2019-07-17 12:37:00 Wed ET
stock market gold oil stock return s&p 500 asset market stabilization asset price fluctuations stocks bonds currencies commodities funds term spreads credit spreads fair value spreads asset investments
Gold prices surge above $1400 per ounce amid global trade tension and economic policy uncertainty. Both European Central Bank and Bank of Japan may consider expanding additional monetary stimulus if the global economy continues to weaken in the next few months. Greenback depreciates quite a bit as the Federal Reserve switches to a dovish tone. The current stock market investor sentiments manifest in the negative correlation between U.S. dollar strength and gold appreciation. The precious metal accrues zero interest as a steady store of value over time, and so gold prices often serve as a negative-beta countercyclical indicator of international economic stability.
Meanwhile, the Sino-U.S. trade impasse calls for both Presidents Trump and Xi to show courage with some reconciliatory gestures at the G20 summit. Also, British Labour Party may seek to back a second referendum on Brexit despite pervasive economic policy uncertainty. British Conservatives now need a new prime minister to lead the next round of E.U. withdrawal conditions, trade negotiations, and other regional economic affairs. Moreover, the recent accidental drone collision between Iran and the U.S. adds to the current global trade escalation. As a result, both gold and oil prices surge as stock market investors seek capital safety.
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