2019-11-09 16:38:00 Sat ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicates that the central bank would resume Treasury purchases to avoid turmoil in money markets. Powell indicates that this effort can help sustain the current economic expansion without any form of prior quantitative easing (QE) asset purchase programs. As the Federal Reserve may start expanding its balance sheet again, stock investors must not misconstrue this decision as a tactical return to QE asset purchase programs in the post-crisis economic revival. This operation helps the Federal Reserve counterbalance some major economic headwinds such as domestic liquidity constraints and greenback fluctuations.
Powell indicates the generic inclination of FOMC members toward further reducing the interest rate in November-December 2019. Several stock market analysts and economic media commentators contend that the recent Powell remarks seem to accommodate both geopolitical risks and economic woes in response to a vocal president. In this light, many stock market analysts convey the grave concern that the Federal Reserve may have fewer policy instruments left for the next economic recession as the central bank continues to trade off monetary policy independence with political demand. After all, there are no good reasons for the sudden recent reversal of monetary policy normalization.
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