2017-10-03 18:39:00 Tue ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
President Trump has nominated Jerome Powell to run the Federal Reserve once Fed Chair Janet Yellen's current term expires in February 2018. Trump's strategic decision is unlikely to disturb the current roaring stock market. Powell will probably maintain monetary policy continuity with a dovish stance of slow and gradual interest rate acceleration. This dovish stance not only extends the gradual interest rate hike, but also accommodates sluggish manufacturing work recovery, low wage growth, and wider diffusion of digital technology usage in America.
The Trump administration targets 3% GDP growth and 2% inflation for household and corporate tax incentives to meet fiscal neutrality. Powell has risen to the challenge of competing with several contenders for the top post of Federal Reserve: Janet Yellen (incumbent), John Taylor (Stanford professor), Gary Cohn (White House chief economist), and Kevin Warsh (former governor). Powell's inclination toward more pervasive financial deregulation is a primary advantage for Trump's calculus. Others warn that the likely imbalance between inflation containment and employment growth may cause distortions in the U.S. economy. In essence, monetary policy continuity trumps contractionary monetary policy normalization under the current Trump administration.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-08-22 11:35:00 Thursday ET
Fundamental factors often reflect macroeconomic innovations and so help inform better stock investment decisions. Nobel Laureate Eugene Fama and his long-ti
2019-11-21 11:34:00 Thursday ET
Berkeley macro economist Brad DeLong sees no good reasons for an imminent economic recession with mass unemployment and even depression. The current U.S. ec
2018-01-19 11:32:00 Friday ET
Most major economies grow with great synchronicity several years after the global financial crisis. These economies experience high stock market valuation,
2023-12-10 09:23:00 Sunday ET
U.S. federalism and domestic institutional arrangements A given country is federal when both of its national and sub-national governments exercise separa
2017-10-09 09:34:00 Monday ET
The current Trump stock market rally has been impressive from November 2016 to October 2017. S&P 500 has risen by 21.1% since the 2016 presidential elec
2023-05-31 11:27:00 Wednesday ET
What are the top global risks in trade, finance, and technology? In this macro report, we focus on the current global risks from inflation and growth con