Many eminent investors suggest that the time may be ripe for a major stock market correction.

Becky Berkman

2017-08-13 09:36:00 Sun ET

Several investors and billionaires such as George Soros, Warren Buffett, Carl Icahn, and Howard Marks suggest that the time may be ripe for a major financial market correction. The recent optimistic Trump rally has catapulted stock and bond prices by a 20% margin. This stock and bond market overvaluation seems to be a natural result of President Trump's generous pro-growth fiscal stimulus trifecta of lower income taxation, financial deregulation, and new infrastructure with corporate offshore cash repatriation. Whether the current Trump financial market rally can deliver tangible economic gains depends on the eventual GDP growth trajectory toward the target range of 2.7% to 3.3% per annum.

During the current interest rate hike, we expect most stock and bond prices to moderately react to monetary contraction and self-fulfilling prophecy in a soft downward path. This new normal scenario does not necessarily correspond to secular stagnation in the precise words of Larry Summers and others. However, it is reasonable to anticipate a reasonable financial market correction in light of the recent nuclear standoff between America and North Korea, U.S. monetary contraction, and Trump trade conservatism. Overall, geopolitical risk remains the primary source of economic uncertainty as the Trump administration seeks to maintain a delicate balance between these undercurrents for better business growth and financial stability.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More
The Sino-U.S. trade war may be the Thucydides trap or a clash of Caucasian and non-Caucasian civilizations.
Chanel Holden

2019-06-03 11:31:00 Monday ET

The Sino-U.S. trade war may be the Thucydides trap or a clash of Caucasian and non-Caucasian civilizations.

The Sino-U.S. trade war may be the Thucydides trap or a clash of Caucasian and non-Caucasian civilizations. The proverbial Thucydides trap refers to the his

+See More
President Trump promises a great trade deal with China as Americans mull over mid-term elections.
Laura Hermes

2018-11-13 12:30:00 Tuesday ET

President Trump promises a great trade deal with China as Americans mull over mid-term elections.

President Trump promises a great trade deal with China as Americans mull over mid-term elections. President Trump wants to reach a trade accord with Chinese

+See More
Warren Buffett stock market investment principles
Daphne Basel

2020-02-05 10:28:00 Wednesday ET

Warren Buffett stock market investment principles

Our proprietary AYA fintech finbuzz essay shines light on the modern collection of business insights with executive annotations and personal reflections. Th

+See More
Apple releases the new iOS 13 smartphone features.
John Fourier

2019-07-01 12:35:00 Monday ET

Apple releases the new iOS 13 smartphone features.

Apple releases the new iOS 13 smartphone features. These features include Dark Mode, Audio Share, Memoji, better privacy protection, smart photo collection,

+See More
Many U.S. large public corporations spend their tax cuts on new dividend payout and share buyback.
Jacob Miramar

2018-05-23 09:41:00 Wednesday ET

Many U.S. large public corporations spend their tax cuts on new dividend payout and share buyback.

Many U.S. large public corporations spend their tax cuts on new dividend payout and share buyback but not on new job creation and R&D innovation. These

+See More
Business entrepreneurs dare to dream, remain true and authentic to themselves, and try to make a great social impact in the world.
Charlene Vos

2020-07-05 11:31:00 Sunday ET

Business entrepreneurs dare to dream, remain true and authentic to themselves, and try to make a great social impact in the world.

Business entrepreneurs dare to dream, remain true and authentic to themselves, and try to make a great social impact in the world. Alex Malley (2014)

+See More