Walt Disney Company (The) Common Stock (DIS) real-time stock prices, returns, latest social media discussions, proprietary alpha stock signals, CAPM alphas, Fama-French alphas, interactive charts, financial statements, key ratios, and stock news

Rose Prince

2025-06-28 03:47:43

Bullish

Quantitative fundamental analysis

Our new podcast deep-dives into the new self-improvement book review of The Power of Habit by Charles Duhigg. Former New York Times prolific team author and Pulitzer Prize winner Charles Duhigg delves into how we can change our lives for the better by mastering our habits from day to day. In essence, keystone habits remake, reshape, and reinforce many other good and robust habits, positive patterns, growth mindsets, hard truths, worldviews, actions, and insights in iterative continuous performance improvements. These vital lessons help us achieve both better personal growth and self-improvement in life, business, innovation, and entrepreneurship.

$CLDX $GRAL $NVO $LLY $MRK $AMGN $JNJ $BMY $PFE $GSK $QNTM $DNA $AGEN $AZN $AZN $C

$BFLY $CLDX $SDGR $ABBV $PLTR $PYPL $OXY $CSX $CSV $PSX $XOM $BRK.A $BRK.B $JPM $BAC

$WFC $GS $MS $PNC $V $MA $AXP $T $TMUS $VZ $META $AAPL $MSFT $GOOG $GOOGL $AMZN

$NVDA $TSLA $NIO $RIVN $XPEV $BABA $BIDU $TME $BILI $IQ $NFLX $DIS $JD $PDD $KKR $WRB

#size #value #momentum #profitability #assetgrowth #marketrisk #revenuegrowth #returnvariance #industry

#dividendyield #residualvariance #shortreversal #longreversal #shortrange #longrange #murphyrank #macd

The original blog article is available on our AYA fintech network platform. https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-the-power-of-habit-by-charles-duhigg/

This fun podcast is about 10 minutes long (with smart AI podcast generation from Google NotebookLM). https://bit.ly/3FUTSHs

Former New York Times team journalist and Pulitzer Prize winner Charles Duhigg describes, discusses, and delves into how we can change our own respective lives for the better by mastering our habits from day to day. Duhigg analyzes the central question in life, business, innovation, and entrepreneurship: Why do some people maintain healthy habits and lifestyles, realize professional achievements, and seek to innovate better products and services for the social good, whereas, many others flail and fail in their best conscious efforts? In response to this bigger, brighter, and broader question, Duhigg attributes this dichotomy to the power of habit. As Duhigg explains in detail, successful people have often learned to control-and-change their habits for the better. Specifically, Duhigg describes, discusses, and delves into the 3 major components of the positive habit loop. These 3 major components include the cue for a particular habitual change, the routine process for self-improvement and habitual reinforcement, and the reward system for long-run habitual adaptation. By analyzing why and how many people over-eat, drink alcohol, smoke cigarettes, and so on, Duhigg provides several plausible explanations and actionable insights for these people to break the habit loop. In time, these people form better habits in controlling their human desires. By force of habit, people learn new critical success factors, lessons, insights, and hard truths from Duhigg’s emphasis on the power of habit. In due course, these people embark on a new relentless life journey for better self-improvement.

Habits refer to several major recurrent actions, lifestyles, and behaviors for people to navigate through new threats, risks, challenges, and opportunities in the modern life journey. People first decide to deliberately engage in these key habits by choice, and these people keep these key habits subconsciously over a longer time horizon. People can change their bad habits if they learn how habits operate in the positive habit loop. The habit loop comprises 3 major components: cue, routine, and reward. Some habitual cue motivates someone into a routine process to reap results in the broader reward system. Better understanding how habits fit into these 3 habit loop stages can help each one of us change habits for the better. It is often hard, tough, and difficult for people to change their respective habits because these habits fulfill human desires with sound satisfaction. However, people can learn not to respond to the initial cue for some habit, as well as the potential rewards for this habit, with the same old routine process. For instance, Starbucks teaches all of its employees willpower by training them to remain calm in response to some inflection points, or some situations where these employees would probably experience substantially weaker self-discipline. Altering some keystone habits helps start good new actions, mindsets, and behaviors in place of bad old habits.

The biggest American retailers, Amazon, Target, Walmart, P&G, and Home Depot often sell to consumers by analyzing their shopping habits. From month to month, these shopping habits help reinforce some specific patterns of retail commerce in the major metropolitan cities and regions across the country. Paul O’Neill of Alcoa, Howard Schultz of Starbucks, former American football safety coach Tony Dungy, and Martin Luther King continue to shape social changes and cultural movements by building new good habits, mindsets, values, cultures, actions, and behaviors as a replacement for old bad ones.

Habits arise, emerge, and persist often because the human brain constantly looks for new and optimal ways, lifestyles, and solutions to save time, effort, energy, and consideration. The human brain often cannot tell the difference between bad and good habits. If we have a bad habit, this bad habit always lurks there in the human brain, waiting for the right cues and rewards. As we associate the central cues with some potential rewards, some subconscious human desire emerges in the human brain. This human desire starts, spins, and sustains the positive habit loop. Human desires drive habits. For this reason, it is easier for us to develop a new habit when we figure out how we can better spark some human desire.

To change an old bad habit, we should address some old human desire. We would need to keep the same cues and rewards as before. At the same time, we should feed the same human desire by inserting a new routine process. This new routine process connects the dots between the same cues and rewards in support of better human satisfaction with respect to the same human desire. In clinical trials, doctors ask patients to describe what triggers their habitual actions, desires, and behaviors with greater focus, self-awareness, internal motivation, persistence, and resilience. For instance, Alcoholics Anonymous (AA) recovery programs insist on forcing their alcoholics to recognize their initial cues. This greater self-awareness serves as the first step in habit reversal.

Further, some habits have the power to start a chain reaction. These habits change other habits as they move through a new organization. Keystone habits start a new routine process in support of gradual transformation in all major aspects of modern life, business, innovation, and entrepreneurship. New positive cultures grow out of these keystone habits in every new organization, whether leaders are aware of the new cultures and keystone habits or not. Just as choosing the right keystone habits can create radical and revolutionary positive changes in human mindsets, insights, actions, and behaviors, the wrong keystone habits can create human disasters too. In our global society, a new social movement starts because of the positive habits of friendship, as well as the social ties of rapport between close friends, co-workers, and other acquaintances. This fresh social movement grows substantially within a short time frame due to the weak ties for holding clans and neighborhoods together, as well as the positive habits of a broader community. In theory, in practice, or both, this new social movement endures often because the leaders often tend to provide participants with new, non-obvious, useful, and creative habits, cultures, mindsets, insights, actions, and behaviors. In turn, these new habits create a fresh sense of identity. In time, this fresh sense of identity often empowers numerous participants to feel their broader, better, and greater ownership of the new social movement. In this new routine process, these various participants become part of the social good. At the same time, these participants gently learn to apply this new routine process to connect the dots between the same cues and rewards. In the rare unique fashion, human willpower becomes a new habit. By choosing a new set of mindsets, actions, and behaviors well ahead of time, participants follow some new routine process in support of the broader social movement. This new positive social movement arises at particular inflection points, junctures, and episodes of human history.

Below we provide hyperlinks to many other recent podcasts, surveys, research articles, and blog posts on global macro-finance, asset return prediction, trade, technology, fiscal-monetary policy coordination, and fundamental industry analysis for stock market investors worldwide. Key technological advancements include generative artificial intelligence (Gen AI) large language models (LLM), electric vehicles (EV), autonomous robotaxis (AR), virtual reality (VR) headsets, semiconductor microchips, high-speed broadband networks, telecoms, cloud services, social media platforms, quantum computers, and pharmaceutical treatments, medications, and therapies.

Former New York Times science author and Harvard social psychologist Daniel Goleman explains why greater mental focus serves as a vital mainstream driver of personal growth, success, virtue, happiness, and fulfillment in life, business, innovation, and entrepreneurship.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/44z2ZH5

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-focus-by-daniel-goleman/

Former New York Times science author and Harvard social psychologist Daniel Goleman explains why emotional intelligence often serves as a more important critical success factor than high IQ for our success, virtue, and happiness in life, business, innovation, and entrepreneurship.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/43O7TzP

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-emotional-intelligence-by-daniel-goleman/

Former New York Times prolific team author, and Pulitzer Prize winner Charles Duhigg delves into how we can change our lives for the better by mastering our habits from day to day.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3FUTSHs

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-the-power-of-habit-by-charles-duhigg/

Serial venture capitalist Ben Horowitz describes many hard truths, lessons, and insights from his rare unique entrepreneurial journey of running LoudCloud from a Silicon Valley tech startup to a $1.65 billion sale to Hewlett-Packard.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3FJ3fKl

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-the-hard-thing-about-hard-things-by-ben-horowitz/

Stanford psychology professor Carol Dweck describes, discusses, and delves into the reasons why the growth mindset helps motivate individuals, teams, and senior managers to accomplish more with greater grit, focus, and resilience.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3HGF67P

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-mindset-by-carol-dweck/

President Trump poses new threats to Fed Chair monetary policy independence again.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4ebeoQH

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/president-trump-poses-new-threats-to-fed-chair-monetary-policy-independence-again/

What are the mainstream legal origins of President Trump’s tariff policies?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZnNMG7

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-legal-origins-of-recent-trump-tariffs/

American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4iuWuJ9

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

In the broader modern monetary policy context, central banks learn to weigh the trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/42SwrXG

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

Today, tech titans, billionaires, serial entrepreneurs, and venture capitalists continue to reshape and even disrupt global pharmaceutical investments for both better healthspan and longer lifespan.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/41KDNLp

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/today-tech-titans-reshape-global-pharmaceutical-investments-for-both-better-healthspan-and-longer-lifespan/

Artificial intelligence continues to reshape the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4hBVimM

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-new-integration-of-artificial-intelligence-reshapes-the-competitive-landscape-for-the-global-market-for-better-medical-innovations-and-healthcare-services/

The global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss treatments now grows substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4bz6vmI

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3F1fpgN

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

Geopolitical alignment often reshapes and reinforces asset market fragmentation in the broader context of financial deglobalization.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZpGMcD

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/geopolitical-alignment-often-reshapes-and-reinforces-asset-market-fragmentation-in-the-broader-context-of-financial-deglobalization/

The global cloud infrastructure helps accelerate the next high-tech revolutions in electric vehicles (EV), virtual reality (VR) headsets, artificial intelligence (AI) online services, and the metaverse.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/47pDk3z

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-cloud-infrastructure-helps-expand-what-can-be-made-digitally-viable-from-electric-vehicles-and-virtual-reality-headsets-to-artificial-intelligence-metaverse/

The new homeland industrial policy stance tilts toward greater global resilience across the major high-tech supply chains worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3B6xY12

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-current-homeland-industrial-policy-stance-worldwide-seeks-to-embed-the-new-notion-of-global-resilience-into-economic-statecraft/

China poses new threats to the U.S. and its western allies.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XGWrD1

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/china-poses-new-economic-technological-and-military-threats-to-the-us-and-western-allies/

How can generative AI tools and LLMs help enhance human productivity?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4elAFKv

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/generative-artificial-intelligence-uses-large-language-models-and-content-generation-tools-to-enhance-human-productivity/

What are the macrofinancial ripple effects of central bank digital currency (CBDC) design, issuance, and broad user adoption?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XNMwM8

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-should-shape-cbdc-design-features-and-functions-to-reduce-any-adverse-impact-on-bank-intermediation/

Both BYD and Tesla have become serious global manufacturers of electric vehicles (EV) worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3BgL0sL

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-technological-advances-in-the-global-auto-industry/

With U.S. fintech patent approval, accreditation, and protection for 20 years, our AYA fintech network platform provides proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools for stock market investors worldwide.

