2018-10-13 10:44:00 Sat ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Dow Jones tumbles 3% or 831 points while NASDAQ tanks 4%, and this negative investor sentiment rips through most European and Asian stock markets in early-October 2018. President Trump blames the Federal Reserve for its *crazy tight* interest rate hike. However, this criticism may not be the main trigger for bearish massive stock sell-off. The relentless Sino-American trade impasse remains on the radar for stock market investors. Also, the 10-year Treasury bond yield rises above 3%, and then many institutional investors switch from stock bets to Treasury bond purchases.
Due to these unforeseen circumstances, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) downgrades global economic growth from 3.9% to 3.7% as of October 2018. This latter downgrade seems to trigger ubiquitous investor panic that manifests in the recent surge of the CBOE volatility index (VIX) well beyond 22 points.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin views the severe bloodbath from S&P 500 to NASDAQ as a normal stock market correction. Mnuchin considers this widespread stock market correction as part of the healthy fundamental recalibration primarily for tech titans such as Facebook, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Netflix, and Twitter (FAMGANT). These tech titans exhibit prior stock market overvaluation in the interim period from late-2017 to early-2018.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-11-26 11:30:00 Tuesday ET
AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube November 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of November 2019: (1) The Trump adm
2022-02-02 10:33:00 Wednesday ET
Our proprietary alpha investment model outperforms most stock market indices from 2017 to 2022. As of early-January 2023, the U.S. Patent and Trademark O
2023-10-14 10:32:00 Saturday ET
Jonathan Baker frames the current debate over antitrust merger review and enforcement in America. Jonathan Baker (2019) The antitrust paradi
2018-09-17 12:40:00 Monday ET
Nobel Laureate Robert Shiller's long-term stock market indicator points to a recent peak. His cyclically-adjusted P/E ratio (or CAPE) accounts for long-
2020-05-21 11:30:00 Thursday ET
Most blue-ocean strategists shift fundamental focus from current competitors to alternative non-customers with new market space. W. Chan Kim and Renee Ma
2019-01-05 11:39:00 Saturday ET
Reuters polls show that most Americans blame President Trump for the recent U.S. government shutdown. President Trump remains adamant about having to shut d