2018-07-11 09:39:00 Wed ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
In recent times, the Trump administration sees the sweet state of U.S. economic expansion as of early-July 2018. The latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey indicates 54% majority approval of the Trump team's supply-side economic reform. At least for 2018Q2, U.S. economic output grows at a hefty rate of 4% year-to-year. Non-farm payrolls add 213,000 full-time jobs in June 2018. Further, the U.S. trade deficit shrinks by 6.6% to $43 billion or the lowest level in 19 months.
U.S. average wages growth increases to 2.7%, whereas, CPI inflation remains as low as 2% that the Federal Reserve targets in order to maintain the current neutral interest rate hike. Unemployment is as low as 4% per annum, and most other top-line U.S. economic statistics land in reasonable ranges near full employment, the latter of which is part of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate. In light of this recent evidence, the Federal Reserve seems able to trade off maximum employment with moderate inflationary momentum.
President Trump deserves a lion's share of credit for this sweet state of economic affairs in America. The mid-term election stirs positive animal spirits and investor sentiments. The recent rollback of Dodd-Frank bank regulations boosts financial intermediary capital for better profitability, M&A momentum, and key balance sheet strength. Trump tax cuts breed corporate efficiency, capital investment growth, and both dividend payout and share buyback. These positive economic affairs trickle down to benefit shareholders, small-to-medium enterprises, and investment firms. Whether these economic affairs can sustain the current sweet state remains open to healthy debate due to bitter social polarization and rampant economic inequality.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-11-23 08:33:00 Saturday ET

MIT financial economist Simon Johnson rethinks capitalism with better key market incentives. Johnson refers to the recent Business Roundtable CEO statement
2017-12-13 06:39:00 Wednesday ET

The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) has decided its majority vote to dismantle rules and regulations of most Internet service providers (ISPs) that
2018-08-19 10:34:00 Sunday ET

The World Economic Forum warns that artificial intelligence may destabilize the financial system. Artificial intelligence poses at least a trifecta of major
2019-07-29 11:33:00 Monday ET

Blackrock asset research director Andrew Ang shares his economic insights into fundamental factors for global asset management. As Ang indicates in an inter
2018-02-03 07:42:00 Saturday ET

Quant Quake 2.0 shakes investor confidence with rampant stock market fears and doubts during the recent Fed Chair transition from Janet Yellen to Jerome Pow
2019-11-19 09:33:00 Tuesday ET

American unemployment declines to the 50-year historical low level of 3.5% with moderate job growth. Despite a sharp slowdown in U.S. services and utilities