2018-03-15 07:41:00 Thu ET
treasury deficit debt employment inflation interest rate macrofinance fiscal stimulus economic growth fiscal budget public finance treasury bond treasury yield sovereign debt sovereign wealth fund tax cuts government expenditures
The Trump administration's $1.5 trillion hefty tax cuts and $1 trillion infrastructure expenditures may speed up the Federal Reserve interest rate hike due to robust labor market growth. The U.S. economy adds more than 313,000 non-farm payroll jobs in early-2018. The stellar key labor market growth is stronger than most macro projections, and the U.S. unemployment rate stays at 4.1% or the lowest level in 17 years. Wages also grow at 2.6% and remain a few notches below the prior pace. Productive progress in U.S. employment and economic output continues without higher inflation near the 2% target. In accordance with most macro expectations, the Federal Reserve expects to raise interest rate 4 times in 2018 and maybe 3-4 times in 2019. The current neutral interest rate hike helps attain the congressional dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability.
Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell announces the new budget deal. This deal can be sustainable with $15 trillion national debt and $80-$95 billion budget deficit projections over the next 2 years. A key issue concerns how long Congress should raise the national debt limit, which the U.S. economy may hit as soon as April 2018. Republicans and Democrats still need to negotiate the exact parameters to reach bipartisan agreement.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2022-02-22 09:30:00 Tuesday ET
The global asset management industry is central to modern capitalism. Mutual funds, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, endowment trusts, and asset ma
2022-09-15 11:38:00 Thursday ET
Capital structure choices for private firms The Kauffman Firm Survey (KFS) database provides comprehensive panel data on 5,000+ American private firms fr
2019-01-12 10:33:00 Saturday ET
With majority control, House Democrats pass 2 bills to reopen the U.S. government without funding the Trump border wall. President Trump makes a surprise Wh
2018-04-26 07:37:00 Thursday ET
Credit supply growth drives business cycle fluctuations and often sows the seeds of their own subsequent destruction. The global financial crisis from 2008
2022-02-05 09:26:00 Saturday ET
Modern themes and insights in behavioral finance Shiller, R.J. (2003). From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance. Journal of Economi
2023-07-21 10:30:00 Friday ET
Joseph Stiglitz and Andrew Charlton suggest that free trade helps promote better economic development worldwide. Joseph Stiglitz and Andrew Charlton (200