2018-12-03 10:40:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Bank of England publishes its latest insights into the economic impact of Brexit on British real productivity, capital investment, and labor supply as of 2018Q4. With a cautious tone, the U.K. central bank suggests that its future interest rate decisions would depend on the trade terms of the U.K. departure from the European Union. With Brexit, economic policy uncertainty weighs on U.K. productivity and economic growth, and future lower immigration may adversely affect British labor supply and real macro performance.
Brexit imposes financial constraints on both capital investment and labor supply that may reinforce the current economic slowdown in the U.K. in light of the neutral interest rate at which the British economy grows without much inflationary pressure. Bank of England Governor Mark Carney acknowledges the brutal fact that Britain is not fully prepared for a cliff-edge Brexit. Carney predicts that the U.K. economy may shrink by 8% in mid-2019 in the worse-case scenario where Britain leaves the European Union free trade bloc with no deal and no transition period to smooth the arcane process. When push comes to shove, the law of inadvertent consequences counsels caution.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-03-15 13:36:00 Friday ET
CNBC stock host Jim Cramer recommends both Caterpillar and Home Depot as the U.S. bull market is likely to continue in light of the recent Fed Chair comment
2018-04-11 09:37:00 Wednesday ET
North Korean leader and president Kim Jong-Un seeks peaceful resolution and denuclearization on the Korean Peninsula. When *peace* comes to shove, Asia
2025-10-12 13:32:00 Sunday ET
Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fund
2020-03-26 10:31:00 Thursday ET
The unique controversial management style of Steve Jobs helps translate his business acumen into smart product development. Jay Elliot (2012) Leading
2018-08-03 07:33:00 Friday ET
President Trump escalates the current Sino-American trade war by imposing 25% tariffs on $200 billion Chinese imports. These tariffs encompass chemical prod
2019-06-09 11:29:00 Sunday ET
St Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard indicates that his ideal baseline scenario remains a mutually beneficial China-U.S. trade deal. Bullard ind