2018-03-15 07:41:00 Thu ET
treasury deficit debt employment inflation interest rate macrofinance fiscal stimulus economic growth fiscal budget public finance treasury bond treasury yield sovereign debt sovereign wealth fund tax cuts government expenditures
The Trump administration's $1.5 trillion hefty tax cuts and $1 trillion infrastructure expenditures may speed up the Federal Reserve interest rate hike due to robust labor market growth. The U.S. economy adds more than 313,000 non-farm payroll jobs in early-2018. The stellar key labor market growth is stronger than most macro projections, and the U.S. unemployment rate stays at 4.1% or the lowest level in 17 years. Wages also grow at 2.6% and remain a few notches below the prior pace. Productive progress in U.S. employment and economic output continues without higher inflation near the 2% target. In accordance with most macro expectations, the Federal Reserve expects to raise interest rate 4 times in 2018 and maybe 3-4 times in 2019. The current neutral interest rate hike helps attain the congressional dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability.
Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell announces the new budget deal. This deal can be sustainable with $15 trillion national debt and $80-$95 billion budget deficit projections over the next 2 years. A key issue concerns how long Congress should raise the national debt limit, which the U.S. economy may hit as soon as April 2018. Republicans and Democrats still need to negotiate the exact parameters to reach bipartisan agreement.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2023-03-28 11:30:00 Tuesday ET
The Federal Reserve System conducts monetary policy decisions, interest rate adjustments, and inter-bank payment operations. Peter Conti-Brown (2017)
2017-04-01 06:40:00 Saturday ET
With the current interest rate hike, large banks and insurance companies are likely to benefit from higher equity risk premiums and interest rate spreads.
2018-09-27 11:41:00 Thursday ET
Michael Kors pays $2.3 billion to acquire the Italian elite fashion brand Versace. In accordance with Michael Kors's 5-year plan, the joint company grow
2022-02-05 09:26:00 Saturday ET
Modern themes and insights in behavioral finance Shiller, R.J. (2003). From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance. Journal of Economi
2022-02-15 14:41:00 Tuesday ET
Modern themes and insights in behavioral finance Lee, C.M., Shleifer, A., and Thaler, R.H. (1990). Anomalies: closed-end mutual funds. Journal
2019-06-05 10:34:00 Wednesday ET
Fed Chair Jay Powell suggests that the recent surge in U.S. business debt poses moderate risks to the economy. Many corporate treasuries now carry about 40%