2019-10-25 07:49:00 Fri ET
treasury deficit debt employment inflation interest rate macrofinance fiscal stimulus economic growth fiscal budget public finance treasury bond treasury yield sovereign debt sovereign wealth fund tax cuts government expenditures
U.S. fiscal budget deficit hits $1 trillion or the highest level in 7 years. The current U.S. Treasury fiscal budget deficit rises from $779 billion to $1.07 trillion during the Trump administration from November 2016 to September 2019. About 60% of this Treasury budget shortfall arises from the Trump tax credits for U.S. residents and corporations. These tax cuts exacerbate the current fiscal imbalance in addition to several other fiscal stimulus packages on infrastructure, education, and technology. The fiscal deficit boosts American national debt to $22.5 trillion (or a 13% increase during the current Trump administration).
However, the fiscal deficit as a percentage of U.S. GDP decreases from a peak of almost 10% in 2009 to about 5% as of September 2019. This evidence galvanizes popular support for the Republican consensus view that both the Trump tax cuts and other fiscal stimulus packages help boost U.S. economic growth, employment, and capital investment. The U.S. unemployment rate remains at the historically low 3.7% level, and the U.S. economic growth rate reaches almost 3% per year. With low core inflation expectations below the 2% target, the Federal Reserve maintains the dual mandate of both maximum sustainable employment and price stability.
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