Paulson, Geithner, and Bernanke warn that people seem to have forgotten the lessons of the global financial crisis from 2008 to 2009.

Daphne Basel

2018-07-17 08:35:00 Tue ET

Henry Paulson and Timothy Geithner (former Treasury heads) and Ben Bernanke (former Fed chairman) warn that people seem to have forgotten the lessons of the global financial crisis from 2008 to 2009. As Paulson, Geithner, and Bernanke note, the sharp surge in U.S. budget debt and deficit, financial deregulation, and political dysfunction, may combine to endanger the economy. Most Americans face a more stable financial system today as the defenses are better, whereas, U.S. regulators now have a weaker set of tools for coping with a severe financial downturn.

These former top-notch economic heads voice their deep concerns about the next economic recession. Recent stock market gyrations exhibit much larger volatility in response to Trump tariffs and tax cuts. Also, bond market analysts express their worries and concerns about potential yield curve inversion that might signal the dawn of the next economic downturn. As U.S. government bond issuance cannot fund incessant budget deficits, the budget deficits may reflect the need for greater seigniorage or inflation taxation. An increase in money supply growth can induce inflationary momentum with higher consumer prices and wages.

As the Federal Reserve continues the current interest rate hike in the foreseeable future, greater greenback strength may dampen U.S. exports. As a consequence, this economic policy uncertainty may pose a conceptual challenge to many stock market investors, bond analysts, and currency traders.

In light of the recent economic developments, it would be better for long-term value investors to put their capital in profitable small-to-mid-size bluechip cash cows with low capital investment and asset growth.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More
AYA Analytica podcast provides fresh insights into the latest stock market news, economic trends, and investment portfolio strategies.
Andy Yeh Alpha

2019-01-21 10:37:00 Monday ET

AYA Analytica podcast provides fresh insights into the latest stock market news, economic trends, and investment portfolio strategies.

Andy Yeh Alpha (AYA) AYA Analytica financial health memo (FHM) podcast channel on YouTube January 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues

+See More
Yale economist Stephen Roach warns that America has much to lose from the current trade war with China for a few reasons.
Joseph Corr

2018-07-13 09:41:00 Friday ET

Yale economist Stephen Roach warns that America has much to lose from the current trade war with China for a few reasons.

Yale economist Stephen Roach warns that America has much to lose from the current trade war with China for a few reasons. First, America is highly dependent

+See More
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) appoints Harvard professor Gita Gopinath as its chief economist.
Dan Rochefort

2018-10-09 08:40:00 Tuesday ET

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) appoints Harvard professor Gita Gopinath as its chief economist.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) appoints Harvard professor Gita Gopinath as its chief economist. Gopinath follows her PhD advisor and trailblazer Kenn

+See More
Peter Isard analyzes the proper economic policy reforms and root causes of global financial crises of the 1990s and 2008-2009.
Jonah Whanau

2021-10-12 10:31:00 Tuesday ET

Peter Isard analyzes the proper economic policy reforms and root causes of global financial crises of the 1990s and 2008-2009.

Peter Isard analyzes the proper economic policy reforms and root causes of global financial crises of the 1990s and 2008-2009. Peter Isard (2005) &nbs

+See More
Tech stock prices tumble due to Trump's criticism of Amazon's tax avoidance, Facebook data breach of trust, and Tesla autopilot incidence.
Dan Rochefort

2018-03-29 14:28:00 Thursday ET

Tech stock prices tumble due to Trump's criticism of Amazon's tax avoidance, Facebook data breach of trust, and Tesla autopilot incidence.

Share prices tumble for technology stocks due to Trump's criticism of Amazon's tax avoidance, Facebook user data breach of trust, and Tesla autopilo

+See More
President Trump criticizes his new Fed Chair Jerome Powell for accelerating the current interest rate hike.
Joseph Corr

2018-08-21 11:40:00 Tuesday ET

President Trump criticizes his new Fed Chair Jerome Powell for accelerating the current interest rate hike.

President Trump criticizes his new Fed Chair Jerome Powell for accelerating the current interest rate hike with greenback strength. This criticism overshado

+See More