2018-10-07 13:39:00 Sun ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
The U.S. greenback soars in value as the Federal Reserve continues its interest rate hike. With impressive service-sector data and non-farm payroll wage growth, the dollar hits an 11-month high level against foreign currencies such as the Euro, British pound, Japanese yen, and Chinese renminbi etc. This currency adjustment drives U.S. 10-year Treasury yield to its highest level near 3.2% since mid-2011.
The latter long-term Treasury bond yield increase assuages the recent worries and concerns about potential U.S. yield curve inversion, which often indicates the dawn of a major U.S. economic recession.
From Europe and Australia to China and India, global economies either stagnate or slow down as U.S.-centric free capital flows take place. In addition to the recent greenback strength, crude oil prices surge toward $89-$95 per barrel in response to sequential decreases in OPEC oil production. As this oil price hike coincides with dollar appreciation, American households, firms, and financial intermediaries face inflationary cost increases across a common basket of goods and services.
Several economic media commentators pencil in another U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hike in December 2018 for better inflation containment.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-03-17 14:35:00 Sunday ET

U.S. trade rep Robert Lighthizer proposes America to require regular touchpoints to ensure Sino-U.S. trade deal enforcement. America has to maintain the thr
2017-11-17 09:42:00 Friday ET

The Trump administration garners congressional support from both Senate and the House of Representatives to pass the $1.5 trillion tax overhaul (Tax Cuts &a
2025-07-01 13:35:00 Tuesday ET

In recent times, financial deglobalization and asset market fragmentation can cause profound public policy implications for trade, finance, and technology w
2019-07-31 11:34:00 Wednesday ET

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube July 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of July 2019: (1) All 18 systemical
2023-11-30 08:29:00 Thursday ET

In addition to the OECD bank-credit-card model and Chinese online payment platforms, the open-payments gateways of UPI in India and Pix in Brazil have adapt
2023-12-09 08:28:00 Saturday ET

International trade, immigration, and elite-mass conflict The elite model portrays public policy as a reflection of the interests and values of elites. I