OPEC countries have cut the global glut of oil production in order to boost the oil price in recent years.

Monica McNeil

2018-05-11 09:37:00 Fri ET

OPEC countries have cut the global glut of oil production in recent years while the resultant oil price has surged from $30 to $78 per barrel from 2015 to 2018. Also, President Trump has withdrawn America from the key multilateral Iran nuclear deal and thus revives draconian economic sanctions on Iran.

Saudi Arabia may deliberately boost short-term oil prices in order to support the Aramco IPO in 2019. These major geopolitical events sustain the recent oil price increase in the medium term.

Several economic news sources such as Forbes, CNBC, Bloomberg, Reuters, and The Economist suggest that the new target oil price range is $80-$95 per barrel in the next 18 months. Many market observers suggest that the geopolitical concerns seem to outweigh demand-supply adjustments in relative importance at least over the short-to-medium run.

U.S. inflation expectations gravitate toward the 2% target inflation rate.  A further interest rate hike may be plausible such that the neutral interest rate helps contain inflationary pressures near full employment.  These financial market developments have important monetary policy implications for U.S. firms, financial intermediaries, consumers, producers, and stock market investors etc.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Harvard financial economist Alberto Cavallo empirically shows the recent *Amazon effect* of faster retail price adjustments.

Amy Hamilton

2018-08-23 11:34:00 Thursday ET

Harvard financial economist Alberto Cavallo empirically shows the recent *Amazon effect* of faster retail price adjustments.

Harvard financial economist Alberto Cavallo empirically shows the recent *Amazon effect* that online retailers such as Amazon, Alibaba, and eBay etc use fas

+See More

U.S. yield curve inversion can be a sign but not a root cause of the next economic recession.

Dan Rochefort

2019-09-19 15:30:00 Thursday ET

U.S. yield curve inversion can be a sign but not a root cause of the next economic recession.

U.S. yield curve inversion can be a sign but not a root cause of the next economic recession. Treasury yield curve inversion helps predict each of the U.S.

+See More

Amazon and Google face more intense antitrust scrutiny.

Apple Boston

2019-06-21 13:33:00 Friday ET

Amazon and Google face more intense antitrust scrutiny.

Amazon and Google face more intense antitrust scrutiny. In recent times, Justice Department and Federal Trade Commission have reached an internal agreement

+See More

Former basketball star Shaq O'Neal learns a major money lesson from Amazon Founder Jeff Bezos.

Laura Hermes

2019-08-06 07:28:00 Tuesday ET

Former basketball star Shaq O'Neal learns a major money lesson from Amazon Founder Jeff Bezos.

Former basketball star Shaq O'Neal has almost quadrupled his net worth once he learns and applies an ingenious investment strategy from Amazon Founder J

+See More

Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff analyze long-run crisis data to find the root causes of financial crises for better bank capital regulation and asset market stabilization.

Laura Hermes

2023-06-28 09:29:00 Wednesday ET

Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff analyze long-run crisis data to find the root causes of financial crises for better bank capital regulation and asset market stabilization.

Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff delve into several centuries of cross-country crisis data to find the key root causes of financial crises for asset marke

+See More

Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fundamental analysis of IBM (International Business Machines) (U.S. stock symbol: $IBM).

Laura Hermes

2025-10-11 14:33:00 Saturday ET

Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fundamental analysis of IBM (International Business Machines) (U.S. stock symbol: $IBM).

Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fund

+See More