2018-10-07 13:39:00 Sun ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
The U.S. greenback soars in value as the Federal Reserve continues its interest rate hike. With impressive service-sector data and non-farm payroll wage growth, the dollar hits an 11-month high level against foreign currencies such as the Euro, British pound, Japanese yen, and Chinese renminbi etc. This currency adjustment drives U.S. 10-year Treasury yield to its highest level near 3.2% since mid-2011.
The latter long-term Treasury bond yield increase assuages the recent worries and concerns about potential U.S. yield curve inversion, which often indicates the dawn of a major U.S. economic recession.
From Europe and Australia to China and India, global economies either stagnate or slow down as U.S.-centric free capital flows take place. In addition to the recent greenback strength, crude oil prices surge toward $89-$95 per barrel in response to sequential decreases in OPEC oil production. As this oil price hike coincides with dollar appreciation, American households, firms, and financial intermediaries face inflationary cost increases across a common basket of goods and services.
Several economic media commentators pencil in another U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hike in December 2018 for better inflation containment.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-12-07 11:35:00 Friday ET

Fed Chair Jerome Powell hints slower interest rate increases because the current rate is just below the neutral threshold. NYSE and NASDAQ share prices rebo
2018-06-09 16:40:00 Saturday ET

The Trump administration introduces new tariffs on $50 billion Chinese goods amid the persistent bilateral trade dispute. The tariffs effectively boost cost
2018-06-29 11:41:00 Friday ET

Amazon acquires an Internet pharmacy PillPack in order to better compete with Walgreens Boots Alliance, CVS Health, Rite Aid, and many other drug distributo
2018-11-29 11:33:00 Thursday ET

A congressional division between Democrats and Republicans can cause ripple effects on Trump economic reforms. As Democrats have successfully flipped the Ho
2023-12-04 12:30:00 Monday ET

Bank leverage and capital bias adjustment through the macroeconomic cycle Abstract We assess the quantitative effects of the recent proposal
2023-04-28 16:38:00 Friday ET

Peter Schuck analyzes U.S. government failures and structural problems in light of both institutions and incentives. Peter Schuck (2015) Why