Most major economies grow with great synchronicity several years after the global financial crisis.

John Fourier

2018-01-19 11:32:00 Fri ET

Most major economies grow with great synchronicity several years after the global financial crisis. These economies experience high stock market valuation, healthy fundamental recalibration, job creation, high productivity, and artificial-intelligence automation. For instance, the U.S. economy operates near full employment with 1.5%-2% moderate inflation, $2.5 trillion mandatory government expenditures, and $1.5 trillion tax cuts. Also, Europe now feels the benign effects of easy money that arises from the European Central Bank's (ECB) quantitative-easing and negative-interest-rate monetary policies. Asian economies such as Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan experience economic revival due to the global upstream prosperity of Apple-and-Samsung-driven mobile device production.

Key recent oil price increases boost economic gains for Russia, Saudi Arabia, and other middle-east producers. Meanwhile, Brazil still suffers the ripple effects of a veritable depression and now flashes tentative signs of macroeconomic recovery with high population dividends.

However, several other economies exhibit weak macro momentum with chaotic bouts of economic policy uncertainty. England now has to confront high unstable exchange rates, wide stock market gyrations, and trade barriers in the post-Brexit investment horizon. China may land hard with sub-6% real GDP economic growth due to the potential Sino-American trade war. Mexico may fail to transcend fears and doubts that the Trump team menaces its recent economic convalescence with hefty tariffs and border taxes.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts 2.7%-3% U.S. real GDP economic growth and 3.7%-3.9% economic growth worldwide. IMF research now warns of economic inequality, cybersecurity, extreme weather, and political confrontations such as U.S.-Korean nuclear threats and fair trade barriers.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Thomas Piketty connects the dots between economic growth and inequality worldwide with long-term global empirical evidence.

Chanel Holden

2023-05-28 10:24:00 Sunday ET

Thomas Piketty connects the dots between economic growth and inequality worldwide with long-term global empirical evidence.

Thomas Piketty connects the dots between economic growth and inequality worldwide with long-term global empirical evidence. Thomas Piketty (2017) &nbs

+See More

European Central Bank designs its current monetary policy reaction function and interest rate forward guidance in response to low inflation.

Peter Prince

2019-04-11 07:35:00 Thursday ET

European Central Bank designs its current monetary policy reaction function and interest rate forward guidance in response to low inflation.

European Central Bank designs its current monetary policy reaction function and interest rate forward guidance in response to key delays in inflation conver

+See More

Macro eigenvalue volatility helps predict some recent episodes of high economic policy uncertainty.

James Campbell

2020-09-15 08:38:00 Tuesday ET

Macro eigenvalue volatility helps predict some recent episodes of high economic policy uncertainty.

Macro eigenvalue volatility helps predict some recent episodes of high economic policy uncertainty, recession risk, or rare events such as the recent rampan

+See More

Mark Granovetter follows the key principles of modern economic sociology to analyze social relations and economic phenomena.

Charlene Vos

2023-02-21 08:27:00 Tuesday ET

Mark Granovetter follows the key principles of modern economic sociology to analyze social relations and economic phenomena.

Mark Granovetter follows the key principles of modern economic sociology to analyze social relations and economic phenomena. Mark Granovetter (2017) &

+See More

House of Representatives considers a government expenditure bill with border wall finance and so sets up a shutdown stalemate with Senate.

Laura Hermes

2018-12-23 13:39:00 Sunday ET

House of Representatives considers a government expenditure bill with border wall finance and so sets up a shutdown stalemate with Senate.

The House of Representatives considers a government expenditure bill with border wall finance and therefore sets up a shutdown stalemate with Senate. As fre

+See More

The U.S. stock market delivers a hefty long-term average return of 11% per annum.

Peter Prince

2017-03-09 05:32:00 Thursday ET

The U.S. stock market delivers a hefty long-term average return of 11% per annum.

From 1927 to 2017, the U.S. stock market has delivered a hefty average return of about 11% per annum. The U.S. average stock market return is high in stark

+See More