2018-12-03 10:40:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Bank of England publishes its latest insights into the economic impact of Brexit on British real productivity, capital investment, and labor supply as of 2018Q4. With a cautious tone, the U.K. central bank suggests that its future interest rate decisions would depend on the trade terms of the U.K. departure from the European Union. With Brexit, economic policy uncertainty weighs on U.K. productivity and economic growth, and future lower immigration may adversely affect British labor supply and real macro performance.
Brexit imposes financial constraints on both capital investment and labor supply that may reinforce the current economic slowdown in the U.K. in light of the neutral interest rate at which the British economy grows without much inflationary pressure. Bank of England Governor Mark Carney acknowledges the brutal fact that Britain is not fully prepared for a cliff-edge Brexit. Carney predicts that the U.K. economy may shrink by 8% in mid-2019 in the worse-case scenario where Britain leaves the European Union free trade bloc with no deal and no transition period to smooth the arcane process. When push comes to shove, the law of inadvertent consequences counsels caution.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-08-02 17:39:00 Friday ET
The Phillips curve becomes the Phillips cloud with no inexorable trade-off between inflation and unemployment. Stanford finance professor John Cochrane disa
2020-06-10 10:35:00 Wednesday ET
Most lean enterprises should facilitate the dual transformation of both core assets with fresh cash flows and new growth options. Scott Anthony, Clark Gi
2018-07-25 11:41:00 Wednesday ET
President Trump hails and touts America's new high real GDP economic growth in 2018Q2. The U.S. is now a $20+ trillion economy, and America hits this mi
2017-11-07 09:38:00 Tuesday ET
HPE CEO Meg Whitman has run both eBay and Hewlett Packard within Fortune 500 and now has decided to step down after her 6-year stint at the technology giant
2019-10-15 09:13:00 Tuesday ET
U.K. prime minister Boris Johnson encounters defeat during his new premiership. The first major vote would pave the path of least resistance to passing a no
2018-08-31 08:42:00 Friday ET
We share several famous inspirational stock market quotes by Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Ben Franklin, Philip Fisher, and Michael Jensen.