Most major economies grow with great synchronicity several years after the global financial crisis.

John Fourier

2018-01-19 11:32:00 Fri ET

Most major economies grow with great synchronicity several years after the global financial crisis. These economies experience high stock market valuation, healthy fundamental recalibration, job creation, high productivity, and artificial-intelligence automation. For instance, the U.S. economy operates near full employment with 1.5%-2% moderate inflation, $2.5 trillion mandatory government expenditures, and $1.5 trillion tax cuts. Also, Europe now feels the benign effects of easy money that arises from the European Central Bank's (ECB) quantitative-easing and negative-interest-rate monetary policies. Asian economies such as Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan experience economic revival due to the global upstream prosperity of Apple-and-Samsung-driven mobile device production.

Key recent oil price increases boost economic gains for Russia, Saudi Arabia, and other middle-east producers. Meanwhile, Brazil still suffers the ripple effects of a veritable depression and now flashes tentative signs of macroeconomic recovery with high population dividends.

However, several other economies exhibit weak macro momentum with chaotic bouts of economic policy uncertainty. England now has to confront high unstable exchange rates, wide stock market gyrations, and trade barriers in the post-Brexit investment horizon. China may land hard with sub-6% real GDP economic growth due to the potential Sino-American trade war. Mexico may fail to transcend fears and doubts that the Trump team menaces its recent economic convalescence with hefty tariffs and border taxes.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts 2.7%-3% U.S. real GDP economic growth and 3.7%-3.9% economic growth worldwide. IMF research now warns of economic inequality, cybersecurity, extreme weather, and political confrontations such as U.S.-Korean nuclear threats and fair trade barriers.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

William Easterly critiques several economic development policies and then indicates that bottom-up solutions often result in macro policy success in spite of nation states.

John Fourier

2023-05-07 10:27:00 Sunday ET

William Easterly critiques several economic development policies and then indicates that bottom-up solutions often result in macro policy success in spite of nation states.

William Easterly critiques several economic development policies and then indicates that bottom-up solutions often result in macro policy success in spite o

+See More

Agile business firms beat the odds by building faster institutional reflexes to anticipate plausible economic scenarios.

Fiona Sydney

2020-09-03 10:26:00 Thursday ET

Agile business firms beat the odds by building faster institutional reflexes to anticipate plausible economic scenarios.

Agile business firms beat the odds by building faster institutional reflexes to anticipate plausible economic scenarios. Christopher Worley, Thomas Willi

+See More

Brent crude oil prices spike to $70-$75 per barrel after the Trump administration stops waiving economic sanctions on Iran.

Jacob Miramar

2019-05-13 12:38:00 Monday ET

Brent crude oil prices spike to $70-$75 per barrel after the Trump administration stops waiving economic sanctions on Iran.

Brent crude oil prices spike to $70-$75 per barrel after the Trump administration stops waiving economic sanctions on Iranian oil exports. U.S. State Secret

+See More

Fed Chair Janet Yellen confirms with her successor Jerome Powell the final interest rate hike in December 2017.

Joseph Corr

2017-12-14 12:41:00 Thursday ET

Fed Chair Janet Yellen confirms with her successor Jerome Powell the final interest rate hike in December 2017.

Federal Reserve raises the interest rate by 25 basis points to the target range of 1.25% to 1.5% as FOMC members revise up their GDP estimate from 2% to 2.5

+See More

A small fraction of the population enjoys most capital and wealth creation.

Jacob Miramar

2017-03-15 08:46:00 Wednesday ET

A small fraction of the population enjoys most capital and wealth creation.

The heuristic rule of *accumulative advantage* suggests that a small fraction of the population enjoys a large proportion of both capital and wealth creatio

+See More

Former IMF chief economist Kenneth Rogoff advocates that artificial intelligence helps augment productivity growth in the next decade.

James Campbell

2018-04-23 07:43:00 Monday ET

Former IMF chief economist Kenneth Rogoff advocates that artificial intelligence helps augment productivity growth in the next decade.

Harvard professor and former IMF chief economist Kenneth Rogoff advocates that artificial intelligence helps augment human productivity growth in the next d

+See More