2018-03-15 07:41:00 Thu ET
treasury deficit debt employment inflation interest rate macrofinance fiscal stimulus economic growth fiscal budget public finance treasury bond treasury yield sovereign debt sovereign wealth fund tax cuts government expenditures
The Trump administration's $1.5 trillion hefty tax cuts and $1 trillion infrastructure expenditures may speed up the Federal Reserve interest rate hike due to robust labor market growth. The U.S. economy adds more than 313,000 non-farm payroll jobs in early-2018. The stellar key labor market growth is stronger than most macro projections, and the U.S. unemployment rate stays at 4.1% or the lowest level in 17 years. Wages also grow at 2.6% and remain a few notches below the prior pace. Productive progress in U.S. employment and economic output continues without higher inflation near the 2% target. In accordance with most macro expectations, the Federal Reserve expects to raise interest rate 4 times in 2018 and maybe 3-4 times in 2019. The current neutral interest rate hike helps attain the congressional dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability.
Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell announces the new budget deal. This deal can be sustainable with $15 trillion national debt and $80-$95 billion budget deficit projections over the next 2 years. A key issue concerns how long Congress should raise the national debt limit, which the U.S. economy may hit as soon as April 2018. Republicans and Democrats still need to negotiate the exact parameters to reach bipartisan agreement.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2017-06-27 05:40:00 Tuesday ET
These famous quotes of self-made billionaires are inspirational words of wisdom on financial management, innovation, and entrepreneurship. For financial
2017-11-19 08:37:00 Sunday ET
In 2000, a former law professor at Harvard proposed establishing the Financial Product Safety Commission in order to protect consumer rights in the provisio
2019-08-02 17:39:00 Friday ET
The Phillips curve becomes the Phillips cloud with no inexorable trade-off between inflation and unemployment. Stanford finance professor John Cochrane disa
2018-08-03 07:33:00 Friday ET
President Trump escalates the current Sino-American trade war by imposing 25% tariffs on $200 billion Chinese imports. These tariffs encompass chemical prod
2018-03-07 07:34:00 Wednesday ET
President Trump tweets his key decision to oust State Secretary Rex Tillerson after several months of intense disagreement over diplomatic affairs. Trump so
2019-01-08 17:46:00 Tuesday ET
President Trump forces the Federal Reserve to normalize the current interest rate hike to signal its own monetary policy independence from the White House.