We build, design, and delve into our new and non-obvious proprietary algorithmic system for smart asset return prediction and fintech network platform automation. Unlike our fintech rivals and competitors who chose to keep their proprietary algorithms in a black box, we open the black box by providing the free and complete disclosure of our U.S. fintech patent publication. In this rare unique fashion, we help stock market investors ferret out informative alpha stock signals in order to enrich their own stock market investment portfolios. With no need to crunch data over an extensive period of time, our freemium members pick and choose their own alpha stock signals for profitable investment opportunities in the U.S. stock market.

Smart investors can consult our proprietary alpha stock signals to ferret out rare opportunities for transient stock market undervaluation. Our analytic reports help many stock market investors better understand global macro trends in trade, finance, technology, and so forth. Most investors can combine our proprietary alpha stock signals with broader and deeper macrofinancial knowledge to win in the stock market.

Through our proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools, we can help stock market investors achieve their near-term and longer-term financial goals. High-quality stock market investment decisions can help investors attain the near-term goals of buying a smartphone, a car, a house, good health care, and many more. Also, these high-quality stock market investment decisions can further help investors attain the longer-term goals of saving for travel, passive income, retirement, self-employment, and college education for children. Our AYA fintech network platform empowers stock market investors through better social integration, education, and technology.

Former New York Times team journalist and Pulitzer Prize winner Charles Duhigg delves into how we can change our lives for the better by mastering our habits from day to day. - Blog - AYA fintech network platform provides proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools for stock market investors.

This new self-improvement book review delves into the non-fiction best-seller, The Power of Habit, w...

https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-the-power-of-habit-by-charles-duhigg/

Comment

James Campbell

2025-06-25 03:10:13

Bullish

Qualitative fundamental analysis

Our new podcast deep-dives into the serial venture capitalist Ben Horowitz’s hard truths, lessons, and insights from his rare unique entrepreneurial journey of running LoudCloud from a Silicon Valley tech startup to a $1.65 billion sale to Hewlett-Packard. In essence, keystone habits remake, reshape, and reinforce many other good and robust habits, positive patterns, growth mindsets, hard truths, worldviews, actions, and insights in iterative continuous performance improvements. These vital lessons help us achieve both better personal growth and self-improvement in life, business, innovation, and entrepreneurship.

$META $AAPL $MSFT $GOOG $GOOGL $AMZN $NVDA $TSLA $NIO $RIVN $XPEV $KKR $AMD $ARM

$QCOM $AVGO $IONQ $QBTS $QUBT $RGTI $ZIM $SNOW $NET $CRWD $AMC $AEO $PARA $RACE

$TM $GM $F $V $MA $AXP $PYPL $PLTR $EBAY $ETSY $ORCL $ASML $CSCO $IBM $INTC $BABA $T

$TMUS $VZ $BAC $C $JPM $WFC $MS $GS $PNC $DIS $NFLX $WRB $OXY $PSX $CSV $CSX $BABA

$TME $BIDU $BILI $IQ $JD $PDD $DOCU $TSM $JNJ $BMY $LLY $NVO $GSK $MRNA $AZN $BNT $PFE

#size #value #momentum #profitability #assetgrowth #marketrisk #shortreversal #longreversal #dividendyield

#revenuegrowth #returnvariance #residualvariance #fibonacci #murphyrank #bollinger #accrual #issuance

The original blog article is available on our AYA fintech network platform. https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-the-hard-thing-about-hard-things-by-ben-horowitz/

This fun podcast is about 10 minutes long (with smart AI podcast generation from Google NotebookLM). https://bit.ly/3FJ3fKl

Serial venture capitalist Ben Horowitz describes, discusses, and delves into many hard truths, lessons, and insights from his own rare unique entrepreneurial journey of running LoudCloud from a Silicon Valley tech startup to an eventual impressive $1.65 billion sale to Hewlett-Packard. From the 1990s to the early-2000s, Horowitz guided LoudCloud through many life-or-death struggles before he managed to sell the first-generation cloud company to Hewlett-Packard. Horowitz shows that there is neither formula nor recipe for founders, directors, senior managers, and venture capitalists to promise entrepreneurial success. Throughout this book on hard truths in his rare unique entrepreneurial journey, Horowitz serves as a first-rate storyteller and a vitally irreverent mentor who uses proverbs, allusions, and metaphors from Jay Z and Kanye West to Clint Eastwood to Dr Seuss. Many business leaders can find worthy advice, support, and guidance from this exhortation to persist through the common entrepreneurial struggle. These business leaders learn many lessons, hard truths, and actionable insights from Horowitz’s part scratch sheet, part guide book, and part autobiography.

Horowitz felt both the essential need and internal motivation for him to write a new book on his own entrepreneurial journey when he realized that many management books for self-help almost never disclose the hard truths in entrepreneurship. The hard truth is not setting a big, hairy, and audacious goal, mission, or social purpose. The hard truth is laying off hundreds of co-workers when the company misses the near-term goal. The hard truth is not hiring great people or managing smart teams. The hard truth happens out of the blue when these great people and smart teams develop a sense of entitlement with unreasonable demands, requests, preferences, and expectations from the lean startup. The hard truth is not setting up a new, lean, flat, or hierarchical organizational chart. The hard truth is getting great people and smart teams to communicate effectively within the new organization. The hard truth is not thinking big or dreaming big. The hard truth is waking up in the middle of the night in cold sweat when the dream turns into a nightmare.

Horowitz points out the major common problem with many management books on self-help, self-improvement, self-enrichment, and innovation and entrepreneurship: their authors often attempt to provide a formulaic recipe for lean startup challenges; however, there are no recipes for such business challenges. There is no recipe for complex and dynamic business situations, scenarios, and transitions. There is no recipe for building a high-tech company with lean cost structure. There is no recipe for leading great people and smart teams out of setbacks, failures, difficulties, and disappointments. There is no recipe for making a series of hits, products, services, and disruptive innovations in higher technology. There is no recipe for playing NFL quarterback, NBA center, or MLB slugger. There is no recipe for running for office. There is no recipe for leading smart teams out of trouble when the business is near bankruptcy. After all, there is no formula for dealing with all of these hard truths. In this negative light, Horowitz highlights the vital importance and practical relevance of leading smart teams to navigate through numerous setbacks, failures, difficulties, and disappointments amid substantial market uncertainty. Nevertheless, Horowitz provides many bits and pieces of prescient advice, support, and guidance to help new business leaders better cope with these hard truths. When business leaders confront these brutal facts and hard truths, these co-founders, directors, and senior managers often find no easy answers in life, innovation, and entrepreneurship.

In each wave of massive layoffs, senior managers should lay off their own people directly with proper eye contact, further career support, compassion, and empathy. In practice, these senior managers cannot and should not pass this difficult task to HR advisors, external recruiters, or headhunters. Each smart team member would naturally ponder this way: If the CEO hired me and I busted my ass working for the CEO and the company, I expect the CEO to have the courage to lay me off directly. Specifically, senior managers should emphasize the basic but brutal fact that these layoffs are the company’s epic failures. At the same time, these senior managers should make their best efforts to emphasize that these layoffs are not the personal failures of individual contributors, teams, or other corporate staff members. One of the most essential tasks for founders, CEOs, and senior managers involves getting great people to work for the company in support of the bigger, bolder, brighter, and broader corporate vision, mission, or social purpose. Even with all the good advice, support, guidance, and hindsight in the world, hard truths continue to be hard truths in reality.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/43O7TzP

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-emotional-intelligence-by-daniel-goleman/

Former New York Times prolific team author, and Pulitzer Prize winner Charles Duhigg delves into how we can change our lives for the better by mastering our habits from day to day.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3FUTSHs

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-the-power-of-habit-by-charles-duhigg/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3FJ3fKl

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-the-hard-thing-about-hard-things-by-ben-horowitz/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3HGF67P

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-mindset-by-carol-dweck/

President Trump poses new threats to Fed Chair monetary policy independence again.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4ebeoQH

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/president-trump-poses-new-threats-to-fed-chair-monetary-policy-independence-again/

What are the mainstream legal origins of President Trump’s tariff policies?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZnNMG7

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-legal-origins-of-recent-trump-tariffs/

American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4iuWuJ9

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

In the broader modern monetary policy context, central banks learn to weigh the trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/42SwrXG

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

Today, tech titans, billionaires, serial entrepreneurs, and venture capitalists continue to reshape and even disrupt global pharmaceutical investments for both better healthspan and longer lifespan.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/41KDNLp

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/today-tech-titans-reshape-global-pharmaceutical-investments-for-both-better-healthspan-and-longer-lifespan/

Artificial intelligence continues to reshape the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4hBVimM

The global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss treatments now grows substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4bz6vmI

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3F1fpgN

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

Geopolitical alignment often reshapes and reinforces asset market fragmentation in the broader context of financial deglobalization.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZpGMcD

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/geopolitical-alignment-often-reshapes-and-reinforces-asset-market-fragmentation-in-the-broader-context-of-financial-deglobalization/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/47pDk3z

The new homeland industrial policy stance tilts toward greater global resilience across the major high-tech supply chains worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3B6xY12

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-current-homeland-industrial-policy-stance-worldwide-seeks-to-embed-the-new-notion-of-global-resilience-into-economic-statecraft/

China poses new threats to the U.S. and its western allies.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XGWrD1

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/china-poses-new-economic-technological-and-military-threats-to-the-us-and-western-allies/

How can generative AI tools and LLMs help enhance human productivity?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4elAFKv

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/generative-artificial-intelligence-uses-large-language-models-and-content-generation-tools-to-enhance-human-productivity/

What are the macrofinancial ripple effects of central bank digital currency (CBDC) design, issuance, and broad user adoption?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XNMwM8

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-should-shape-cbdc-design-features-and-functions-to-reduce-any-adverse-impact-on-bank-intermediation/

Both BYD and Tesla have become serious global manufacturers of electric vehicles (EV) worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3BgL0sL

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-technological-advances-in-the-global-auto-industry/

Ben Horowitz shares many hard truths, setbacks, failures, obstacles, difficulties, and disappointments through his rare unique entrepreneurial journey at LoudCloud. - Blog - AYA fintech network platform provides proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools for stock market investors.

This book summary describes and delves into Ben Horowitz's entrepreneurial journey at LoudCloud-Opsw...

https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-the-hard-thing-about-hard-things-by-ben-horowitz/

Comment

Olivia London

2025-06-21 03:28:59

Bullish

Hybrid analysis

Our new podcast deep-dives into Stanford psychology professor Carol Dweck’s modern analysis of the growth mindset in self-improvement, personal growth, and emotional intelligence. Dweck delves into the fundamental reasons why the growth mindset helps motivate individuals, teams, and senior managers to accomplish more with greater grit, focus, and resilience.

$META $AAPL $MSFT $GOOG $AMZN $NVDA $TSLA $NIO $RIVN $XPEV $AMD $ARM $ORCL $CSCO $C

$QCOM $AVGO $INTC $CRWD $NET $SNPS $IONQ $QBTS $QUBT $RGTI $IBM $T $TMUS $VZ $PYPL

$V $MA $AXP $BAC $WFC $JPM $MS $GS $PNC $BABA $BIDU $TME $BILI $NFLX $IQ $KKR $DIS $PDD

#size #value #momentum #profitability #assetgrowth #marketrisk #dividendyield #revenuegrowth #industry

#accrual #issuance #returnvariance #residualvariance #shortreversal #longreversal #fibonacci #murphyrank

The original blog article is available on our AYA fintech network platform. https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-mindset-by-carol-dweck/

This fun podcast is about 10 minutes long (with smart AI podcast generation from Google NotebookLM). https://bit.ly/3HGF67P

Stanford psychology professor Dr Carol Dweck delves into some scientific reasons why the growth mindset often helps motivate individuals, teams, and managers to accomplish more with greater grit, focus, resilience, persistence, and so forth. The new psychology of success suggests that many people apply the growth mindset to better adapt to structural changes in the world. This adaptation further improves human relationships, intellectual worldviews, and personal growth advancements with smarter, better, and more flexible personality traits, leadership styles, scientific research pursuits, entrepreneurial ventures, and other lifelong endeavors. Instead of raw intelligence, the growth mindset empowers each person to make conscious efforts to learn new lessons, insights, worldviews, and other ideas, and this growth mindset often leads to lifelong opportunities for personal growth, wisdom, maturity, disruptive innovation, technological advancement, and entrepreneurial success.

