studies of M&A, capital investm