2018-10-07 13:39:00 Sun ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
The U.S. greenback soars in value as the Federal Reserve continues its interest rate hike. With impressive service-sector data and non-farm payroll wage growth, the dollar hits an 11-month high level against foreign currencies such as the Euro, British pound, Japanese yen, and Chinese renminbi etc. This currency adjustment drives U.S. 10-year Treasury yield to its highest level near 3.2% since mid-2011.
The latter long-term Treasury bond yield increase assuages the recent worries and concerns about potential U.S. yield curve inversion, which often indicates the dawn of a major U.S. economic recession.
From Europe and Australia to China and India, global economies either stagnate or slow down as U.S.-centric free capital flows take place. In addition to the recent greenback strength, crude oil prices surge toward $89-$95 per barrel in response to sequential decreases in OPEC oil production. As this oil price hike coincides with dollar appreciation, American households, firms, and financial intermediaries face inflationary cost increases across a common basket of goods and services.
Several economic media commentators pencil in another U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hike in December 2018 for better inflation containment.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-02-07 07:25:00 Thursday ET

President Trump picks David Malpass to run the World Bank to curb international multilateralism. The Trump administration seems to prefer bilateral negotiat
2026-02-14 11:26:00 Saturday ET

Our AYA fun podcasts deep-dive into the current global trends, topics, and issues in macro finance, political economy, public policy, strategic management,
2017-04-25 06:35:00 Tuesday ET

This nice and clear infographic visualization helps us better decipher the main memes and themes of President Donald Trump's first 100 days in office.
2018-09-30 14:34:00 Sunday ET

Goldman, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Credit Suisse, Morgan Stanley, and UBS face an antitrust lawsuit. In this lawsuit, a U.S. judge alleges the illegal cons
2023-03-14 16:43:00 Tuesday ET

Several feasible near-term reforms can substantially narrow the scope for global tax avoidance by closing information loopholes. Thomas Pogge and Krishen
2020-03-26 10:31:00 Thursday ET

The unique controversial management style of Steve Jobs helps translate his business acumen into smart product development. Jay Elliot (2012) Leading