2018-07-17 08:35:00 Tue ET
stock market competition macrofinance stock return s&p 500 financial crisis financial deregulation bank oligarchy systemic risk asset market stabilization asset price fluctuations regulation capital financial stability dodd-frank
Henry Paulson and Timothy Geithner (former Treasury heads) and Ben Bernanke (former Fed chairman) warn that people seem to have forgotten the lessons of the global financial crisis from 2008 to 2009. As Paulson, Geithner, and Bernanke note, the sharp surge in U.S. budget debt and deficit, financial deregulation, and political dysfunction, may combine to endanger the economy. Most Americans face a more stable financial system today as the defenses are better, whereas, U.S. regulators now have a weaker set of tools for coping with a severe financial downturn.
These former top-notch economic heads voice their deep concerns about the next economic recession. Recent stock market gyrations exhibit much larger volatility in response to Trump tariffs and tax cuts. Also, bond market analysts express their worries and concerns about potential yield curve inversion that might signal the dawn of the next economic downturn. As U.S. government bond issuance cannot fund incessant budget deficits, the budget deficits may reflect the need for greater seigniorage or inflation taxation. An increase in money supply growth can induce inflationary momentum with higher consumer prices and wages.
As the Federal Reserve continues the current interest rate hike in the foreseeable future, greater greenback strength may dampen U.S. exports. As a consequence, this economic policy uncertainty may pose a conceptual challenge to many stock market investors, bond analysts, and currency traders.
In light of the recent economic developments, it would be better for long-term value investors to put their capital in profitable small-to-mid-size bluechip cash cows with low capital investment and asset growth.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2020-04-24 11:33:00 Friday ET
Disruptive innovations tend to contribute to business success in new blue-ocean markets after iterative continuous improvements. Clayton Christensen and
2024-02-05 11:26:00 Monday ET
China poses new economic, technological, and military threats to the U.S. and many western allies. In the U.S. government assessment, China poses new eco
2025-06-21 05:25:00 Saturday ET
President Trump refreshes American fiscal fears, worries, and concerns through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimat
2018-05-01 11:38:00 Tuesday ET
America and China play the game of chicken over trade and technology, whereas, most market observers and economic media commentators hope the Trump team to
2019-01-23 11:32:00 Wednesday ET
Higher public debt levels, global interest rate hikes, and subpar Chinese economic growth rates are the major risks to the world economy from 2019 to 2020.
2022-02-15 14:41:00 Tuesday ET
Modern themes and insights in behavioral finance Lee, C.M., Shleifer, A., and Thaler, R.H. (1990). Anomalies: closed-end mutual funds. Journal