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2018-01-06 07:32:00 Sat ET

Subsequent to the Trump tax cuts for Christmas in December 2017, the one-year-old Trump presidency now aims to make progress on health care, infrastructure, social welfare, and immigration in 2018. First, President Trump proposes to repeal-and-replace Obamacare in due course. He also seeks to reduce drug prices and other medical costs for the typical American. Second, the Trump team proposes $1 trillion infrastructure investments in numerous major American states and cities. This campaign promise serves the best interests of workers with less educational attainment and more labor intensity. Third, the Trump administration seeks to roll out an executive order to mandate a holistic review of federal safety net programs. These programs encompass food stamps, Medicaid incentives, and residential housing benefits etc. Fourth, President Trump keeps an ambivalent attitude toward immigration issues such as illegal immigrant deportation and foreign child deferral. All this government intervention helps alleviate social welfare concerns. From an economic perspective, it is a bit difficult to see how the Trump administration can fund these reforms without some form of fiscal discipline. In the next few years, tax cuts trump trade, whereas U.S. real GDP economic growth has to rise to 3%-3.5% for fiscal stimulus to trickle down to the typical American household.

 


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