2018-10-13 10:44:00 Sat ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Dow Jones tumbles 3% or 831 points while NASDAQ tanks 4%, and this negative investor sentiment rips through most European and Asian stock markets in early-October 2018. President Trump blames the Federal Reserve for its *crazy tight* interest rate hike. However, this criticism may not be the main trigger for bearish massive stock sell-off. The relentless Sino-American trade impasse remains on the radar for stock market investors. Also, the 10-year Treasury bond yield rises above 3%, and then many institutional investors switch from stock bets to Treasury bond purchases.
Due to these unforeseen circumstances, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) downgrades global economic growth from 3.9% to 3.7% as of October 2018. This latter downgrade seems to trigger ubiquitous investor panic that manifests in the recent surge of the CBOE volatility index (VIX) well beyond 22 points.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin views the severe bloodbath from S&P 500 to NASDAQ as a normal stock market correction. Mnuchin considers this widespread stock market correction as part of the healthy fundamental recalibration primarily for tech titans such as Facebook, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Netflix, and Twitter (FAMGANT). These tech titans exhibit prior stock market overvaluation in the interim period from late-2017 to early-2018.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-10-05 10:38:00 Friday ET
A 7-year $1.3 billion hedge fund manager Chelsea Brennan shares her investment advice. Her advice encompasses several steps toward better financial literacy
2019-04-29 08:35:00 Monday ET
IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath predicts no global recession with key downside risks at this delicate moment. First, trade tensions remain one of the key
2019-08-02 17:39:00 Friday ET
The Phillips curve becomes the Phillips cloud with no inexorable trade-off between inflation and unemployment. Stanford finance professor John Cochrane disa
2018-01-15 07:35:00 Monday ET
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin welcomes a weak U.S. dollar amid pervasive fears of an open trade war between America and China. At the World Economic For
2019-01-11 10:33:00 Friday ET
The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) continues to track major business risks in light of volatile stock markets, elections, and geopolitics. EIU monitors g
2023-12-10 09:23:00 Sunday ET
U.S. federalism and domestic institutional arrangements A given country is federal when both of its national and sub-national governments exercise separa