2018-12-03 10:40:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Bank of England publishes its latest insights into the economic impact of Brexit on British real productivity, capital investment, and labor supply as of 2018Q4. With a cautious tone, the U.K. central bank suggests that its future interest rate decisions would depend on the trade terms of the U.K. departure from the European Union. With Brexit, economic policy uncertainty weighs on U.K. productivity and economic growth, and future lower immigration may adversely affect British labor supply and real macro performance.
Brexit imposes financial constraints on both capital investment and labor supply that may reinforce the current economic slowdown in the U.K. in light of the neutral interest rate at which the British economy grows without much inflationary pressure. Bank of England Governor Mark Carney acknowledges the brutal fact that Britain is not fully prepared for a cliff-edge Brexit. Carney predicts that the U.K. economy may shrink by 8% in mid-2019 in the worse-case scenario where Britain leaves the European Union free trade bloc with no deal and no transition period to smooth the arcane process. When push comes to shove, the law of inadvertent consequences counsels caution.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-04-26 09:33:00 Friday ET
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon defends capitalism in his recent annual letter to shareholders. As Dimon explains here, socialism inevitably produces stagnat
2018-10-05 10:38:00 Friday ET
A 7-year $1.3 billion hedge fund manager Chelsea Brennan shares her investment advice. Her advice encompasses several steps toward better financial literacy
2019-02-17 14:40:00 Sunday ET
U.S. economic inequality increases to pre-Great-Depression levels. U.C. Berkeley economics professor Gabriel Zucman empirically finds that the top 0.1% rich
2018-05-27 08:33:00 Sunday ET
The Federal Reserve proposes softening the Volcker rule that prevents banks from placing risky bets on securities with deposit finance. As part of the po
2019-02-01 15:35:00 Friday ET
Our proprietary alpha investment model outperforms the major stock market benchmarks such as S&P 500, MSCI, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq. We implem
2021-02-02 14:24:00 Tuesday ET
Our proprietary alpha investment model outperforms the major stock market benchmarks such as S&P 500, MSCI, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq. We implement