Many eminent investors suggest that the time may be ripe for a major stock market correction.

Becky Berkman

2017-08-13 09:36:00 Sun ET

Several investors and billionaires such as George Soros, Warren Buffett, Carl Icahn, and Howard Marks suggest that the time may be ripe for a major financial market correction. The recent optimistic Trump rally has catapulted stock and bond prices by a 20% margin. This stock and bond market overvaluation seems to be a natural result of President Trump's generous pro-growth fiscal stimulus trifecta of lower income taxation, financial deregulation, and new infrastructure with corporate offshore cash repatriation. Whether the current Trump financial market rally can deliver tangible economic gains depends on the eventual GDP growth trajectory toward the target range of 2.7% to 3.3% per annum.

During the current interest rate hike, we expect most stock and bond prices to moderately react to monetary contraction and self-fulfilling prophecy in a soft downward path. This new normal scenario does not necessarily correspond to secular stagnation in the precise words of Larry Summers and others. However, it is reasonable to anticipate a reasonable financial market correction in light of the recent nuclear standoff between America and North Korea, U.S. monetary contraction, and Trump trade conservatism. Overall, geopolitical risk remains the primary source of economic uncertainty as the Trump administration seeks to maintain a delicate balance between these undercurrents for better business growth and financial stability.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Conservative Party wins the British parliamentary majority in the general election with hefty British pound appreciation.

Jonah Whanau

2020-01-08 08:25:00 Wednesday ET

Conservative Party wins the British parliamentary majority in the general election with hefty British pound appreciation.

Conservative Party wins the British parliamentary majority in the general election with hefty British pound appreciation. In response to this general electi

+See More

Thomas Piketty frames economic inequality as a global phenomenon.

Apple Boston

2017-01-11 11:38:00 Wednesday ET

Thomas Piketty frames economic inequality as a global phenomenon.

Thomas Piketty's recent new book *Capital in the Twenty-First Century* frames income and wealth inequality now as a global economic phenomenon. When

+See More

Federal Reserve publishes its inaugural flagship financial stability report.

Peter Prince

2018-12-05 09:38:00 Wednesday ET

Federal Reserve publishes its inaugural flagship financial stability report.

Federal Reserve publishes its inaugural flagship financial stability report. Fed Chair Jerome Powell applauds both low inflation (2%) and low unemployment (

+See More

Agile lean enterprises break down organizational silos to promote smart collaboration for better profitability and customer loyalty.

Laura Hermes

2020-11-03 08:30:00 Tuesday ET

Agile lean enterprises break down organizational silos to promote smart collaboration for better profitability and customer loyalty.

Agile lean enterprises break down organizational silos to promote smart collaboration for better profitability and customer loyalty. Heidi Gardner (2017

+See More

HPE CEO Meg Whitman decides to step down after her 6-year stint at the technology giant.

Charlene Vos

2017-11-07 09:38:00 Tuesday ET

HPE CEO Meg Whitman decides to step down after her 6-year stint at the technology giant.

HPE CEO Meg Whitman has run both eBay and Hewlett Packard within Fortune 500 and now has decided to step down after her 6-year stint at the technology giant

+See More

Several feasible near-term reforms can substantially narrow the scope for global tax avoidance by closing information loopholes.

Apple Boston

2023-03-14 16:43:00 Tuesday ET

Several feasible near-term reforms can substantially narrow the scope for global tax avoidance by closing information loopholes.

Several feasible near-term reforms can substantially narrow the scope for global tax avoidance by closing information loopholes. Thomas Pogge and Krishen

+See More