The world comprises 2 dramatically different groups of people with regard to their respective mindsets. The first group includes people who are open to learning new lessons, insights, ideas, mindsets, and worldviews. By contrast, the second group spans people who seek closure on lifelong opportunities for further improvements. Dweck describes, discusses, and delves into key scientific research articles, news stories, and anecdotes about the pros and cons of both mindsets. As a result, key stories about Michael Jordan, Lee Iacocca, John McEnroe, Wilma Rudolph, Babe Ruth, and some others find their respective places in Dweck’s rare unique insights into the growth mindset. Dweck argues that each one of us can have both mindsets with respect to different aspects of life. Her major insight shows that we often need to apply the growth mindset for further improvements ahead. As we learn to apply the growth mindset more often, we adjust, refine, and even totally change our basic tendency to seek closure. Dweck also extends her major insight by viewing almost all areas of human relationships today. Specifically, she makes efforts to show the vital and practical relevance of the growth mindset in leadership and management. In essence, the growth mindset often conveys more positive lifelong opportunities. This positive growth mindset can help motivate individuals, teams, and managers to accomplish more with greater grit, focus, perseverance, and resilience.

People who believe they can further improve their personality traits over time retain the vital growth mindset. With this growth mindset, these people believe the future presents an opportunity to grow even during hard times. Although various mindsets produce definite worldviews, many people learn to adapt their respective mindsets in response to different aspects of life. Children who often receive parental praises for their raw intelligence tend to reject new challenges without the growth mindset. By contrast, Jack Welch, who had a growth mindset in business management, took over GE in 1980 when the company secured its stock market capitalization of only $14 billion. After Welch applied his growth mindset for further improvements in all parts of the company’s core operations over 20 years, GE grew substantially to an impressive $490 billion stock market valuation in 2000. Also, athletes with a growth mindset build better, stronger, and mature characters by challenging themselves to stretch their physical limits, talents, and capabilities over time. Several legendary athletes from Michael Jordan, Michael Phelps, and Tiger Woods to Usain Bolt and Shohei Ohtani leverage their rare unique growth mindset to incrementally sharpen their respective physical strengths, skills, talents, core competences, and dynamic capabilities over many years.

The growth mindset specifies the rare unique worldview for highly effective people: we can cause profound but incremental changes in our respective personality traits, leadership styles, entrepreneurial ventures, scientific research pursuits, intellectual advances, and other lifelong endeavors for further personal growth advancements. In human history, business cofounders, entrepreneurs, and visionary leaders apply the growth mindset to build great teams before they make great impact in the world. Good entrepreneurial examples include Steve Jobs (Apple), Bill Gates (Microsoft), Elon Musk (PayPal, Tesla, SpaceX, Twitter, xAI, and so on), Jeff Bezos (Amazon), Larry Page and Sergey Brin (Google), Mark Zuckerberg (Meta-Facebook), Jensen Huang (Nvidia), Jack Ma (Alibaba), and Sam Altman (OpenAI), among others. With the rare unique growth mindset, these business leaders tend to work harder when they learn to confront the brutal facts, setbacks, failures, obstacles, difficulties, and disappointments in many unforeseen circumstances, episodes, and vicissitudes of life. Throughout their hard, arduous, and relentless entrepreneurial ventures, these business leaders blaze the trail, innovate new solutions, remain resilient, move fast, and even disrupt some strategic sectors worldwide. The core passion for stretching oneself is the mainstream hallmark of the growth mindset. The growth mindset can often emerge front-and-center when these leaders bounce back better from defeat, denial, and adversity in many different aspects of life. These leaders learn to delay gratification to wait patiently for good results to come to fruition in time. Over many years, these leaders tend to accomplish substantially more with greater grit, focus, and resilience.

Although most people are not accurate at estimating their own potential capabilities, different mindsets often cause significant implications for life, work, research, study, and other human endeavors. Without the growth mindset, people often tend to take each failure personally. Indeed, these people interpret any setback, defeat, denial, and disappointment as a lifelong message of rejection. These rare life events span career detours, broken relations, peer pressures, unhappy marriages, workplace difficulties, and parental judgments. Feeling each failure exacerbates their low self-esteem. Without the growth mindset, these people work hard to hide their common flaws, faults, and weaknesses. At the same time, however, these people think it is impossible to change their personality traits, relationships, human interactions, and other lifelong endeavors.

By contrast, many people apply the growth mindset to appreciate the fact that they can change their personality traits incrementally over time. With the positive growth mindset, these people believe their skills, talents, core competencies, and dynamic capabilities can grow substantially over many years. These people are more likely to build on their raw intelligence. With the rare, unique, and positive growth mindset, these people serve as lifelong learners. Indeed, these people would feel frustration if they cannot further develop their potential capabilities. The growth mindset helps these people better cope with fear, stress, pain, panic, pressure, anxiety, and many other negative emotions.

The growth mindset can further help determine leadership qualities and intellectual worldviews. Some recent experiments show that medical students with no growth mindset would lose active interest in an important class when they earned subpar grades. On the contrary, the same recent experiments show that medical students who garner the growth mindset would work harder to eventually thrive as the class became more difficult. In these experiments, the initial grades reshaped, reinforced, and amplified subsequent student performance in accordance with their respective mindsets.

Different mindsets play a crucial role in further developing raw natural talents. From runners and swimmers to actors, musicians, and stand-up comedians, exceptional performers did not show their raw talents until they studied, applied, and leveraged these raw talents in their respective sub-fields. For instance, Mozart, Chopin, and Beethoven worked hard on their musical talents for almost one decade before they composed memorable music at a later stage. Moreover, many artists and inventors share, apply, and leverage the growth mindset to learn incrementally with iterative continuous improvements over many years before they become mature enough to thrive in due course. No one should rely solely on his or her raw talents. Mindsets are highly specific to diverse talents, so some artist may be more open to learning new ideas, insights, lessons, and concepts, but this artist may be socially awkward with more restrictive human interactions.

With the growth mindset, people may not need greater self-esteem, confidence, or external validation all the time. Many people who often suffer from depression tend to work hard productively to solve their problems with emotional intelligence. At the same time, these people work hard to further maintain their school schedules, work demands, lifestyle preferences, and outside interests. For these people who retain the growth mindset, internal motivation often serves as the mainstream momentum for peak performance, instead of parental approval and external validation (carrots, sticks, and other incentives).

Without a growth mindset, people react differently to external rewards and praises. Children who often receive parental praises for their raw intelligence tend to reject new challenges. In tests, exams, and math competitions, these children wanted to bask in their past successes and so did not want to risk revealing their flaws, faults, and weaknesses. Some recent experiments further show that students who were told that they had high capabilities did not like attempting to solve harder problems. For these students with no growth mindset, the extra work took away their fun, joy, and pleasure in learning new ideas, lessons, insights, and concepts. At the same time, students who received praises on their extra efforts showed that they enjoyed working on the harder problems. In these recent trials, praising a child’s raw ability even worked to reduce his or her total IQ score, but praising a child for trying harder raised his or her total IQ score. In essence, the growth mindset empowers children to seek new challenges in a proactive fashion. In turn, these new challenges further empower children to thrive in trying to solve hard problems.

As these experimental results suggest, it can be harmful for parents and teachers to label students as exceptional kids. Such labels are similar to negative racial and sexual stereotypes. Indeed, such labels may make students feel inferior with some negative self-fulfilling prophecy. In a vicious cycle, these labels seem to encourage students not to live up to their potential dynamic capabilities. When people believe these almost near-perfect labels and stereotypes, they often exaggerate and even lie about their real, true, and genuine accomplishments. The opinions of others can cause collateral damage too. When school teachers tell young girls they may not be good at math and science, these labels and stereotypes would drive these girls to consistently under-perform in these subjects. As some studies show, adolescent boys who were told to validate negative stereotypes about girls eventually boosted their confidence and self-esteem to outperform in these math and science subjects. The growth mindset seems to help reinforce these memes, labels, and stereotypes in practice.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/43O7TzP

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-emotional-intelligence-by-daniel-goleman/

Former New York Times prolific team author, and Pulitzer Prize winner Charles Duhigg delves into how we can change our lives for the better by mastering our habits from day to day.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3FUTSHs

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-the-power-of-habit-by-charles-duhigg/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3FJ3fKl

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-the-hard-thing-about-hard-things-by-ben-horowitz/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3HGF67P

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-mindset-by-carol-dweck/

What are the mainstream legal origins of President Trump’s tariff policies?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZnNMG7

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-legal-origins-of-recent-trump-tariffs/

American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4iuWuJ9

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

In the broader modern monetary policy context, central banks learn to weigh the trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/42SwrXG

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

Today, tech titans, billionaires, serial entrepreneurs, and venture capitalists continue to reshape and even disrupt global pharmaceutical investments for both better healthspan and longer lifespan.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/41KDNLp

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/today-tech-titans-reshape-global-pharmaceutical-investments-for-both-better-healthspan-and-longer-lifespan/

Artificial intelligence continues to reshape the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4hBVimM

The global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss treatments now grows substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4bz6vmI

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3F1fpgN

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

Geopolitical alignment often reshapes and reinforces asset market fragmentation in the broader context of financial deglobalization.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZpGMcD

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/geopolitical-alignment-often-reshapes-and-reinforces-asset-market-fragmentation-in-the-broader-context-of-financial-deglobalization/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/47pDk3z

The new homeland industrial policy stance tilts toward greater global resilience across the major high-tech supply chains worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3B6xY12

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-current-homeland-industrial-policy-stance-worldwide-seeks-to-embed-the-new-notion-of-global-resilience-into-economic-statecraft/

China poses new threats to the U.S. and its western allies.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XGWrD1

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/china-poses-new-economic-technological-and-military-threats-to-the-us-and-western-allies/

How can generative AI tools and LLMs help enhance human productivity?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4elAFKv

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/generative-artificial-intelligence-uses-large-language-models-and-content-generation-tools-to-enhance-human-productivity/

What are the macrofinancial ripple effects of central bank digital currency (CBDC) design, issuance, and broad user adoption?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XNMwM8

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-should-shape-cbdc-design-features-and-functions-to-reduce-any-adverse-impact-on-bank-intermediation/

Both BYD and Tesla have become serious global manufacturers of electric vehicles (EV) worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3BgL0sL

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-technological-advances-in-the-global-auto-industry/

Carol Dweck describes, discusses, and delves into the scientific reasons why the growth mindset often helps motivate individuals, teams, and managers to accomplish more with greater grit, focus, and resilience. - Blog - AYA fintech network platform provides proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools for stock market investors.

This book summary delves into Stanford psychology professor Dr Carol Dweck's key insights into the g...

https://ayafintech.network/blog/self-improvement-book-review-mindset-by-carol-dweck/\nThis

Comment

Monica McNeil

2025-06-13 07:31:20

Bullish

Quantitative fundamental analysis

Our new podcast deep-dives into President Trump’s recent criticisms of Fed Chair monetary policy independence again. We believe President Trump would not directly challenge central bank independence by seeking some alternative Supreme Court judgment by contrast to the landmark 1935 Humphrey’s Executor precedent. In the best likelihood of success, President Trump might appoint a political ally to be the new Fed Chair as a replacement for the current Fed Chair Jerome Powell in May 2026.

