Rampant stock market fears shake investor confidence during the recent Fed Chair transition from Yellen to Powell.

Charlene Vos

2018-02-03 07:42:00 Sat ET

Quant Quake 2.0 shakes investor confidence with rampant stock market fears and doubts during the recent Fed Chair transition from Janet Yellen to Jerome Powell. This healthy fundamental recalibration indicates the recent fact that 96% of all S&P 500 stocks experience 20% drastic declines from their own 52-week high share prices. Key investor concerns relate to U.S. inflationary momentum and bond yield appreciation. As professional forecasters mull over the inexorable and mysterious trade-off between inflation and unemployment, the new Federal Reserve chairman tends to retain a hawkish monetary policy stance. These forecasters predict that the Federal Reserve may hike the interest rate at least 3 to 4 times this year. This neutral interest rate curtails U.S. inflation near full employment well within Powell's congressional dual mandate.

AQR money manager and founder Cliff Asness points out that the U.S. financial system remains robust with less leverage and fair valuation despite the recent stock market plunge in early-February 2018. Asness believes in his conservative implementation of quantitative fundamental strategies across the vast majority of his factor portfolios of stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies.

His favorite value and momentum factor strategies resonate with Warren Buffett's long-term asset investment philosophy: *Price is what we pay, and value is what we get. We should be fearful when others are greedy, and we should be greedy when others are fearful.* In his recent letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, Warren Buffett emphasizes that stock market corrections are often both normal and unpredictable. From a long-run perspective, the U.S. stock market sometimes goes *on sale*. Thus, Buffett suggests that it is important for investors to replenish their cash positions in order to take advantage of sporadic stock market corrections. When these corrections take place, the stock price often fall below the long-term equilibrium intrinsic value. Beyond conventional wisdom, greed is *good* and pays well in the tripartite form of capital gains, cash dividends, and share repurchases.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Global debt surges to $250 trillion in the fiscal year 2019.

Olivia London

2019-12-28 09:36:00 Saturday ET

Global debt surges to $250 trillion in the fiscal year 2019.

Global debt surges to $250 trillion in the fiscal year 2019. The International Institute of Finance analytic report shows that both China and the U.S. accou

+See More

Addendum on USPTO fintech patent protection and accreditation

Andy Yeh Alpha

2023-01-11 09:26:00 Wednesday ET

Addendum on USPTO fintech patent protection and accreditation

Addendum on USPTO fintech patent protection and accreditation As of early-January 2023, the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) has approved our U.S

+See More

Basic income reforms can contribute to better health care, infrastructure, education, technology, and residential protection.

Daisy Harvey

2023-02-28 10:27:00 Tuesday ET

Basic income reforms can contribute to better health care, infrastructure, education, technology, and residential protection.

Basic income reforms can contribute to better health care, public infrastructure, education, technology, and residential protection. Philippe Van Parijs

+See More

HPE CEO Meg Whitman decides to step down after her 6-year stint at the technology giant.

Charlene Vos

2017-11-07 09:38:00 Tuesday ET

HPE CEO Meg Whitman decides to step down after her 6-year stint at the technology giant.

HPE CEO Meg Whitman has run both eBay and Hewlett Packard within Fortune 500 and now has decided to step down after her 6-year stint at the technology giant

+See More

Empirical tests of multi-factor models for asset return prediction

Apple Boston

2022-02-25 00:00:00 Friday ET

Empirical tests of multi-factor models for asset return prediction

Empirical tests of multi-factor models for asset return prediction  The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) of Sharpe (1964), Lintner (1965), and Bla

+See More

President Trump sounds smart when he comes up with a fresh plan to retire $15 trillion national debt.

Peter Prince

2018-08-07 07:33:00 Tuesday ET

President Trump sounds smart when he comes up with a fresh plan to retire $15 trillion national debt.

President Trump sounds smart when he comes up with a fresh plan to retire $15 trillion national debt. This plan entails taxing American consumers and produc

+See More