2019-06-11 12:33:00 Tue ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Robert Kaplan expects the U.S. economy to grow at 2.2%-2.5% in 2019-2020 as inflation rises a bit. In an interview with Fox Business Network, Kaplan indicates that it might be too soon to gauge the ripple effects of U.S. tariffs on core Chinese and European imports, dollar gyrations, and inflationary concerns.
As the Federal Reserve remains patient on the next monetary policy adjustments, credible central bank communication can help circumvent financial imbalances in the U.S. real economy. Meanwhile, the Sino-American trade tension intensifies, so many stock market analysts now consider low inflation to be transitory. As Federal Reserve balance sheet shrinkage continues, some stock market analysts expect this balance sheet strategy to halt in light of higher U.S. Treasury bond yields. The higher yields may inadvertently tighten credit conditions for mortgage borrowers and corporate debtors. In this negative light, this logic leads to financial imbalances in the form of exorbitant mortgage and business debt. These financial imbalances can exacerbate the real estate and business debt dilemma. When push comes to shove, monetary policymakers need to consider the potential ramifications of credit supply shortage before Federal Reserve steers the next interest rate adjustments.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-10-01 07:33:00 Monday ET

President Trump announces the new trilateral trade agreement among America, Canada, and Mexico: the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) replaces and revamp
2023-09-28 08:26:00 Thursday ET

Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson show a constant economic tussle between society and the state in the hot pursuit of liberty. Daron Acemoglu and James R
2018-10-13 10:44:00 Saturday ET

Dow Jones tumbles 3% or 831 points while NASDAQ tanks 4%, and this negative investor sentiment rips through most European and Asian stock markets in early-O
2018-08-19 10:34:00 Sunday ET

The World Economic Forum warns that artificial intelligence may destabilize the financial system. Artificial intelligence poses at least a trifecta of major
2018-09-23 08:37:00 Sunday ET

Bank of America Merrill Lynch's chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett points out that U.S. corporate debt (not household credit supply or bank ca
2020-11-24 09:30:00 Tuesday ET

Many analytic business competitors can apply smart data science to support their distinctive capabilities and strategic advantages. Thomas Davenport and