Most major economies grow with great synchronicity several years after the global financial crisis.

John Fourier

2018-01-19 11:32:00 Fri ET

Most major economies grow with great synchronicity several years after the global financial crisis. These economies experience high stock market valuation, healthy fundamental recalibration, job creation, high productivity, and artificial-intelligence automation. For instance, the U.S. economy operates near full employment with 1.5%-2% moderate inflation, $2.5 trillion mandatory government expenditures, and $1.5 trillion tax cuts. Also, Europe now feels the benign effects of easy money that arises from the European Central Bank's (ECB) quantitative-easing and negative-interest-rate monetary policies. Asian economies such as Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan experience economic revival due to the global upstream prosperity of Apple-and-Samsung-driven mobile device production.

Key recent oil price increases boost economic gains for Russia, Saudi Arabia, and other middle-east producers. Meanwhile, Brazil still suffers the ripple effects of a veritable depression and now flashes tentative signs of macroeconomic recovery with high population dividends.

However, several other economies exhibit weak macro momentum with chaotic bouts of economic policy uncertainty. England now has to confront high unstable exchange rates, wide stock market gyrations, and trade barriers in the post-Brexit investment horizon. China may land hard with sub-6% real GDP economic growth due to the potential Sino-American trade war. Mexico may fail to transcend fears and doubts that the Trump team menaces its recent economic convalescence with hefty tariffs and border taxes.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts 2.7%-3% U.S. real GDP economic growth and 3.7%-3.9% economic growth worldwide. IMF research now warns of economic inequality, cybersecurity, extreme weather, and political confrontations such as U.S.-Korean nuclear threats and fair trade barriers.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Fed minutes reflect gradual interest rate normalization in response to high inflation risk.

Dan Rochefort

2018-02-15 07:43:00 Thursday ET

Fed minutes reflect gradual interest rate normalization in response to high inflation risk.

Fed minutes reflect gradual interest rate normalization in response to high inflation risk. FOMC members revise up the economic projections made at the Dece

+See More

Corporate payout management

Fiona Sydney

2022-05-05 09:34:00 Thursday ET

Corporate payout management

Corporate payout management This corporate payout literature review rests on the recent survey article by Farre-Mensa, Michaely, and Schmalz (2014). Out

+See More

The modern world's most powerful nations, America and China, stumble into a Thucydides trap.

Fiona Sydney

2018-05-29 11:40:00 Tuesday ET

The modern world's most powerful nations, America and China, stumble into a Thucydides trap.

America and China, the modern world's most powerful nations may stumble into a **Thucydides trap** that Harvard professor and political scientist Graham

+See More

Amazon and Google face more intense antitrust scrutiny.

Apple Boston

2019-06-21 13:33:00 Friday ET

Amazon and Google face more intense antitrust scrutiny.

Amazon and Google face more intense antitrust scrutiny. In recent times, Justice Department and Federal Trade Commission have reached an internal agreement

+See More

Trump imposes tariffs on steel and aluminum in a trade war with some exemptions for Canada and Mexico.

Olivia London

2018-03-01 07:35:00 Thursday ET

Trump imposes tariffs on steel and aluminum in a trade war with some exemptions for Canada and Mexico.

Trump imposes high tariffs on steel (25%) and aluminum (10%) in a new trade war with subsequent exemptions for Canada and Mexico. The Trump administration&#

+See More

Warren Buffett approves Berkshire Hathaway to implement new meaningful stock repurchases.

Dan Rochefort

2018-11-15 12:35:00 Thursday ET

Warren Buffett approves Berkshire Hathaway to implement new meaningful stock repurchases.

Warren Buffett approves Berkshire Hathaway to implement new meaningful stock repurchases. Buffett sends a positive signal to the stock market with the Berks

+See More