2019-06-11 12:33:00 Tue ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Robert Kaplan expects the U.S. economy to grow at 2.2%-2.5% in 2019-2020 as inflation rises a bit. In an interview with Fox Business Network, Kaplan indicates that it might be too soon to gauge the ripple effects of U.S. tariffs on core Chinese and European imports, dollar gyrations, and inflationary concerns.
As the Federal Reserve remains patient on the next monetary policy adjustments, credible central bank communication can help circumvent financial imbalances in the U.S. real economy. Meanwhile, the Sino-American trade tension intensifies, so many stock market analysts now consider low inflation to be transitory. As Federal Reserve balance sheet shrinkage continues, some stock market analysts expect this balance sheet strategy to halt in light of higher U.S. Treasury bond yields. The higher yields may inadvertently tighten credit conditions for mortgage borrowers and corporate debtors. In this negative light, this logic leads to financial imbalances in the form of exorbitant mortgage and business debt. These financial imbalances can exacerbate the real estate and business debt dilemma. When push comes to shove, monetary policymakers need to consider the potential ramifications of credit supply shortage before Federal Reserve steers the next interest rate adjustments.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-03-01 07:35:00 Thursday ET

Trump imposes high tariffs on steel (25%) and aluminum (10%) in a new trade war with subsequent exemptions for Canada and Mexico. The Trump administration
2018-09-17 12:40:00 Monday ET

Nobel Laureate Robert Shiller's long-term stock market indicator points to a recent peak. His cyclically-adjusted P/E ratio (or CAPE) accounts for long-
2020-01-08 08:25:00 Wednesday ET

Conservative Party wins the British parliamentary majority in the general election with hefty British pound appreciation. In response to this general electi
2023-11-14 08:24:00 Tuesday ET

Thomas Sowell argues that some economic reforms inadvertently exacerbate economic disparities. Thomas Sowell (2019) Discrimination and econo
2020-05-14 12:35:00 Thursday ET

Disruptive innovators can better compete against luck by figuring out why customers hire products and services to accomplish jobs. Clayton Christensen, T
2018-09-21 09:41:00 Friday ET

Former World Bank and IMF chief advisor Anne Krueger explains why the Trump administration's current tariff tactics undermine the multilateral global tr