Paulson, Geithner, and Bernanke warn that people seem to have forgotten the lessons of the global financial crisis from 2008 to 2009.

Daphne Basel

2018-07-17 08:35:00 Tue ET

Henry Paulson and Timothy Geithner (former Treasury heads) and Ben Bernanke (former Fed chairman) warn that people seem to have forgotten the lessons of the global financial crisis from 2008 to 2009. As Paulson, Geithner, and Bernanke note, the sharp surge in U.S. budget debt and deficit, financial deregulation, and political dysfunction, may combine to endanger the economy. Most Americans face a more stable financial system today as the defenses are better, whereas, U.S. regulators now have a weaker set of tools for coping with a severe financial downturn.

These former top-notch economic heads voice their deep concerns about the next economic recession. Recent stock market gyrations exhibit much larger volatility in response to Trump tariffs and tax cuts. Also, bond market analysts express their worries and concerns about potential yield curve inversion that might signal the dawn of the next economic downturn. As U.S. government bond issuance cannot fund incessant budget deficits, the budget deficits may reflect the need for greater seigniorage or inflation taxation. An increase in money supply growth can induce inflationary momentum with higher consumer prices and wages.

As the Federal Reserve continues the current interest rate hike in the foreseeable future, greater greenback strength may dampen U.S. exports. As a consequence, this economic policy uncertainty may pose a conceptual challenge to many stock market investors, bond analysts, and currency traders.

In light of the recent economic developments, it would be better for long-term value investors to put their capital in profitable small-to-mid-size bluechip cash cows with low capital investment and asset growth.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Former White House chief economic advisor Gary Cohn points out that there is no instant cure for the Sino-U.S. trade dilemma.

Rose Prince

2018-11-23 09:39:00 Friday ET

Former White House chief economic advisor Gary Cohn points out that there is no instant cure for the Sino-U.S. trade dilemma.

Former White House chief economic advisor Gary Cohn points out that there is no instant cure for the Sino-U.S. trade dilemma. After the U.S. midterm electio

+See More

Fed Chair Jerome Powell answers CBS News 60 Minutes questions about the recent U.S. economic outlook.

Dan Rochefort

2019-03-29 12:28:00 Friday ET

Fed Chair Jerome Powell answers CBS News 60 Minutes questions about the recent U.S. economic outlook.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell answers CBS News 60 Minutes questions about the recent U.S. economic outlook and interest rate cycle. Powell views the c

+See More

Our proprietary alpha investment model outperforms most stock market indices from 2017 to 2021.

Apple Boston

2021-02-02 14:24:00 Tuesday ET

Our proprietary alpha investment model outperforms most stock market indices from 2017 to 2021.

Our proprietary alpha investment model outperforms the major stock market benchmarks such as S&P 500, MSCI, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq. We implement

+See More

Michael Woodford provides the theoretical foundations of monetary policy rules in ever more efficient financial markets.

Fiona Sydney

2023-09-07 11:30:00 Thursday ET

Michael Woodford provides the theoretical foundations of monetary policy rules in ever more efficient financial markets.

Michael Woodford provides the theoretical foundations of monetary policy rules in ever more efficient financial markets. Michael Woodford (2003)  

+See More

Corporate investment insights from mergers and acquisitions

Joseph Corr

2022-10-25 11:31:00 Tuesday ET

Corporate investment insights from mergers and acquisitions

Corporate investment insights from mergers and acquisitions Relative market misvaluation between the bidder and target firms drives most waves of mergers

+See More

Daniel Goleman explains why working with emotional intelligence helps hone our social skills for smarter, better, and more effective leaders, teams, and organizations in modern life, business, innovation, and entrepreneurship.

Fiona Sydney

2025-07-05 11:23:00 Saturday ET

Daniel Goleman explains why working with emotional intelligence helps hone our social skills for smarter, better, and more effective leaders, teams, and organizations in modern life, business, innovation, and entrepreneurship.

Former New York Times science author and Harvard psychologist Daniel Goleman explains why working with emotional intelligence helps hone our social skills f

+See More