2018-12-03 10:40:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Bank of England publishes its latest insights into the economic impact of Brexit on British real productivity, capital investment, and labor supply as of 2018Q4. With a cautious tone, the U.K. central bank suggests that its future interest rate decisions would depend on the trade terms of the U.K. departure from the European Union. With Brexit, economic policy uncertainty weighs on U.K. productivity and economic growth, and future lower immigration may adversely affect British labor supply and real macro performance.
Brexit imposes financial constraints on both capital investment and labor supply that may reinforce the current economic slowdown in the U.K. in light of the neutral interest rate at which the British economy grows without much inflationary pressure. Bank of England Governor Mark Carney acknowledges the brutal fact that Britain is not fully prepared for a cliff-edge Brexit. Carney predicts that the U.K. economy may shrink by 8% in mid-2019 in the worse-case scenario where Britain leaves the European Union free trade bloc with no deal and no transition period to smooth the arcane process. When push comes to shove, the law of inadvertent consequences counsels caution.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-08-25 12:33:00 Saturday ET
President Trump warns Google, Facebook, and Twitter that these tech titans now tread on troublesome territory. Specifically, Trump accuses Google of rigging
2019-03-17 14:35:00 Sunday ET
U.S. trade rep Robert Lighthizer proposes America to require regular touchpoints to ensure Sino-U.S. trade deal enforcement. America has to maintain the thr
2024-05-05 10:31:00 Sunday ET
Stock Synopsis: Pharmaceutical post-pandemic patent development cycle In terms of stock market valuation, the major pharmaceutical sector remains at its
2019-02-03 13:39:00 Sunday ET
It can be practical for the U.S. to impose the 2% wealth tax on the rich. Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren proposes a 2% wealth tax on the richest Americ
2025-10-07 10:30:00 Tuesday ET
Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fund
2023-08-07 12:29:00 Monday ET
Oxford macro professor Stephen Nickell and his co-authors delve into the trade-off between inflation and unemployment in the dual mandate of price stability