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The original blog article is available on our AYA fintech network platform. https://ayafintech.network/blog/president-trump-poses-new-threats-to-fed-chair-monetary-policy-independence-again/

This fun podcast is about 10 minutes long (with smart AI podcast generation from Google NotebookLM). https://bit.ly/4ebeoQH

We describe, discuss, and delve into the mainstream reasons, concerns, and considerations for President Trump to pose recent threats to the Federal Reserve System’s monetary policy independence again. The Trump administration seems to set in motion a new challenge to the landmark 1935 Humphrey’s Executor judgment from the Supreme Court. This landmark Supreme Court judgment has prevented all American presidents from removing government officers of independent agencies without any cause. In 1933, President Roosevelt fired Bill Humphrey from the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) without any cause, although the FTC Act permitted such dismissal only for inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance in office. In 1935, the Supreme Court ruled this presidential dismissal invalid, and hence distinguished FTC commissioners as quasi-legislative or quasi-judicial officers, not executive officers, that might be subject to presidential removal only with sound, fair, and just legitimate procedures in accordance with the key statutes set by Congress. In addition, the Supreme Court upheld the Independent Counsel Act of 1978 to affirm that Congress could create key independent agencies with restrictive removal protections for these officers. In America, the independent agencies include the American Federal Reserve System (FRS), Federal Trade Commission (FTC), Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, National Labor Relations Board (NLRB), as well as Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB), among others.

The Federal Reserve System retains instrument independence, but not goal independence, in the wider context of the statutory dual mandate for monetary policy. In effect, the Federal Reserve System has the freedom to apply its monetary policy tools and instruments without political interference in accordance with the narrow dual mandate of both price stability and maximum employment in America. This dual mandate combines with only several monetary policy tools, instruments, and market operations to suggest that the Federal Reserve System keeps narrow independence under sound, robust, and efficient statutory conditions.

For the Federal Reserve System as an independent government agency, this independence remains vital to produce better economic outcomes, specifically low and stable inflation and broader economic growth. In a counterfactual scenario where the American politicians could instruct the Fed Chair to steer monetary policy decisions with further interest rate cuts, such political interference would risk plunging the American economy back into severe stagflation in the 1970s. When we take into account the empirical studies from central banks worldwide, we infer that a presidentially driven shift toward a less independent Federal Reserve System would likely lead to higher inflation, higher long-end Treasury bond interest rates, lower stock market prices and returns, and a substantially weaker American dollar. These 2 latter ripple effects on asset prices and exchange rates would turn out to be more severe in the broader global context when the central bank officers were subject to presidential removal, dismissal, or relegation without any cause, such as inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance.

In American financial history, the president has never been able to remove Fed Chair without cause. If the Supreme Court overturned the landmark 1935 Humphrey’s Executor for-cause removal protection, this surprise judgment would inexorably usher in a new open season on appointees across all of the relevant independent government agencies in America. Even if the Supreme court overturned this for-cause removal protection, the Fed Chair and several other senior officers could still receive exemptions in light of the Federal Reserve System’s rare unique position among the American independent government agencies.

In the best likelihood of success, President Trump may not be able to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other monetary policy decision-makers within the Federal Reserve System; but, President Trump could simply appoint a new political ally as Fed Chair upon the end of Chair Powell’s second term in May 2026. Given the rigorous Senate confirmation process for Fed Chair and other senior officers within the Federal Reserve System, as well as the committee structure of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Fed Chair often tends to be extremely influential over monetary policy decisions, interest rate adjustments, and several other macro-financial affairs. In addition to the Fed Chair, the FOMC comprises 12 monetary policy advisors, officers, and decision-makers with the 7 members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and 4 of the other 11 Reserve Bank presidents who serve and rotate as extra committee members with annual terms on a regular basis. The FOMC makes all of the monetary policy decisions and interest rate adjustments by majority vote. Unlike the Supreme Court, the Fed Chair almost never votes in the minority. The broader FOMC would probably not hesitate to express dissent if a new Fed Chair tried to pursue monetary policy decisions, especially interest rate adjustments, not in accordance with the Federal Reserve System’s dual mandate.

In light of the extant American domestic institutional arrangements for the FOMC specifically, and the Federal Reserve System more generally, President Trump’s recent remarks, public talks, and demands for interest rate cuts are not rare, unusual, or atypical in American history. We identify numerous recent presidential attempts to publicly talk down interest rates in the past few decades. However, these presidential demands for interest rate cuts have had only minimal impact on monetary policy outcomes. For the foreseeable future, we can expect this empirical result to persist in the FOMC, Federal Reserve System, and even almost all of the independent government agencies in America. Even if there might be some serious risks to Fed Chair independence today, we believe Trump talk is not one of these risks.

In recent years, the Federal Reserve System seems to have become a bit too independent in some ways by wading into several fresh policy areas outside the statutory dual mandate. Good examples span the Federal Reserve System’s recent attempts to dip its toes into the purchases of large amounts of mortgage securities for more affordable residential properties, climate change risk management, and even economic inequality. At least some of these key policy goals fall outside the broader statutory remit for monetary policy, specifically the dual mandate of both price stability and maximum sustainable employment. For this reason, the recent mainstream monetary policy framework reviews for central banks worldwide warrant some strategic reset for the FOMC, Fed Chair, and Federal Reserve System to better realign U.S. monetary policy decisions, interest rate adjustments, and several other macro-financial policy affairs with the statutory dual mandate. At any pace, it is vital for the Federal Reserve System not to attempt to spin the jury by crossing the line into new democratic advocacy on political issues such as better climate change risk management for rare disasters, affordable residential real estate, and even economic inequality.

We further describe, discuss, and delve into the broader macro-financial asset implications of lesser Federal Reserve System independence. A less independent Fed Chair, FOMC, or Federal Reserve System could cause more frequent foreign exchange currency intervention, less liquidity and capital support for big banks and other financial institutions in rare times of severe macro-financial stress (such as the key Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009 and the recent rampant Covid pandemic crisis of 2020-2022), and a gradual decline in the greenback as the rare, unique, and dominant global reserve currency. Also, a less independent Federal Reserve System could reduce the modern appeal of both U.S. Treasury bonds and several other dollar assets for foreign investors. The vast majority of these foreign investors include central banks, sovereign wealth funds, foreign reserve managers, and numerous active and passive index funds. In the best-case scenario, Treasury bond yields would need to increase substantially to motivate these foreign investors to continue buying these safe dollar assets. In recent times, the 3 major credit rating agencies downgrade Treasury bonds from the top-notch investment grade. As a consequence, we witness significant fluctuations in American Treasury bond prices, returns, yields, and many other asset risk premiums. Less Fed Chair independence could exacerbate these volatile fluctuations in the global markets for Treasury bonds and other dollar assets. By contrast, gold would shine brighter as a better alternative stable store of value to Treasury bonds and other dollar assets if President Trump seeks to further weaken Fed Chair independence in due course.

President Trump poses new threats to Fed Chair monetary policy independence again.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4ebeoQH

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/president-trump-poses-new-threats-to-fed-chair-monetary-policy-independence-again/

What are the mainstream legal origins of President Trump’s tariff policies?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZnNMG7

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-legal-origins-of-recent-trump-tariffs/

American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4iuWuJ9

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

In the broader modern monetary policy context, central banks learn to weigh the trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/42SwrXG

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

Today, tech titans, billionaires, serial entrepreneurs, and venture capitalists continue to reshape and even disrupt global pharmaceutical investments for both better healthspan and longer lifespan.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/41KDNLp

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/today-tech-titans-reshape-global-pharmaceutical-investments-for-both-better-healthspan-and-longer-lifespan/

Artificial intelligence continues to reshape the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4hBVimM

The global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss treatments now grows substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4bz6vmI

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3F1fpgN

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

Geopolitical alignment often reshapes and reinforces asset market fragmentation in the broader context of financial deglobalization.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZpGMcD

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/geopolitical-alignment-often-reshapes-and-reinforces-asset-market-fragmentation-in-the-broader-context-of-financial-deglobalization/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/47pDk3z

The new homeland industrial policy stance tilts toward greater global resilience across the major high-tech supply chains worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3B6xY12

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-current-homeland-industrial-policy-stance-worldwide-seeks-to-embed-the-new-notion-of-global-resilience-into-economic-statecraft/

China poses new threats to the U.S. and its western allies.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XGWrD1

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/china-poses-new-economic-technological-and-military-threats-to-the-us-and-western-allies/

How can generative AI tools and LLMs help enhance human productivity?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4elAFKv

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/generative-artificial-intelligence-uses-large-language-models-and-content-generation-tools-to-enhance-human-productivity/

What are the macrofinancial ripple effects of central bank digital currency (CBDC) design, issuance, and broad user adoption?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XNMwM8

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-should-shape-cbdc-design-features-and-functions-to-reduce-any-adverse-impact-on-bank-intermediation/

Both BYD and Tesla have become serious global manufacturers of electric vehicles (EV) worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3BgL0sL

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-technological-advances-in-the-global-auto-industry/

President Trump poses new threats to Fed Chair monetary policy independence again. - Blog - AYA fintech network platform provides proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools for stock market investors.

This report delves into President Donald Trump's recent criticisms of Fed Chair Jerome Powell with s...

https://ayafintech.network/blog/president-trump-poses-new-threats-to-fed-chair-monetary-policy-independence-again/

Comment

James Campbell

2025-06-10 04:29:24

Bullish

Quantitative fundamental analysis

Our new podcast deep-dives into the mainstream legal origins of President Trump’s tariff policies as part of his second presidency. We describe, discuss, and delve into both the recent developments and mainstream legal origins of President’s tariff policies in recent times. This fundamental analysis focuses on the complex interactions among the White House, Congress, and federal and district courts in relation to President Trump’s executive orders, court precedents, checks, balances, and congressional laws, rules, and regulations for the new aggressive American trade policy stance. These legal insights, reasons, and considerations can cause profound macro-economic policy implications for stock market investors worldwide.

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$JNJ $LLY $NVO $MRNA $AZN $BMY $KKR $RGTI $QBTS $QUBT $DOCU $ORCL $CSCO $IBM $NET $V

#size #value #momentum #profitability #assetgrowth #marketrisk #revenuegrowth #returnvariance #industry

#dividendyield #residualvariance #fibonacci #murphyrank #bollinger #shortreversal #longreversal #accrual

The original blog article is available on our AYA fintech network platform. https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-legal-origins-of-recent-trump-tariffs/

This fun podcast is about 10 minutes long (with smart AI podcast generation from Google NotebookLM). https://bit.ly/3ZnNMG7

We delve into the mainstream legal origins of President Trump’s recent tariff policies as part of his second presidency. As a first step, we describe the recent developments of new Trump tariffs on China, Europe, Canada, Mexico, and other countries from April 2025 to June 2025. This chronology further provides some reasons for these new tariffs under the second Trump administration. Specifically, these reasons include economic incentives for better domestic manufacturing protectionism, as well as broader geopolitical risks, tensions, and frictions in relation to bilateral trade negotiations between America and China, Europe, Canada, Mexico, and other countries. We add rare unique value to these current themes, trends, topics, and discussions by shining fresh light on the mainstream legal origins of President Trump’s new tariff policies. In light of the broader U.S. domestic institutional arrangements for presidential executive orders, courts, and congressional laws, rules, and regulations, these legal origins, checks, balances, and provisions can cause complex, profound, and significant macro ripple effects across the American economic policy domain. In the meantime, the new aggressive trade policy stance emanates from the White House, as well as reshapes and reinforces fair trade treatments, geopolitical alliances, and even monetary policy interest rate adjustments.

In the best likelihood of success, President Trump regards hefty tariffs, comprehensive bans on strategic foreign investments in high technology, and even embargoes on China, Europe, and many other trade partners, as a strategic means to an end, but not an end in itself. For this reason, President Trump uses these trade measures to gain substantial leverage for the bilateral trade negotiations with China, Europe, Canada, Mexico, and many other countries. Although substantial economic policy uncertainty revolves around President Trump’s current tariff policy stance, we would probably expect to see sound, efficient, and reciprocal bilateral trade deals made between America and China, Europe, and most other countries in the next few quarters. In this positive light, President Trump seeks to achieve the best terms as part of his Make America Great Again (MAGA) campaign in the next bilateral trade negotiations worldwide. Tariffs emerge as the mainstream quid pro quo front and center, as the American economy suffers substantial bilateral trade deficits with its major trade partners, specifically China, Europe, Canada, and Mexico, among many other countries, in recent decades.

