Berkeley professor and economist Barry Eichengreen reconciles the nominal and real interest rates to argue in favor of greater fiscal deficits.

Joseph Corr

2019-05-23 10:33:00 Thu ET

Berkeley professor and economist Barry Eichengreen reconciles the nominal and real interest rates to argue in favor of greater fiscal deficits. French economist and author Thomas Piketty advocates that there is an innate tendency toward wealth concentration in most market economies where the nominal interest rate on capital investments well exceeds the economic growth rate. Former IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard argues that the real interest rate on risk-free government bonds must be lower than the economic growth rate for most market economies to carry greater government debt with low inflation. Blanchard focuses on the real interest rate on low-risk government bonds, whereas, Piketty focuses on the nominal return on risky capital investments.

These interest rates diverge by a 5%-6% equity risk premium, which reflects how risk-averse the typical stock market investor is through the real business cycle. For Piketty, high wealth concentration can result from a large equity risk premium that calls for higher taxes on the rich. For Blanchard, the government can accumulate higher public debt as core CPI inflation remains moderate over time. On balance, Eichengreen supports greater fiscal deficit finance for health care, infrastructure, R&D, and social security as prices and asset premiums stabilize in recent times.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More
Admitting China to the WTO seems ineffective in imparting economic freedom and democracy to the communist regime.
Dan Rochefort

2018-07-27 10:35:00 Friday ET

Admitting China to the WTO seems ineffective in imparting economic freedom and democracy to the communist regime.

Admitting China to the World Trade Organization (WTO) and other international activities seems ineffective in imparting economic freedom and democracy to th

+See More
Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius proposes designing a new Financial Conditions Index (FCI).
Chanel Holden

2018-07-19 18:38:00 Thursday ET

Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius proposes designing a new Financial Conditions Index (FCI).

Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius proposes designing a new Financial Conditions Index (FCI) to be a weighted-average of interest rates, exchange rat

+See More
President Trump remains optimistic about the Sino-American trade war resolution.
Monica McNeil

2019-02-05 10:32:00 Tuesday ET

President Trump remains optimistic about the Sino-American trade war resolution.

President Trump remains optimistic about the Sino-American trade war resolution of both trade deficit eradication and tech transfer enforcement. Trump now s

+See More
Successful founders focus on their continuous growth, passion, perseverance, and the collective wisdom of most team members.
Laura Hermes

2020-06-17 09:23:00 Wednesday ET

Successful founders focus on their continuous growth, passion, perseverance, and the collective wisdom of most team members.

Successful founders focus on their continuous growth, passion, perseverance, and the collective wisdom of most team members. William Ferguson (2013) &

+See More
AYA Analytica podcast provides fresh insights into the latest stock market news, economic trends, and investment portfolio strategies.
Andy Yeh Alpha

2019-01-21 10:37:00 Monday ET

AYA Analytica podcast provides fresh insights into the latest stock market news, economic trends, and investment portfolio strategies.

Andy Yeh Alpha (AYA) AYA Analytica financial health memo (FHM) podcast channel on YouTube January 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues

+See More
Chicago finance professor Raghuram Rajan suggests that free markets need populist support against an unholy alliance of private-sector and state elites.
John Fourier

2019-05-21 12:37:00 Tuesday ET

Chicago finance professor Raghuram Rajan suggests that free markets need populist support against an unholy alliance of private-sector and state elites.

Chicago finance professor Raghuram Rajan shows that free markets need populist support against an unholy alliance of private-sector and state elites. When a

+See More