2018-12-03 10:40:00 Mon ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
Bank of England publishes its latest insights into the economic impact of Brexit on British real productivity, capital investment, and labor supply as of 2018Q4. With a cautious tone, the U.K. central bank suggests that its future interest rate decisions would depend on the trade terms of the U.K. departure from the European Union. With Brexit, economic policy uncertainty weighs on U.K. productivity and economic growth, and future lower immigration may adversely affect British labor supply and real macro performance.
Brexit imposes financial constraints on both capital investment and labor supply that may reinforce the current economic slowdown in the U.K. in light of the neutral interest rate at which the British economy grows without much inflationary pressure. Bank of England Governor Mark Carney acknowledges the brutal fact that Britain is not fully prepared for a cliff-edge Brexit. Carney predicts that the U.K. economy may shrink by 8% in mid-2019 in the worse-case scenario where Britain leaves the European Union free trade bloc with no deal and no transition period to smooth the arcane process. When push comes to shove, the law of inadvertent consequences counsels caution.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-04-20 10:38:00 Friday ET

Allianz chairman Mohamed El-Erian bolsters a new American economic paradigm in lieu of the Washington consensus. The latter dominates the old school of thou
2018-07-23 07:41:00 Monday ET

President Trump now agrees to cease fire in the trade conflict with the European Union. Both sides can work together towards *zero tariffs, zero non-tariff
2019-01-23 11:32:00 Wednesday ET

Higher public debt levels, global interest rate hikes, and subpar Chinese economic growth rates are the major risks to the world economy from 2019 to 2020.
2019-11-19 09:33:00 Tuesday ET

American unemployment declines to the 50-year historical low level of 3.5% with moderate job growth. Despite a sharp slowdown in U.S. services and utilities
2019-12-13 09:32:00 Friday ET

Saudi Aramco aims to initiate its fresh IPO in December 2019. Several investment banks indicate to the Saudi government that most investors may value the mi
2018-06-08 13:35:00 Friday ET

The Federal Reserve delivers a second interest rate hike to 1.75%-2% and then expects subsequent rate increases in September and December 2018 to dampen inf