2018-03-21 06:32:00 Wed ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Fed Chair Jerome Powell increases the neutral interest rate to a range of 1.5% to 1.75% in his debut post-FOMC press conference. The Federal Reserve raises the interest rate for the sixth time since the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) near-zero rate lift-off in December 2015. The Fed Chair transition from Yellen to Powell indicates a moderate monetary policy regime switch from dovish to hawkish in accordance with the recent FOMC minutes.
The Federal Reserve now targets a core PCE inflation rate above 2.1% as the U.S. unemployment rate gradually declines to the lowest level of 3.8%-4.1% in 17 years. Most dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) New Keynesian economic models suggest that Powell has to trade off near-full employment with inflationary momentum. As inflation picks up over time, Powell must gradually raise the neutral interest rate to tame upward price gyrations when the U.S. economy operates near full employment.
Former Fed Chair Janet Yellen might prefer to keep the lower interest rate for a longer period of time, whereas, Powell departs from this lower-for-longer dovish and accommodative monetary policy stance in response to key FOMC hawks who express deep concerns about high inflation or price instability.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2026-01-19 10:30:00 Monday ET
Andy Yeh Alpha (AYA) fintech network platform: major milestones, key product features, and online social media services Introduction
2018-04-23 07:43:00 Monday ET
Harvard professor and former IMF chief economist Kenneth Rogoff advocates that artificial intelligence helps augment human productivity growth in the next d
2018-06-14 10:35:00 Thursday ET
The Federal Reserve's current interest rate hike may lead to the next economic recession as credit supply growth ebbs and flows through the business cyc
2019-10-23 15:39:00 Wednesday ET
American CEOs of about 200 corporations issue a joint statement in support of stakeholder value maximization. The Business Roundtable offers this statement
2023-05-31 11:27:00 Wednesday ET
What are the top global risks in trade, finance, and technology? In this macro report, we focus on the current global risks from inflation and growth con
2018-12-29 09:32:00 Saturday ET
Andy Yeh Alpha (AYA) AYA Analytica financial health memo (FHM) podcast channel on YouTube December 2018 AYA Analytica is our online regular podcast and news