What are the mainstream legal origins of President Trump’s tariff policies?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZnNMG7

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-legal-origins-of-recent-trump-tariffs/

American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4iuWuJ9

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

In the broader modern monetary policy context, central banks learn to weigh the trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/42SwrXG

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

Today, tech titans, billionaires, serial entrepreneurs, and venture capitalists continue to reshape and even disrupt global pharmaceutical investments for both better healthspan and longer lifespan.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/41KDNLp

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/today-tech-titans-reshape-global-pharmaceutical-investments-for-both-better-healthspan-and-longer-lifespan/

Artificial intelligence continues to reshape the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4hBVimM

The global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss treatments now grows substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4bz6vmI

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3F1fpgN

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

Geopolitical alignment often reshapes and reinforces asset market fragmentation in the broader context of financial deglobalization.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZpGMcD

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/geopolitical-alignment-often-reshapes-and-reinforces-asset-market-fragmentation-in-the-broader-context-of-financial-deglobalization/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/47pDk3z

The new homeland industrial policy stance tilts toward greater global resilience across the major high-tech supply chains worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3B6xY12

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-current-homeland-industrial-policy-stance-worldwide-seeks-to-embed-the-new-notion-of-global-resilience-into-economic-statecraft/

China poses new threats to the U.S. and its western allies.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XGWrD1

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/china-poses-new-economic-technological-and-military-threats-to-the-us-and-western-allies/

How can generative AI tools and LLMs help enhance human productivity?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4elAFKv

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/generative-artificial-intelligence-uses-large-language-models-and-content-generation-tools-to-enhance-human-productivity/

What are the macrofinancial ripple effects of central bank digital currency (CBDC) design, issuance, and broad user adoption?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XNMwM8

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-should-shape-cbdc-design-features-and-functions-to-reduce-any-adverse-impact-on-bank-intermediation/

Both BYD and Tesla have become serious global manufacturers of electric vehicles (EV) worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3BgL0sL

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-technological-advances-in-the-global-auto-industry/

What are the mainstream legal origins of President Trump's new tariff policies? - Blog - AYA fintech network platform provides proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools for stock market investors.

This report delves into the recent developments and mainstream legal origins of President Trump's re...

https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-legal-origins-of-recent-trump-tariffs/

Comment

Monica McNeil

2025-06-07 01:57:53

Bullish

Quantitative fundamental analysis

Our new podcast deep-dives into how American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability. In recent times, the relatively high stock market valuations of the Magnificent 7 tech titans now embed greater growth expectations in relation to the broader AI-driven stock market rally. From Apple, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft to Google, Nvidia, and Tesla, these tech titans now rely on the steady flows of high-end semiconductor microchips, graphics processing units (GPU), high-speed broad-band cloud services, telecoms, quantum computers, and several other technological advances. These tech titans continue to make iterative continuous improvements for their Generative AI large language models (Gen AI LLM). Today, the top-tier mainstream Gen AI LLM bellwethers span: Microsoft-OpenAI ChatGPT, Google Gemini, Anthropic Claude, Alibaba Qwen, DeepSeek, Meta Llama, Twitter xAI Grok, Amazon Nova, Mistral, and Perplexity.

$META $MSFT $GOOG $GOOGL $AMZN $AAPL $NVDA $TSLA $AMD $ARM $AVGO $QCOM $TSM $ZIM

$IONQ $BABA $BIDU $TME $JD $PDD $BILI $IQ $NFLX $DIS $SNOW $NET $WRB $PARA $V $MA $AXP

$ORCL $CSCO $IBM $CRWD $WMT $TGT $PG $HD $COST $T $TMUS $VZ $PYPL $PLTR $NIO $KKR

#size #value #momentum #profitability #assetgrowth #marketrisk #dividendyield #revenuegrowth #industry

#returnvariance #residualvariance #sma #ema #macd #rsi #shortrange #longrange #bollinger #murphyrank

The original blog article is available on our AYA fintech network platform. https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

This fun podcast is about 10 minutes long (with smart AI podcast generation from Google NotebookLM). https://bit.ly/4iuWuJ9

We delve into the mainstream root causes of higher productivity growth in America despite several recent extraordinary events. These rare events include the dotcom stock market crash of 2001-2002, Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009, Covid-19 pandemic crisis of 2020-2022, and the subsequent surge in inflation and domestic unemployment. In this wider macro context, we explain and discuss why American productivity growth has been so impressive in comparison to the rest of the world. We can draw some vital lessons from American productivity growth in global trade, finance, and technology.

With impressively higher productivity growth, America continues to lead the rest of the world. America’s recent rise as the world’s biggest shale oil producer continues to fuel its own economic growth in the next couple of decades. America’s deep and liquid capital markets for stocks, bonds, ETFs, and so on continue to deliver higher returns, cash dividends, and share repurchases for global investors. The American dollar continues to serve as the dominant global reserve currency for trade, finance, and technology. Only toxic politics can derail American economic growth, low and stable inflation, maximum sustainable employment, and macro-financial stability.

Since the early-1990s, America has grown substantially faster than most other rich countries. Also, the American economy has rebounded more significantly from its recent recessions along the way. In practice, U.S. economic growth has been best-in-class, and American strengths give grounds for greater optimism about the next likely economic power, productivity growth, macro-financial stability, and maximum sustainable employment. However, the U.S. fraction of global GDP has decreased incrementally from 21% in 1990 to 16% today in real purchasing-power parity (PPP) terms. Even the economic growth spurts of the world’s 2 most populous countries, China and India, lag behind American exceptionalism. China’s real GDP per capita remains less than one third of U.S. real GDP per capita. India’s real GDP per capita is still smaller today. In recent years, higher American productivity growth has been impressive by both historical standards and in comparison to the rest of the world. American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for wider economic growth, full employment, low and stable inflation, real productivity growth, technological advancement, and macro-financial stability.

On a per-person basis, American economic output is now more than 40% higher than economic output in Western Europe and Canada, and about 60% higher than economic output in Japan. Today, these economic output gaps are approximately twice as large as they were back in 1990. Average wages in the poorest American state, Mississippi, remain higher than average wages in Australia, Britain, Canada, France, and Germany. A recent IMF survey shows that America is the only country whose economic output and employment are above pre-pandemic expectations in the G20 club. This impressive productivity growth combines with the global reserve currency status of the U.S. dollar to entrench global economic heft for America and wealth creation for Americans.

We explain and discuss why American productivity growth has been so impressive for so long. Also, we explain and discuss why this growth is likely to continue in the next couple of decades. Some of the fundamental forces relate to the good fortune due to geography. As a quasi-continental economy with a big and broad consumer market, American companies benefit substantially from this sheer economic scale. A good product idea that some Silicon Valley tech startup hatches in California can often spread to the other 49 states in short order. Also, America integrates its labor market into the global economic ecosystem. This integration allows Americans to move to better jobs with higher wages. At the same time, this integration empowers Americans to gravitate toward more productive strategic sectors of high technology. These strategic sectors include semiconductor microchip production, higher-speed broadband cloud services, telecoms, electric vehicles (EV), autonomous robotaxis (AR), generative artificial intelligence (Gen AI) large language models (LLM), and biopharmaceutical medications, treatments, and therapies. In light of green energy transformation, the American-led improvements in techniques for extracting hydro-carbons from shale rocks have turned America into the world’s largest producer of oil and natural gas over the past couple of decades.

With its deep, broad, and liquid financial markets, America has made it both easier and faster for startups to raise new equity. In stark contrast to the alternative debt capital instruments such as bank loans and corporate bonds, this key equity capital availability serves as a better way for numerous American companies to get off the ground. In practice, this novel and non-obvious profusion of young companies has helped build out the broader vital, vibrant, and dynamic startup ecosystem for high technology in America. In addition, the dominant global reserve currency status of the American dollar helps further make global trade, finance, and technology more frictionless for American business. From Harvard, Yale, MIT, NYU, Columbia, and Chicago to Stanford and UC Berkeley, America has many of the world’s best think tanks, universities, and research institutes. These academic institutions attract the world’s best students, doctors, scientists, engineers, statisticians, economists, and other fresh talents worldwide.

In America, business rules and regulations are relatively lax, lenient, tolerant, and inclusive. This broader deregulatory business context has given high-tech startups ample room to grow their core business operations in the midst of significantly less economic policy uncertainty. In the recent couple of decades, the U.S. government has made bold, robust, and resolute interventions in response to some rare crises, disasters, and other extraordinary events. These rare crises span the dotcom stock market crash, Global Financial Crisis, Eurozone sovereign debt debacle, Covid-19 pandemic crisis, and subsequent inflationary outbreak worldwide. At any rate, it is impossible for us to explain America’s smarter, faster, and better economic growth engine without acknowledging the U.S. government’s open and inclusive attitude toward stepping on the financial accelerator pedal when the real economy sputters. The resultant positive government interventions often arise in the common form of better fiscal-monetary policy coordination. In modern economic history, there is an element of relentless dynamism in American business. This unique characteristic of the American economy continues to be the ultimate fundamental force in support of higher-quality economic growth over the next couple of decades.

American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4iuWuJ9

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

In the broader modern monetary policy context, central banks learn to weigh the trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/42SwrXG

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

Today, tech titans, billionaires, serial entrepreneurs, and venture capitalists continue to reshape and even disrupt global pharmaceutical investments for both better healthspan and longer lifespan.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/41KDNLp

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/today-tech-titans-reshape-global-pharmaceutical-investments-for-both-better-healthspan-and-longer-lifespan/

Artificial intelligence continues to reshape the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4hBVimM

The global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss treatments now grows substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4bz6vmI

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3F1fpgN

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

Geopolitical alignment often reshapes and reinforces asset market fragmentation in the broader context of financial deglobalization.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZpGMcD

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/geopolitical-alignment-often-reshapes-and-reinforces-asset-market-fragmentation-in-the-broader-context-of-financial-deglobalization/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/47pDk3z

The new homeland industrial policy stance tilts toward greater global resilience across the major high-tech supply chains worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3B6xY12

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-current-homeland-industrial-policy-stance-worldwide-seeks-to-embed-the-new-notion-of-global-resilience-into-economic-statecraft/

China poses new threats to the U.S. and its western allies.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XGWrD1

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/china-poses-new-economic-technological-and-military-threats-to-the-us-and-western-allies/

How can generative AI tools and LLMs help enhance human productivity?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4elAFKv

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/generative-artificial-intelligence-uses-large-language-models-and-content-generation-tools-to-enhance-human-productivity/

What are the macrofinancial ripple effects of central bank digital currency (CBDC) design, issuance, and broad user adoption?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XNMwM8

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-should-shape-cbdc-design-features-and-functions-to-reduce-any-adverse-impact-on-bank-intermediation/

Both BYD and Tesla have become serious global manufacturers of electric vehicles (EV) worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3BgL0sL

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-technological-advances-in-the-global-auto-industry/

American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability. - Blog - AYA fintech network platform provides proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools for stock market investors.

This report delves into American exceptionalism and economic growth outperformance both by historica...

https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

Comment

Chanel Holden

2025-06-04 03:32:07

Bullish

Quantitative fundamental analysis

Our new podcast deep-dives into how several central banks learn to weigh the trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions in the broader modern monetary policy context. In recent years, the mainstream monetary policy framework reviews worldwide provide new economic insights into the dual mandate for the American Federal Reserve System, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Canada, Bank of Japan, and so forth. Despite the recent tariffs, trade negotiations, and geopolitical tensions, these new economic insights further shine fresh light on monetary policy incentives, carrots, and sticks for better fiscal-monetary policy coordination worldwide.

