2017-07-01 08:40:00 Sat ET
technology antitrust competition bilateral trade free trade fair trade trade agreement trade surplus trade deficit multilateralism neoliberalism world trade organization regulation public utility current account compliance
The Economist interviews President Donald Trump and spots the keyword *reciprocity* in many aspects of Trumponomics from trade and taxation to infrastructure and financial deregulation.
The New Keynesian expression of *priming the pump* can lead to greater economic growth with some fiscal deficit at least in the short run. According to Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, this additional economic growth can raise at least $2 trillion in tax revenue over the next decade. Also, the indefinite Trump tax holiday serves as a clear incentive for U.S. multinational corporations to repatriate offshore cash from tax havens up to $350 billion per year to invest in American job creation, manufacturing automation, technological innovation, and superior service provision.
In contrast to the core crux of Glass-Steagall Act, Trump and Mnuchin cannot envision breaking up the big banks that currently enjoy expansive economies of scale and scope. Post-Dodd-Frank deregulation provides an opportunity for bank stocks to outperform relative to the long-term average stock market P/E ratio of 15x to 16x.
While tax cuts trump trade, these tidal traces of Trumponomics shine fresh light on the new supply-side U.S. macroeconomic policy agenda in the Republican administration.
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