Fed Chair Janet Yellen says the current high stock market valuation does not mean overvaluation.

Jonah Whanau

2017-12-11 08:42:00 Mon ET

Fed Chair Janet Yellen says the current high stock market valuation does not mean overvaluation. A stock market quick fire sale would pose minimal risk to the economy and the macroprudential system. During her final Federal Reserve press conference, Yellen says the prime metrics such as the forward aggregate stock market P/E and P/B ratios are on the high end of historical ranges when the Fed warns that asset prices appear to be high. In fact, the low-interest-rate economic environment is supportive of higher stock prices and home prices. In this context, there is a reasonable balance of financial risks that manifest in the form of less worrisome levels of both bank leverage and private credit growth.

A recent Project Syndicate op-ed article sketches the key reasons for U.S. stock market rational exuberance such as better economic growth with low inflation, monetary and fiscal stimulus, full employment, and higher net income in both the household and corporate sectors. As the world economy skyrockets on all cylinders in America, Europe, and China with robust economic growth since the global financial crisis of 2008-2009, U.S. inflation remains below the 2% target, unemployment is less than 5%, and monetary policy normalization continues at a moderate pace. Federal Reserve shrinks its balance sheet post-QE, finishes the full course of 3 interest rate hikes in 2017, and then expects another around of 3 to 4 rate increases in 2018. The current 7-year uptick in U.S. corporate net income typically precedes the European and Asian counterparts in subsequent episodes. All of these reasons help justify the current Trump stock market rally as rational exuberance and optimism.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

U.S. senators urge the Trump administration to prevent the IMF from bailing out several countries that face predatory Chinese loans.

Chanel Holden

2018-02-01 07:38:00 Thursday ET

U.S. senators urge the Trump administration to prevent the IMF from bailing out several countries that face predatory Chinese loans.

U.S. senators urge the Trump administration with a bipartisan proposal to prevent the International Monetary Fund (IMF) from bailing out several countries t

+See More

Federal Reserve's interest rate hike may lead to an economic recession as credit supply growth ebbs and flows through the business cycle.

Monica McNeil

2018-06-14 10:35:00 Thursday ET

Federal Reserve's interest rate hike may lead to an economic recession as credit supply growth ebbs and flows through the business cycle.

The Federal Reserve's current interest rate hike may lead to the next economic recession as credit supply growth ebbs and flows through the business cyc

+See More

Admitting China to the WTO seems ineffective in imparting economic freedom and democracy to the communist regime.

Dan Rochefort

2018-07-27 10:35:00 Friday ET

Admitting China to the WTO seems ineffective in imparting economic freedom and democracy to the communist regime.

Admitting China to the World Trade Organization (WTO) and other international activities seems ineffective in imparting economic freedom and democracy to th

+See More

Apple releases its September 2018 trifecta of smart phones or iPhone X sequels: iPhone Xs, iPhone Xs Max, and iPhone XR.

Jacob Miramar

2018-09-15 11:35:00 Saturday ET

Apple releases its September 2018 trifecta of smart phones or iPhone X sequels: iPhone Xs, iPhone Xs Max, and iPhone XR.

Apple releases its September 2018 trifecta of smart phones or iPhone X sequels: iPhone Xs, iPhone Xs Max, and iPhone XR. Both iPhone Xs and iPhone Xs Max ha

+See More

Capital gravitates toward key profitable mutual funds until the marginal asset return equilibrates near the core stock market benchmark.

Peter Prince

2019-07-27 17:37:00 Saturday ET

Capital gravitates toward key profitable mutual funds until the marginal asset return equilibrates near the core stock market benchmark.

Capital gravitates toward key profitable mutual funds until the marginal asset return equilibrates near the core stock market benchmark. As Stanford finance

+See More

AYA finbuzz podcast offers fresh insights into the latest stock market topics, economic trends, and personal finance inspirations as of November 2019.

Daphne Basel

2019-11-26 11:30:00 Tuesday ET

AYA finbuzz podcast offers fresh insights into the latest stock market topics, economic trends, and personal finance inspirations as of November 2019.

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube November 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of November 2019: (1) The Trump adm

+See More