2019-08-20 07:33:00 Tue ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
The recent British pound depreciation is a big Brexit barometer. Britain appoints former London mayor and Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson as the prime minister. The Conservative Party selects Johnson as the successor to Theresa May to set the stage for fresh Brexit negotiations with the European Commission. This change hits the pound with volatile exchange rate gyrations. The British pound sinks to the new lowest level of US$1.24 in 2017-2019. Johnson advocates that he would be keen to force Brexit with or without a post-May deal on October 31, 2019, which is the latest deadline for Britain to depart the European Union. Alternatively, Britons might consider a second referendum on Brexit with the backstop agreement for free flows of goods between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic.
Most stock market analysts predict that leaving the European Union with no proper deal would plunge the U.K. into a deep economic recession due to Eurozone trade constraints and capital outflows. U.K. stock markets would fall 5% in light of a 2% decrease in economic output, and the pound would likely plummet 10%-13%. This prediction accords with what the U.K. Office for Budget Responsibility suggests in its recent report on the British economic outlook.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-01-19 11:32:00 Friday ET

Most major economies grow with great synchronicity several years after the global financial crisis. These economies experience high stock market valuation,
2019-08-31 14:39:00 Saturday ET

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube August 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of August 2019: (1) Warren B
2017-01-17 12:42:00 Tuesday ET

Former Treasury Secretary and Harvard President Larry Summers critiques that the Trump administration's generous tax holiday for American multinational
2018-08-25 12:33:00 Saturday ET

President Trump warns Google, Facebook, and Twitter that these tech titans now tread on troublesome territory. Specifically, Trump accuses Google of rigging
2017-09-19 05:34:00 Tuesday ET

Facebook, Twitter, and Google executives head before the Senate Judiciary Committee to explain the scope of Russian interference in the U.S. presidential el
2018-07-19 18:38:00 Thursday ET

Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius proposes designing a new Financial Conditions Index (FCI) to be a weighted-average of interest rates, exchange rat