Rampant stock market fears shake investor confidence during the recent Fed Chair transition from Yellen to Powell.

Charlene Vos

2018-02-03 07:42:00 Sat ET

Quant Quake 2.0 shakes investor confidence with rampant stock market fears and doubts during the recent Fed Chair transition from Janet Yellen to Jerome Powell. This healthy fundamental recalibration indicates the recent fact that 96% of all S&P 500 stocks experience 20% drastic declines from their own 52-week high share prices. Key investor concerns relate to U.S. inflationary momentum and bond yield appreciation. As professional forecasters mull over the inexorable and mysterious trade-off between inflation and unemployment, the new Federal Reserve chairman tends to retain a hawkish monetary policy stance. These forecasters predict that the Federal Reserve may hike the interest rate at least 3 to 4 times this year. This neutral interest rate curtails U.S. inflation near full employment well within Powell's congressional dual mandate.

AQR money manager and founder Cliff Asness points out that the U.S. financial system remains robust with less leverage and fair valuation despite the recent stock market plunge in early-February 2018. Asness believes in his conservative implementation of quantitative fundamental strategies across the vast majority of his factor portfolios of stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies.

His favorite value and momentum factor strategies resonate with Warren Buffett's long-term asset investment philosophy: *Price is what we pay, and value is what we get. We should be fearful when others are greedy, and we should be greedy when others are fearful.* In his recent letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, Warren Buffett emphasizes that stock market corrections are often both normal and unpredictable. From a long-run perspective, the U.S. stock market sometimes goes *on sale*. Thus, Buffett suggests that it is important for investors to replenish their cash positions in order to take advantage of sporadic stock market corrections. When these corrections take place, the stock price often fall below the long-term equilibrium intrinsic value. Beyond conventional wisdom, greed is *good* and pays well in the tripartite form of capital gains, cash dividends, and share repurchases.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

The U.S. Treasury yield curve inverts for the first time since the Global Financial Crisis.

Apple Boston

2019-04-09 11:29:00 Tuesday ET

The U.S. Treasury yield curve inverts for the first time since the Global Financial Crisis.

The U.S. Treasury yield curve inverts for the first time since the Global Financial Crisis. The key term spread between the 10-year and 3-month U.S. Treasur

+See More

The social media factor serves as a new measure of investor sentiment in addition to the fundamental factors.

Rose Prince

2017-05-07 06:39:00 Sunday ET

The social media factor serves as a new measure of investor sentiment in addition to the fundamental factors.

While the original five-factor asset pricing model arises from a quasi-lifetime of top empirical research by Nobel Laureate Eugene Fama and his long-time co

+See More

President Trump approves a phase one trade agreement with China.

Joseph Corr

2020-01-01 13:39:00 Wednesday ET

President Trump approves a phase one trade agreement with China.

President Trump approves a phase one trade agreement with China. This approval averts the introduction of new tariffs on Chinese imports. In return, China s

+See More

AYA finbuzz podcast offers fresh insights into the latest stock market topics and economic trends for better stock investment decisions.

Amy Hamilton

2019-08-31 14:39:00 Saturday ET

AYA finbuzz podcast offers fresh insights into the latest stock market topics and economic trends for better stock investment decisions.

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube August 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of August 2019: (1) Warren B

+See More

Goop Founder and CEO Gwyneth Paltrow serves as a great inspiration for female entrepreneurs.

Laura Hermes

2019-12-01 10:31:00 Sunday ET

Goop Founder and CEO Gwyneth Paltrow serves as a great inspiration for female entrepreneurs.

Goop Founder and CEO Gwyneth Paltrow serves as a great inspiration for female entrepreneurs. Paltrow designs Goop as an online newsletter, and this newslett

+See More

AYA Analytica podcast provides fresh insights into the latest stock market issues, economic trends, and investment portfolio strategies.

Daphne Basel

2019-05-30 16:44:00 Thursday ET

AYA Analytica podcast provides fresh insights into the latest stock market issues, economic trends, and investment portfolio strategies.

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube May 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of May 2019: (1) Our proprietary alp

+See More