2017-12-11 08:42:00 Mon ET
stock market gold oil stock return s&p 500 asset market stabilization asset price fluctuations stocks bonds currencies commodities funds term spreads credit spreads fair value spreads asset investments
Fed Chair Janet Yellen says the current high stock market valuation does not mean overvaluation. A stock market quick fire sale would pose minimal risk to the economy and the macroprudential system. During her final Federal Reserve press conference, Yellen says the prime metrics such as the forward aggregate stock market P/E and P/B ratios are on the high end of historical ranges when the Fed warns that asset prices appear to be high. In fact, the low-interest-rate economic environment is supportive of higher stock prices and home prices. In this context, there is a reasonable balance of financial risks that manifest in the form of less worrisome levels of both bank leverage and private credit growth.
A recent Project Syndicate op-ed article sketches the key reasons for U.S. stock market rational exuberance such as better economic growth with low inflation, monetary and fiscal stimulus, full employment, and higher net income in both the household and corporate sectors. As the world economy skyrockets on all cylinders in America, Europe, and China with robust economic growth since the global financial crisis of 2008-2009, U.S. inflation remains below the 2% target, unemployment is less than 5%, and monetary policy normalization continues at a moderate pace. Federal Reserve shrinks its balance sheet post-QE, finishes the full course of 3 interest rate hikes in 2017, and then expects another around of 3 to 4 rate increases in 2018. The current 7-year uptick in U.S. corporate net income typically precedes the European and Asian counterparts in subsequent episodes. All of these reasons help justify the current Trump stock market rally as rational exuberance and optimism.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2022-08-30 10:32:00 Tuesday ET

The financial services industry needs fewer banks worldwide. As long as banks have existed in human history, their managers have realized how not all dep
2019-08-14 10:31:00 Wednesday ET

Netflix suffers its first major loss of U.S. subscribers due to the recent price hikes. The company adds only 2.7 million new subscribers in 2019Q2 in stark
2019-01-21 10:37:00 Monday ET

Andy Yeh Alpha (AYA) AYA Analytica financial health memo (FHM) podcast channel on YouTube January 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues
2023-10-28 12:29:00 Saturday ET

Paul Morland suggests that demographic changes lead to modern economic growth in the current world. Paul Morland (2019) The human tide: how
2020-02-02 11:32:00 Sunday ET

Our fintech finbuzz analytic report shines fresh light on the current global economic outlook. As of Winter-Spring 2020, the analytical report delves into t
2019-10-11 13:40:00 Friday ET

Apple CEO Tim Cook maintains a frugal low-key lifestyle. With $625 million public wealth, Cook leads the $1 trillion tech titan Apple in the post-Jobs era.