2018-07-17 08:35:00 Tue ET
stock market competition macrofinance stock return s&p 500 financial crisis financial deregulation bank oligarchy systemic risk asset market stabilization asset price fluctuations regulation capital financial stability dodd-frank
Henry Paulson and Timothy Geithner (former Treasury heads) and Ben Bernanke (former Fed chairman) warn that people seem to have forgotten the lessons of the global financial crisis from 2008 to 2009. As Paulson, Geithner, and Bernanke note, the sharp surge in U.S. budget debt and deficit, financial deregulation, and political dysfunction, may combine to endanger the economy. Most Americans face a more stable financial system today as the defenses are better, whereas, U.S. regulators now have a weaker set of tools for coping with a severe financial downturn.
These former top-notch economic heads voice their deep concerns about the next economic recession. Recent stock market gyrations exhibit much larger volatility in response to Trump tariffs and tax cuts. Also, bond market analysts express their worries and concerns about potential yield curve inversion that might signal the dawn of the next economic downturn. As U.S. government bond issuance cannot fund incessant budget deficits, the budget deficits may reflect the need for greater seigniorage or inflation taxation. An increase in money supply growth can induce inflationary momentum with higher consumer prices and wages.
As the Federal Reserve continues the current interest rate hike in the foreseeable future, greater greenback strength may dampen U.S. exports. As a consequence, this economic policy uncertainty may pose a conceptual challenge to many stock market investors, bond analysts, and currency traders.
In light of the recent economic developments, it would be better for long-term value investors to put their capital in profitable small-to-mid-size bluechip cash cows with low capital investment and asset growth.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-01-15 07:35:00 Monday ET
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin welcomes a weak U.S. dollar amid pervasive fears of an open trade war between America and China. At the World Economic For
2019-12-28 09:36:00 Saturday ET
Global debt surges to $250 trillion in the fiscal year 2019. The International Institute of Finance analytic report shows that both China and the U.S. accou
2019-01-03 10:38:00 Thursday ET
American parents often worry about money and upward mobility for their children. A recent New York Times survey suggests that nowadays American parents spen
2023-08-14 09:25:00 Monday ET
Peter Isard analyzes the proper economic policy reforms and root causes of global financial crises of the 1990s and 2008-2009. Peter Isard (2005) &nbs
2027-10-31 00:00:00 Sunday ET
In the technological race between the U.S. and China, America leads in some strategic sectors from AI large language models (LLM), graphics processing units
2022-11-15 10:30:00 Tuesday ET
Stock market misvaluation and corporate investment payout The behavioral catering theory suggests that stock market misvaluation can have a first-order