Yale economist Stephen Roach warns that America has much to lose from the current trade war with China for a few reasons.

Joseph Corr

2018-07-13 09:41:00 Fri ET

Yale economist Stephen Roach warns that America has much to lose from the current trade war with China for a few reasons. First, America is highly dependent on China as a key source of low-cost products and services. As America increases its trade bets and tariffs on $200 billion imports from China, most U.S. households and firms would face higher costs due to inflationary concerns.

Second, the Chinese government holds huge dollar amounts of U.S. Treasury bills and notes. These investments help finance the perennial U.S. budget deficit. Third, erecting tariffs, quotas, and even embargoes may isolate America from the OECD free trade bloc. In turn, U.S. economic output expansion and employment growth may slow down as a result. For these reasons, America has much to lose from its current trade conflict with China.

In contrast, Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor of Allianz, suggests that America is in a much stronger position to win the trade war against China. Further, it is crucial for America to protect its IT-driven intellectual property rights with better patent, trademark, and copyright enforcement. Chinese regulatory agencies have been notorious in requiring U.S. corporations to set up data centers and IT science parks in some major cities in China. In effect, this regulation transfers many patents and IT solutions from America to China.

The U.S. Trade Act Section 301 investigation hence concludes that it is opportune for the Trump administration to impose punitive tariffs on Chinese imports. Global stock market investors may suffer some short-term losses due to this relentless Sino-American trade conflict.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

The Trump administration blames China for egregious currency misalignment.

Olivia London

2018-10-17 12:33:00 Wednesday ET

The Trump administration blames China for egregious currency misalignment.

The Trump administration blames China for egregious currency misalignment, but this criticism cannot confirm *currency manipulation* on the part of the Chin

+See More

We may need to reconsider the new rules of personal finance.

Daphne Basel

2019-03-05 10:40:00 Tuesday ET

We may need to reconsider the new rules of personal finance.

We may need to reconsider the new rules of personal finance. First, renting a home can be a smart money move, whereas, buying a home cannot always be a good

+See More

CNBC All-America Economic Survey indicates 54% majority approval of the Trump team's supply-side economic reform.

Jonah Whanau

2018-07-11 09:39:00 Wednesday ET

CNBC All-America Economic Survey indicates 54% majority approval of the Trump team's supply-side economic reform.

In recent times, the Trump administration sees the sweet state of U.S. economic expansion as of early-July 2018. The latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey

+See More

The current homeland industrial policy stance worldwide seeks to embed the new notion of global resilience into economic statecraft.

Daisy Harvey

2025-01-31 09:26:00 Friday ET

The current homeland industrial policy stance worldwide seeks to embed the new notion of global resilience into economic statecraft.

The current homeland industrial policy stance worldwide seeks to embed the new notion of global resilience into economic statecraft. In the broader cont

+See More

The Trump team receives a 3.2% first-quarter GDP boost as Federal Reserve halts the next interest rate hike in May 2019.

Olivia London

2019-05-07 09:30:00 Tuesday ET

The Trump team receives a 3.2% first-quarter GDP boost as Federal Reserve halts the next interest rate hike in May 2019.

The Trump team receives a 3.2% first-quarter GDP boost as Fed Chair Jay Powell halts the next interest rate hike in early-May 2019. This smooth upward econo

+See More

The U.S. Treasury yield curve inverts for the first time since the Global Financial Crisis.

Apple Boston

2019-04-09 11:29:00 Tuesday ET

The U.S. Treasury yield curve inverts for the first time since the Global Financial Crisis.

The U.S. Treasury yield curve inverts for the first time since the Global Financial Crisis. The key term spread between the 10-year and 3-month U.S. Treasur

+See More