OPEC countries have cut the global glut of oil production in order to boost the oil price in recent years.

Monica McNeil

2018-05-11 09:37:00 Fri ET

OPEC countries have cut the global glut of oil production in recent years while the resultant oil price has surged from $30 to $78 per barrel from 2015 to 2018. Also, President Trump has withdrawn America from the key multilateral Iran nuclear deal and thus revives draconian economic sanctions on Iran.

Saudi Arabia may deliberately boost short-term oil prices in order to support the Aramco IPO in 2019. These major geopolitical events sustain the recent oil price increase in the medium term.

Several economic news sources such as Forbes, CNBC, Bloomberg, Reuters, and The Economist suggest that the new target oil price range is $80-$95 per barrel in the next 18 months. Many market observers suggest that the geopolitical concerns seem to outweigh demand-supply adjustments in relative importance at least over the short-to-medium run.

U.S. inflation expectations gravitate toward the 2% target inflation rate.  A further interest rate hike may be plausible such that the neutral interest rate helps contain inflationary pressures near full employment.  These financial market developments have important monetary policy implications for U.S. firms, financial intermediaries, consumers, producers, and stock market investors etc.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Central banks learn to weigh the monetary policy trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

Becky Berkman

2026-01-31 10:31:00 Saturday ET

Central banks learn to weigh the monetary policy trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

  In recent years, several central banks conduct, assess, and discuss the core lessons, rules, and challenges from their monetary policy framework r

+See More

Stock Synopsis: High-speed 5G broadband and mobile cloud telecommunication

Charlene Vos

2024-04-02 04:45:41 Tuesday ET

Stock Synopsis: High-speed 5G broadband and mobile cloud telecommunication

Stock Synopsis: High-speed 5G broadband and mobile cloud telecommunication In the U.S. telecom industry for high-speed Internet connections and mobile cl

+See More

AYA Analytica podcast provides fresh insights into the latest stock market news, economic trends, and investment portfolio strategies.

Andy Yeh Alpha

2019-02-28 20:44:00 Thursday ET

AYA Analytica podcast provides fresh insights into the latest stock market news, economic trends, and investment portfolio strategies.

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube February 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of February 2019: (1) our proprieta

+See More

Netflix stares at higher content costs as Disney and Fox hold merger talks.

Joseph Corr

2017-10-21 08:45:00 Saturday ET

Netflix stares at higher content costs as Disney and Fox hold merger talks.

Netflix stares at higher content costs as Disney and Fox hold merger talks. Disney has held talks to acquire most of 21st Century Fox's business equity.

+See More

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) appoints Harvard professor Gita Gopinath as its chief economist.

Dan Rochefort

2018-10-09 08:40:00 Tuesday ET

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) appoints Harvard professor Gita Gopinath as its chief economist.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) appoints Harvard professor Gita Gopinath as its chief economist. Gopinath follows her PhD advisor and trailblazer Kenn

+See More

Management consultants can build sustainable trust-driven client relations through the accelerant curve of business value creation.

Monica McNeil

2020-11-17 08:27:00 Tuesday ET

Management consultants can build sustainable trust-driven client relations through the accelerant curve of business value creation.

Management consultants can build sustainable trust-driven client relations through the accelerant curve of business value creation. Alan Weiss (2016)

+See More