Rampant stock market fears shake investor confidence during the recent Fed Chair transition from Yellen to Powell.

Charlene Vos

2018-02-03 07:42:00 Sat ET

Quant Quake 2.0 shakes investor confidence with rampant stock market fears and doubts during the recent Fed Chair transition from Janet Yellen to Jerome Powell. This healthy fundamental recalibration indicates the recent fact that 96% of all S&P 500 stocks experience 20% drastic declines from their own 52-week high share prices. Key investor concerns relate to U.S. inflationary momentum and bond yield appreciation. As professional forecasters mull over the inexorable and mysterious trade-off between inflation and unemployment, the new Federal Reserve chairman tends to retain a hawkish monetary policy stance. These forecasters predict that the Federal Reserve may hike the interest rate at least 3 to 4 times this year. This neutral interest rate curtails U.S. inflation near full employment well within Powell's congressional dual mandate.

AQR money manager and founder Cliff Asness points out that the U.S. financial system remains robust with less leverage and fair valuation despite the recent stock market plunge in early-February 2018. Asness believes in his conservative implementation of quantitative fundamental strategies across the vast majority of his factor portfolios of stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies.

His favorite value and momentum factor strategies resonate with Warren Buffett's long-term asset investment philosophy: *Price is what we pay, and value is what we get. We should be fearful when others are greedy, and we should be greedy when others are fearful.* In his recent letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, Warren Buffett emphasizes that stock market corrections are often both normal and unpredictable. From a long-run perspective, the U.S. stock market sometimes goes *on sale*. Thus, Buffett suggests that it is important for investors to replenish their cash positions in order to take advantage of sporadic stock market corrections. When these corrections take place, the stock price often fall below the long-term equilibrium intrinsic value. Beyond conventional wisdom, greed is *good* and pays well in the tripartite form of capital gains, cash dividends, and share repurchases.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

The U.S. stock market delivers a hefty long-term average return of 11% per annum.

Peter Prince

2017-03-09 05:32:00 Thursday ET

The U.S. stock market delivers a hefty long-term average return of 11% per annum.

From 1927 to 2017, the U.S. stock market has delivered a hefty average return of about 11% per annum. The U.S. average stock market return is high in stark

+See More

Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, and JPMorgan Chase establish a new company to reduce U.S. employee health care costs.

Joseph Corr

2018-01-23 06:38:00 Tuesday ET

Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, and JPMorgan Chase establish a new company to reduce U.S. employee health care costs.

Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, and JPMorgan Chase establish a new company to reduce U.S. employee health care costs in negotiations with drugmakers, doctors, a

+See More

Warren Buffett points out that American children will be better off than their parents in the next decades.

Dan Rochefort

2018-01-05 07:37:00 Friday ET

Warren Buffett points out that American children will be better off than their parents in the next decades.

Warren Buffett cleverly points out that American children will not only be better off than their parents, but the former will also enjoy higher living stand

+See More

Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un meet, talk, and shake hands in the historic U.S.-North-Korean peace summit in Singapore.

Daphne Basel

2018-06-06 09:39:00 Wednesday ET

Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un meet, talk, and shake hands in the historic U.S.-North-Korean peace summit in Singapore.

Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un meet, talk, and shake hands in the historic peace summit between America and North Korea in Singapore. At the start of the bila

+See More

President Trump hails and touts America's new high real GDP economic growth in mid-2018.

Daisy Harvey

2018-07-25 11:41:00 Wednesday ET

President Trump hails and touts America's new high real GDP economic growth in mid-2018.

President Trump hails and touts America's new high real GDP economic growth in 2018Q2. The U.S. is now a $20+ trillion economy, and America hits this mi

+See More

Volcker, Greenspan, Bernanke, and Yellen contribute to a Wall Street Journal op-ed on monetary policy independence.

Olivia London

2019-09-23 12:25:00 Monday ET

Volcker, Greenspan, Bernanke, and Yellen contribute to a Wall Street Journal op-ed on monetary policy independence.

Volcker, Greenspan, Bernanke, and Yellen contribute to a Wall Street Journal op-ed on monetary policy independence. These former Federal Reserve chiefs unit

+See More