$META $AAPL $MSFT $GOOG $GOOGL $AMZN $NVDA $TSLA $TSM $AMD $ARM $ORCL $CSCO $IBM

$NIO $RIVN $XPEV $KKR $BABA $BIDU $TME $JD $PDD $BILI $IQ $NFLX $DIS $WRB $PARA $IONQ

$QBTS $QCOM $AVGO $PFE $JNJ $BMY $NVO $LLY $WMT $TGT $PG $HD $CVS $COST $T $TMUS $VZ

#size #value #momentum #profitability #assetgrowth #marketrisk #revenuegrowth #dividendyield #industry

#returnvariance #residualvariance #shortreversal #longreversal #fibonacci #murphyrank #bollinger #accrual

The original blog article is available on our AYA fintech network platform. https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

This fun podcast is about 10 minutes long (with smart AI podcast generation from Google NotebookLM). https://bit.ly/42SwrXG

We delve into the mainstream rules, lessons, and fresh challenges from the recent monetary policy framework reviews worldwide. Several central banks that conduct their own monetary policy framework reviews in recent years include the American Federal Reserve System, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Bank of Japan, and so on. The Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009, the Covid-19 pandemic crisis of 2020-2022, inflation, output growth, and macro-financial stability continue to be the central elements of the recent monetary policy framework reviews. The long prevalent, pervasive, and mainstream monetary policy frameworks often span clear and simple policy targets for inflation, nominal GDP, the price level, and credit control in some asset markets such as the global financial markets for stocks and bonds as well as the residential real estate market. In addition to these mainstream macro policy goals, climate risk management, residential property affordability, productivity growth, macrofinancial stability, and technological advancement now arise as novel elements of the macro mandate for some central banks.

Since 2000, several extraordinary events have severely tested the modern conduct of monetary policy worldwide. The U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009 and subsequent European sovereign debt debacle shattered the deceptive tranquility of the Great Moderation, the decades-long phase of lower output and inflation volatility in many rich economies through the 1980s and 1990s. In the subsequent decade, central banks struggled to push inflation back to the 2% target, or the broader target range of 1% to 3%. Like a bolt from the blue, the Covid-19 pandemic crisis caused widespread financial system stress. As a result, several economies plunged into a severe macro recession. From the Russia-Ukraine war in Eastern Europe to the conflicts between Israel and Iran, Lebanon, Hamas, and the Palestinians in the Middle East, these rare geopolitical events led to the largest, most pervasive, and most persistent inflationary outbreak in half a century. On both sides of the Atlantic Ocean, several banks experienced credit constraints, strains, and failures due to short-term severe shortages of liquid assets.

Many central banks have risen to this challenge. Their forceful responses to macro financial stress helped stabilized the global financial system with new quantitative-easing (QE) large-scale asset purchases, negative interest rates, macro-prudential stress tests, less lenient and more rigorous Basel liquidity and capital requirements, and additional leverage limits and deposit insurance rules for banks, insurers, and other non-bank financial institutions. In due course, these macro-financial policies helped constrain collateral damage to the global real economy. In response to the recent interest rate hikes, inflation continued to return to the broader target range of 1% to 3%, or the baseline 2% target, in rich countries and global capital markets. In these recent years, global supply chains and labor markets turned out to be both robust and resilient as the real economy navigated through rare geopolitical events, wars, conflicts, bank failures, and rampant Covid infections.

These recent extraordinary events have left a deep imprint on the modern conduct of monetary policy worldwide. Even before the Covid pandemic crisis of 2020-2022, nominal monetary policy interest rates had reached historical troughs near the zero lower bound. In some parts of the world, especially Europe and Japan, the interest rates hovered in the negative territory. In some rich countries, central bank balance sheets have expanded to historical peaks. In recent years, public debt remains on a worrisome trajectory worldwide. Many governments continue to feel fiscal strains on different aspects of their respective budgets. In light of non-market forces such as climate change, policy uncertainty, deglobalization, longer longevity, and green energy transformation, several structural forces continue to further complicate the modern conduct of monetary policy worldwide.

We broadly classify the modern conduct of monetary policy worldwide into 2 major phases: (1) the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009 and its aftermath, and (2) the global pandemic outbreak of Covid-19 and its subsequent market consequences. These rare disasters dramatically reshaped monetary policy responses around the world. In effect, the Global Financial Crisis marked the end of the Great Moderation, the decades-long period of remarkable macroeconomic stability with lower inflation and relatively high and stable output growth in many parts and regions of the world. Under the calm surface of low inflation and steady output growth, however, macro-financial market vulnerabilities continued to build up in core residential real estate and mortgage credit markets. At the same time, private credit expansion continued through the major asset price booms. Low interest rates reinforced this pervasive private credit expansion, as many central banks chose to ease the monetary policy stance in response to the American dotcom stock market crash and the September 11 terrorist attack in 2001. After the unsustainable credit expansion and asset price boom worldwide, the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009 plunged many markets into the deepest recession since the Great Depression of the 1930s. Specifically, the American investment bank, Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy in September 2008. Some other banks, AIG and Bear Stearns, experienced financial difficulties too. Many financial institutions teetered on the verge of insolvency, vast segments of money markets froze, and global asset prices plummeted as a result.

Key central banks responded forcefully to the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009. Many central banks reduced monetary policy interest rates aggressively to the zero lower bound. Also, these central banks expanded their balance sheets significantly through large-scale asset purchases to provide liquidity support to banks, insurers, and other non-bank financial institutions worldwide. In the early phase of the Global Financial Crisis, these central banks played their respective roles of lenders of last resort. In this capacity, these central banks drew on government solvency support. As a result, the initial expansion of central bank balance sheets took the main form of government loans to financial institutions. Some central banks further continued their QE large-scale asset purchases to ease macro-financial stress conditions. As a consequence, their balance sheets expanded further with long-term government bonds and mortgage securities. In effect, these near-term QE efforts leveraged the extant bank reserves, capital requirements, and liquidity buffers.

In the next few years from 2010 to 2018, we saw a shallow economic recovery and persistent inflation shortfalls from the respective target ranges worldwide. Several central banks faced fresh concerns about deflation. These central banks engaged in forceful coordination to ease monetary conditions in the major rich countries. In effect, these central banks chose to build on the same QE monetary policy toolkit that they had deployed to contain the Global Financial Crisis. These central banks sought to ease financial stress conditions well beyond the short-term interest rates. Specifically, central banks substantially reduced their respective policy rates to the zero lower bound. In the special cases of European Union and Japan, their central banks further reduced their respective policy rates into negative territory. Several central banks resorted to forward guidance to signal the medium-term commitment to keeping lower interest rates for longer. With widespread fiscal-monetary policy coordination, central banks further expanded their QE large-scale asset purchases. In turn, these QE asset purchases sometimes included private-sector assets such as corporate bonds and stock market ETFs.

In the subsequent years from late-2019 to mid-2023, the Covid-19 pandemic crisis abruptly ended an incipient monetary policy normalization worldwide. As the global economy hit hibernation to forestall a public health catastrophe, a deep economic contraction put global macro-financial stability at risk again. In response to the new corona virus crisis, central banks reduced short-term interest rates substantially to the zero lower bound and then launched new balance sheet measures. This time was no different. Central banks combined emergency liquidity injections with bank-specific subsidies in the form of QE bond purchases. In light of these QE measures, central bank balance sheets surged to new historical highs.

Central banks substantially expanded their respective balance sheets through QE large-scale asset purchases in the 15-year episode from 2008 to 2023. Specifically, the American Federal Reserve System substantially boosted the size of its balance sheet to more than $8 trillion. Also, the European Central Bank raised its QE asset purchases to more than $6 trillion. In addition, the Bank of Japan increased its own balance sheet to more than $4 trillion over the same time frame, while the Bank of England expanded its own balance sheet to almost $1 trillion. As rare geopolitical events and other rare disasters happen more often, we believe central banks tend to include QE large-scale asset purchases as part of their respective conventional monetary policy toolkits in the next few decades.

As the global economy gradually recovered from the Covid pandemic crisis, central banks faced new inflationary pressures worldwide. Inflation was almost always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon. In many countries, inflation rose to double-digits. Global supply chains had failed to respond elastically to new fiscal-monetary coordination worldwide in response to the Covid pandemic crisis. Although the real economy eventually recovered from the public health crisis, this recovery led to the rotation of macro demand from services to goods. As a result, this rotation caused steep commodity price hikes in the subsequent Russian invasion of Ukraine. The Russia-Ukraine war further fueled the inflationary price hikes, especially for oil and natural gas resources in Eastern Europe.

In response to new inflationary price pressures, many central banks raised short-term interest rates in both real and nominal terms. After these serious interest rate hikes, several central banks began to dramatically shrink their respective balance sheets via quantitative tightening (QT) large-scale asset sales. Through such near-term macro episodes, these central banks had to cope with fast and furious swings in capital flows and exchange rates from the recent economic developments in the Russia-Ukraine war in Eastern Europe and the relentless conflicts between Israel and Iran, Lebanon, Hamas, and the Palestinians in the Middle East. In recent years, inflation gradually declined toward the 2% target or the broader target range of 1% to 3%. In the vast majority of small open economies, central banks weathered fresh inflationary challenges by relying on broad monetary policy frameworks, rules, and principles. The extant monetary policy frameworks, rules, and principles combined some simple single inflation targets, or broader inflation target ranges, with flexible foreign exchange intervention, macro-financial market stabilization for climate risk management, and active macro-prudential credit control for better residential real estate affordability worldwide.

American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4iuWuJ9

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

In the broader modern monetary policy context, central banks learn to weigh the trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/42SwrXG

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

Today, tech titans, billionaires, serial entrepreneurs, and venture capitalists continue to reshape and even disrupt global pharmaceutical investments for both better healthspan and longer lifespan.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/41KDNLp

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/today-tech-titans-reshape-global-pharmaceutical-investments-for-both-better-healthspan-and-longer-lifespan/

Artificial intelligence continues to reshape the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4hBVimM

The global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss treatments now grows substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4bz6vmI

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3F1fpgN

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

Geopolitical alignment often reshapes and reinforces asset market fragmentation in the broader context of financial deglobalization.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZpGMcD

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/geopolitical-alignment-often-reshapes-and-reinforces-asset-market-fragmentation-in-the-broader-context-of-financial-deglobalization/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/47pDk3z

The new homeland industrial policy stance tilts toward greater global resilience across the major high-tech supply chains worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3B6xY12

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-current-homeland-industrial-policy-stance-worldwide-seeks-to-embed-the-new-notion-of-global-resilience-into-economic-statecraft/

China poses new threats to the U.S. and its western allies.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XGWrD1

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/china-poses-new-economic-technological-and-military-threats-to-the-us-and-western-allies/

How can generative AI tools and LLMs help enhance human productivity?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4elAFKv

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/generative-artificial-intelligence-uses-large-language-models-and-content-generation-tools-to-enhance-human-productivity/

What are the macrofinancial ripple effects of central bank digital currency (CBDC) design, issuance, and broad user adoption?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XNMwM8

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-should-shape-cbdc-design-features-and-functions-to-reduce-any-adverse-impact-on-bank-intermediation/

Both BYD and Tesla have become serious global manufacturers of electric vehicles (EV) worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3BgL0sL

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-technological-advances-in-the-global-auto-industry/

Central banks learn to weigh the monetary policy trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions. - Blog - AYA fintech network platform provides proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools for stock market investors.

This report delves into the key lessons from recent monetary policy framework reviews worldwide, esp...

https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

Comment

Becky Berkman

2025-05-30 08:56:52

Bullish

Quantitative fundamental analysis

Our new podcast deep-dives into whether increasingly higher stock market concentration is good or bad for Corporate America, institutional investors, and retail stock market investors worldwide. We pay particular attention the key economic policy implications of American exceptionalism.

$META $AAPL $MSFT $GOOG $GOOGL $AMZN $NVDA $TSLA $AMD $ARM $ORCL $CSCO $IBM $TSM

$BABA $BIDU $TME $NIO $RIVN $XPEV $JD $PDD $KKR $IQ $BILI $NFLX $DIS $WRB $PARA $IONQ

$WMT $TGT $COST $CVX $HD $PD $HPE $SNOW $CRWD $NET $AEO $AMC $BRK.A $BRK.B $AXP

#size #value #momentum #profitability #assetgrowth #marketrisk #revenuegrowth #returnvariance #industry

#dividendyield #residualvariance #shortreversal #longreversal #fibonacci #murphyrank #bollinger #sma #ema

The original blog article is available on our AYA fintech network platform. https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

This fun podcast is about 10 minutes long (with smart AI podcast generation from Google NotebookLM). https://bit.ly/3F1fpgN

In recent years, S&P 500 stock market returns exhibit spectacular concentration in the top tech titans Meta ($META), Apple ($AAPL), Microsoft ($MSFT), Google ($GOOG), Amazon ($AMZN), Nvidia ($NVDA), and Tesla ($TSLA), also known as MAMGANT or Magnificent 7. In the past years from January 2022 to December 2024, the Magnificent 7 delivered a hefty stock market return of 41% (versus only 17% for the other 493 stocks in the S&P 500 index). As of early-March 2025, the S&P 500 index shows substantial stock market concentration. Specifically, the top 10 stocks account for more than 35% of S&P 500 market capitalization. Historically, the top 10 stocks represented more than 20% of S&P 500 market capitalization over the past few decades. Further, the market capitalization of the largest stock relative to the top quartile stock now shows the highest level of stock market concentration since 1932. Although there has been no clear relationship between stock market concentration and near-term return performance, some economists and institutional investors express their concern about increasingly higher stock market concentration in NYSE and Nasdaq. Solid sales and profits in Corporate America can help substantially boost the S&P 500 index, perhaps from 6,000 points to 6,500 points, in the next few years. In this positive light, we can expect S&P 500 stocks, specifically the Magnificent 7 tech titans, to out-perform with a hefty 9% average return per annum in the next few years. Our fundamental analysis combines our proprietary alpha stock signals with ESG scores to lend credence to some of the tech titans in S&P 500 and more broadly Corporate America, especially the top tech titans with significant AI-driven technological advancements.

Stock market investors need not worry about higher market concentration in the longer term. American history shows that high stock market concentration usually leads to lower average returns ceteris paribus over longer investment horizons. When we add market concentration as a distinct variable to the long-run stock market return model, the model forecasts average S&P 500 annual returns of 3%-5% in each decade. Although this subpar return performance falls short of the historical average return of 11% for S&P 500, this drag on long-run returns arises from the greater volatility of tech titan stock returns. In recent times, the current higher stock market valuations of the Magnificent 7 tech titans now appear to embed greater growth expectations in relation to the recent AI-led stock market rally. From Apple ($AAPL), Amazon ($AMZN), and Microsoft ($MSFT) to Meta ($META) and Google ($GOOG), these tech titans rely upon the steady flows of high-end semiconductor microchips, graphical processing units (GPU), and several other quantum advances to make iterative continuous improvements for their Generative AI large language models (Gen AI LLM). As of mid-March 2025, we believe the current Gen AI LLM bellwethers include: Google Gemini, Meta Llama, Microsoft-OpenAI ChatGPT, Anthropic Claude, Perplexity, Alibaba Qwen, DeepSeek, Amazon Nova, Mistral, and Twitter xAI Grok.

After all, stock market concentration per se should not be a major concern for U.S. investors. This concentration often turns out to be a mainstream mechanical result of winner-takes-all sales and profits in AI-driven markets such as Internet search, text, voice, vision, video, and some smart combinations of these common forms of content generation. Specifically, stock market concentration need not heighten the 2 key types of stock market risks: fundamental risks and disequilibrium risks. The former relate to unlikely structural declines in fundamental sales and profits for S&P 500 tech titans, and the latter relate to short-term deviations from fair market values. Although some of the S&P 500 tech stocks seem to reach a new steady state of stock market over-valuation, we believe the vast majority of S&P 500 tech titans can benefit substantially from the broader AI stock market rally to explore new niche markets for both institutional investors and retail investors. In a positive light, stock market concentration need not be a major concern for U.S. investors in a fundamental view. However, we believe U.S. investors should refrain from placing big bets on the recent extreme winners, because their substantially higher market valuations may or may not justify their fundamental forces in the broader context of medium-term competitive threats. At least some of the recent AI-driven winners cannot sustain their greater growth expectations and longer-term competitive advantages. It takes time for U.S. investors to better assess whether each of these AI-driven winners passes the baseline proof of concept for the optimal product-market fit.

Over the past 60 years, no more than 3% of S&P 500 companies were able to sustain 20%+ sales growth for 10 consecutive years. We can back up this empirical result with Jim Collins’s seminal research on what makes great companies tick in his strategic management books: Built to Last, Good to Great, Great by Choice, and Beyond Entrepreneurship 2.0. Therefore, it is hard for the recent AI-driven tech winners to sustain their stock market outperformance in the long run. For at least some of these recent growth stocks, the probable mean reversion of returns can result in future under-performance, especially when their future fundamental sales and profits dwindle, dry up, and then fail to allow these recent winners to dominate in the respective AI-driven markets and adjacent niche segments.

The U.S. regulators should step in when the AI-driven tech titans use their market power to stave off both their rivals and competitors with higher product prices. To the extent that stock market concentration may stifle subsequent disruptive innovations, the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC), Federal Trade Commission (FTC), and Department of Justice (DoJ) etc should introduce new antitrust rules and regulations to make American tech titans face fierce competitive pressure with no clear dominance in any particular AI-driven market. The classic examples include: Apple App Store and Google Play in the mobile software market; Amazon e-commerce in the retail market for consumer goods; Nvidia GPUs, microchips, and several other hardware advances in the semiconductor industry; and Tesla in the global market for electric vehicles (EV) and autonomous robotaxis (AR).

This current high stock market concentration serves as one of the mainstream reasons for U.S. investors to further diversify exposures across asset classes, regions, and strategies. The historically optimal portfolio mix of 60% stocks and 40% bonds remains empirically valid, relevant, profitable, and reasonable in a fundamental view. In light of the still-solid sales and profits in the AI-driven sections of Corporate America, we believe the optimal portfolio combo of 60% stocks and 40% bonds continues to serve as the mainstream economic engine for the global asset management industry, specifically BlackRock, State Street, and Vanguard. U.S. investors need to revisit their optimal choices of AI-driven stocks with new fundamental competitive moats, substantial safety margins, positive network effects, cost economies, and information cascades.

American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4iuWuJ9

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

In the broader modern monetary policy context, central banks learn to weigh the trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/42SwrXG

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

Today, tech titans, billionaires, serial entrepreneurs, and venture capitalists continue to reshape and even disrupt global pharmaceutical investments for both better healthspan and longer lifespan.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/41KDNLp

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/today-tech-titans-reshape-global-pharmaceutical-investments-for-both-better-healthspan-and-longer-lifespan/

Artificial intelligence continues to reshape the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4hBVimM

The global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss treatments now grows substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4bz6vmI

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3F1fpgN

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

Geopolitical alignment often reshapes and reinforces asset market fragmentation in the broader context of financial deglobalization.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZpGMcD

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/geopolitical-alignment-often-reshapes-and-reinforces-asset-market-fragmentation-in-the-broader-context-of-financial-deglobalization/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/47pDk3z

The new homeland industrial policy stance tilts toward greater global resilience across the major high-tech supply chains worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3B6xY12

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-current-homeland-industrial-policy-stance-worldwide-seeks-to-embed-the-new-notion-of-global-resilience-into-economic-statecraft/

China poses new threats to the U.S. and its western allies.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XGWrD1

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/china-poses-new-economic-technological-and-military-threats-to-the-us-and-western-allies/

How can generative AI tools and LLMs help enhance human productivity?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4elAFKv

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/generative-artificial-intelligence-uses-large-language-models-and-content-generation-tools-to-enhance-human-productivity/

What are the macrofinancial ripple effects of central bank digital currency (CBDC) design, issuance, and broad user adoption?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XNMwM8

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-should-shape-cbdc-design-features-and-functions-to-reduce-any-adverse-impact-on-bank-intermediation/

Both BYD and Tesla have become serious global manufacturers of electric vehicles (EV) worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3BgL0sL

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-technological-advances-in-the-global-auto-industry/

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America? - Blog - AYA fintech network platform provides proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools for stock market investors.

This article delves into the pros and cons of increasingly higher stock market concentration in Amer...

https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

Comment

Olivia London

2025-05-17 02:50:53

Bullish

Quantitative fundamental analysis

Our new podcast deep-dives into how the global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss treatments now grows substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030.

$MRK $BMY $LLY $NVO $JNJ $AMGN $BNT $MRNA $PFE $AZN $GSK $C $BAC $JPM $WFC $GS $MS

$PNC $COST $WMT $TGT $HD $PG $CVX $AMZN $META $MSFT $AAPL $GOOG $GOOGL $BRK.B $T

$BRK.A $TMUS $VZ $DIS $NFLX $WRB $BABA $TME $BIDU $BILI $JD $PDD $KKR $IQ $IONQ $ZIM

#size #value #momentum #profitability #assetgrowth #marketrisk #dividendyield #revenuegrowth #industry

#accrual #issuance #returnvariance #residualvariance #bollinger #fibonacci #murphyrank #sma #ema #macd

The original blog article is available on our AYA fintech network platform. https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

This fun podcast is about 10 minutes long (with smart AI podcast generation from Google NotebookLM). https://bit.ly/4bz6vmI

The new third-generation GLP-1 medications for obesity treatment and weight loss treatment, Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy and Eli Lilly’s Zepbound, now begin to become more prevalent and more pervasive worldwide. These medications show far higher weight loss efficacy than prior first-generation and second-generation medications. The latest GLP-1 medications further show long prevalent safety track records for the treatments of diabetes, heart diseases, and several kinds of cancers. However, the current U.S. prices for these new GLP-1 medications are extremely high (about $15,000 per patient per year). In the meantime, not all people with obesity can take these new GLP-1 medications because they are now prohibitively costly and U.S. insurance coverage remains partial and incomplete. Despite these current hurdles, obstacles, and impediments for broader GLP-1 drug adoption, we now expect the global market for GLP-1 obesity and weight loss medications to grow substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people with obesity worldwide by 2030.

GLP-1 medications are the first in a long history of weight loss medications to target the critical brain pathways that regulate both food intake and energy storage. As a result, GLP-1 patients feel less hungry and so crave food much less. As the third-generation medications for obesity treatment, these new GLP-1 medications often lead to 23%-25% average weight losses among GLP-1 patients (versus the single-digit average weight losses of prior medications).

While GLP-1 medications show tremendous promise in weight loss treatment, the global market for these new medications remains only a fraction of all of the people with obesity worldwide. Some patients are not medically able to take these GLP-1 medications, especially since each of these medications requires an injection by a needle. Also, these latest GLP-1 medications are shown to be effective only when patients continue to take these medications almost on a daily basis. A current lack of comprehensive insurance coverage by Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurers remains a major obstacle to wider GLP-1 drug adoption and usage in America and other countries. The current healthcare insurance programs only cover GLP-1s for the wider treatments of obesity-driven diseases such as diabetes, heart diseases, and some types of cancers, but there is now no insurance coverage solely for the treatment of obesity alone.

In addition to supply chain shortages and bottlenecks for GLP-1 mass production, the current hurdles, obstacles, and impediments impose hard high-cost limits and constraints on the size of the global market for GLP-1 medications in the near-to-medium term. Some recent estimates show that the U.S. GLP-1 patient population is likely to grow substantially from 2 million people with obesity today to at least 15 million people with obesity in 2030 (about 15% of the U.S. adults with obesity). On the basis of these recent estimates, we can now expect the global market for GLP-1 medications to increase substantially from $10 billion today to almost $100 billion by 2030.

Over the next few years, we expect U.S. employer insurance coverage for GLP-1 medications to increase substantially from approximately 50% of U.S. employers today due to greater U.S. employee healthcare needs and the significantly positive health benefits of GLP-1 medications. As several pharmaceutical titans direct their R&D efforts into some further developments of GLP-1 medications, it is reasonable for investors to expect more intense competition to result in lower prices for GLP-1 medications. Further, the new GLP-1 treatments of other obesity-driven diseases, specifically heart diseases, diabetes, and some types of cancers etc, can go a long way in empowering Medicare, Medicaid, and numerous private insurers to broaden their health insurance coverage of GLP-1 medications. In the meantime, however, U.S. Congress prohibits Medicare and Medicaid from covering GLP-1 medications today because of their budget-busting sky-high prices.

We can expect U.S. health insurance coverage to broaden substantially if the new GLP-1 medications show promise in treating serious health conditions well beyond obesity. Additional health conditions can include heart diseases, diabetes, as well as some kinds of cancers. The FDA’s recent approval of Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy, semaglutide, for the treatment of heart diseases has led to Medicare coverage of Wegovy for this new indication. Current studies for the treatments of sleep apnea, liver impairment, and other diseases can result in similarly favorable outcomes of broader Medicare coverage of GLP-1 medications. Some recent positive estimates show that the wider GLP-1 treatments of diseases can probably benefit 70 million obese U.S. patients by 2030. These positive ripple effects and chain reactions can cause greater economic benefits beyond the biotech and pharmaceutical sectors. As a result of GLP-1 medications with higher weight-loss efficacy, U.S. adults with prior obesity would have substantially greater and broader needs and demands for day-to-day food items, beverages, many other consumer staples, beauty products, and even air travel round-trips.

With the concomitant positive health improvements, the next widespread adoption of GLP-1 medications can cause better economic growth, employment, and labor productivity in America. U.S. GDP can probably rise by 0.5 to 2 percentage points in the long run if at least 30 million U.S. adults with obesity take these medications. Specifically, U.S. GDP can increase more substantially by 1.35 to 2.55 percentage points if all 70 million U.S. adults with obesity take such medications. However, the American government would face fiscal strain if both Medicare and Medicaid start to provide complete health insurance coverage to 40% of U.S. adults with obesity. This fiscal strain would likely amount to $1 trillion per year if all 40% of U.S. adults with obesity take GLP-1 medications at the current high prices ($15,000 per patient per year). This dollar amount is about the current size of Medicare and about 20% of how much Americans spend on healthcare each year. Although there are clear health benefits for U.S. adults with obesity to take GLP-1 medications, broad health insurance coverage would be enormously expensive for the U.S. government. We believe the next wave of GLP-1 technological advancements can help alleviate this fiscal concern for smarter and better healthcare solutions to weight loss treatments in due course.

Below we provide hyperlinks to many other recent podcasts and articles on global macro-finance, asset return prediction, and fundamental industry analysis for stock market investors.

American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4iuWuJ9

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

In the broader modern monetary policy context, central banks learn to weigh the trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/42SwrXG

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

Today, tech titans, billionaires, serial entrepreneurs, and venture capitalists continue to reshape and even disrupt global pharmaceutical investments for both better healthspan and longer lifespan.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/41KDNLp

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/today-tech-titans-reshape-global-pharmaceutical-investments-for-both-better-healthspan-and-longer-lifespan/

Artificial intelligence continues to reshape the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4hBVimM

The global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss treatments now grows substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4bz6vmI

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3F1fpgN

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

Geopolitical alignment often reshapes and reinforces asset market fragmentation in the broader context of financial deglobalization.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZpGMcD

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/geopolitical-alignment-often-reshapes-and-reinforces-asset-market-fragmentation-in-the-broader-context-of-financial-deglobalization/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/47pDk3z

The new homeland industrial policy stance tilts toward greater global resilience across the major high-tech supply chains worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3B6xY12

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-current-homeland-industrial-policy-stance-worldwide-seeks-to-embed-the-new-notion-of-global-resilience-into-economic-statecraft/

China poses new threats to the U.S. and its western allies.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XGWrD1

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/china-poses-new-economic-technological-and-military-threats-to-the-us-and-western-allies/

How can generative AI tools and LLMs help enhance human productivity?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4elAFKv

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/generative-artificial-intelligence-uses-large-language-models-and-content-generation-tools-to-enhance-human-productivity/

What are the macrofinancial ripple effects of central bank digital currency (CBDC) design, issuance, and broad user adoption?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XNMwM8

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-should-shape-cbdc-design-features-and-functions-to-reduce-any-adverse-impact-on-bank-intermediation/

Both BYD and Tesla have become serious global manufacturers of electric vehicles (EV) worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3BgL0sL

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-technological-advances-in-the-global-auto-industry/

The global market for GLP-1 weight-loss medications can grow substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030. - Blog - AYA fintech network platform provides proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools for stock market investors.

The global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss medications remains in a rare unique situation ...

https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

Comment

Chanel Holden

2025-05-01 11:08:03

Bullish

Quantitative fundamental analysis

Our latest podcast deep-dives into the technological advancements in cloud services. The global cloud infrastructure helps accelerate the next high-tech revolutions in electric vehicles (EV), virtual reality (VR) headsets, artificial intelligence (AI) online services, and the metaverse.

$META $AAPL $MSFT $AMZN $GOOG $GOOGL $NVDA $TSLA $TSM $ARM $QCOM $AVGO $AMD $IONQ

$ASML $CSCO $SNPS $IBM $NET $CRWD $SNOW $COST $WMT $TGT $HD $PG $V $MA $AXP $BABA

$BIDU $TME $JD $PDD $IQ $BILI $KKR $AMC $PARA $NFLX $DIS $WRB $PYPL $PLTR $ZIM $PFE $MRK

#size #value #momentum #profitability #assetgrowth #marketrisk #revenuegrowth #dividendyield #industry #rsi

#residualvariance #returnvariance #fibonacci #murphyrank #bollinger #shortreversal #longreversal #issuance

The original blog article is available on our AYA fintech network platform.

https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-cloud-infrastructure-helps-expand-what-can-be-made-digitally-viable-from-electric-vehicles-and-virtual-reality-headsets-to-artificial-intelligence-metaverse/

This fun podcast is about 10 minutes long (with smart AI podcast generation from Google NotebookLM). https://bit.ly/47pDk3z

The global market for mobile cloud telecommunication continues to expand into a widespread economic phenomenon. Through the new mobile cloud infrastructure, the Internet broadens and deepens what can be made digitally feasible from virtual reality (VR) headsets and electric vehicles (EV) to artificial intelligence (AI) and the metaverse. In this positive light, the current cloud infrastructure can help facilitate a new wave of digital revolutions worldwide. Underneath all of these layers of cloud abstraction, the Internet infrastructure serves as the new foundation of our chosen digital future. In the broader context of digital technological advancements, we help demystify the physical building blocks of the cloud Internet infrastructure worldwide in order to explain how they mold, shape, expand, and constrain digital abstraction. Now many practical Internet uses multiply far beyond the original remit. Specifically, we delve into what the physical layers of cloud abstraction are likely to change for the Internet to remain sustainable both in the physical sense and in the wider sense of global environmental protection.

From the seabed across the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans to data centers in the key cities on the U.S. West Coast and the East Coast, the fiber-optic cables form the backbone of the physical Internet worldwide. Through the fiber-optic cables, almost all Internet traffic flows back and forth day in and day out. From Apple and Google to Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon, several tech titans vertically integrate the Internet by laying out fiber-optic cables, building out data centers in different countries, and further providing cloud services with AI search engines, robots, avatars, and virtual assistants. As the Internet becomes more powerful, it is vitally important for us to better understand its physical and corporate composition. Only by peeling back the multiple layers of digital abstraction can one lay bare the critical foundations of the new Internet. In the Internet, all technological advancements help support the next dual waves of both business model transformations and digital revolutions around the world. These advancements shine fresh light on how AI-driven cloud services help accelerate the new generation of disruptive innovations in trade, finance, and technology. Every new business can become an AI cloud service provider.

Below we provide hyperlinks to many other recent podcasts and articles on global macro-finance, asset return prediction, and fundamental industry analysis for stock market investors.

American exceptionalism often turns out to be the heuristic rule of thumb for better economic growth, low and stable inflation, full employment, and macro-financial stability.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4iuWuJ9

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/american-exceptionalism-turns-out-to-be-the-heuristic-rule-of-thumb-for-better-economic-growth-low-stable-inflation-full-employment-macro-financial-stability/

In the broader modern monetary policy context, central banks learn to weigh the trade-offs between output and inflation expectations and macro-financial stress conditions.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/42SwrXG

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-weigh-the-monetary-policy-trade-offs-between-output-inflation-and-macro-financial-stress-conditions/

Today, tech titans, billionaires, serial entrepreneurs, and venture capitalists continue to reshape and even disrupt global pharmaceutical investments for both better healthspan and longer lifespan.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/41KDNLp

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/today-tech-titans-reshape-global-pharmaceutical-investments-for-both-better-healthspan-and-longer-lifespan/

Artificial intelligence continues to reshape the current global market for better biotech advances, medical innovations, and healthcare services.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4hBVimM

The global market for GLP-1 anti-obesity weight-loss treatments now grows substantially to benefit more than 1 billion people worldwide by 2030.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4bz6vmI

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-global-market-for-GLP-1-weight-loss-medications-grows-substantially-to-benefit-1-billion-people-worldwide-by-2030/

Is higher stock market concentration good or bad for Corporate America?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3F1fpgN

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/is-higher-stock-market-concentration-good-or-bad-for-corporate-america/

Geopolitical alignment often reshapes and reinforces asset market fragmentation in the broader context of financial deglobalization.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3ZpGMcD

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/geopolitical-alignment-often-reshapes-and-reinforces-asset-market-fragmentation-in-the-broader-context-of-financial-deglobalization/

Podcast: https://bit.ly/47pDk3z

The new homeland industrial policy stance tilts toward greater global resilience across the major high-tech supply chains worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3B6xY12

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/the-current-homeland-industrial-policy-stance-worldwide-seeks-to-embed-the-new-notion-of-global-resilience-into-economic-statecraft/

China poses new threats to the U.S. and its western allies.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XGWrD1

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/china-poses-new-economic-technological-and-military-threats-to-the-us-and-western-allies/

How can generative AI tools and LLMs help enhance human productivity?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/4elAFKv

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/generative-artificial-intelligence-uses-large-language-models-and-content-generation-tools-to-enhance-human-productivity/

What are the macrofinancial ripple effects of central bank digital currency (CBDC) design, issuance, and broad user adoption?

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3XNMwM8

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/central-banks-should-shape-cbdc-design-features-and-functions-to-reduce-any-adverse-impact-on-bank-intermediation/

Both BYD and Tesla have become serious global manufacturers of electric vehicles (EV) worldwide.

Podcast: https://bit.ly/3BgL0sL

Article: https://ayafintech.network/blog/mainstream-technological-advances-in-the-global-auto-industry/

The global cloud expands what can be made digitally viable from electric vehicles (EV) and virtual reality (VR) headsets to artificial intelligence (AI) and the metaverse. - Blog - AYA fintech network platform provides proprietary alpha stock signals and personal finance tools for stock market investors.

We help demystify the physical building blocks of the Internet infrastructure in order to explain ho...

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Walt Disney Company (The) Common Stock (NYSE:DIS)

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Peter Schuck analyzes U.S. government failures and structural problems in light of both institutions and incentives.

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Agile lean enterprises break down organizational silos to promote smart collaboration for better profitability and customer loyalty.

Yale economist Stephen Roach warns that America has much to lose from the current trade war with China for a few reasons.