The OECD projects global growth to decline from 3.2% to 2.9% in the current fiscal year 2019-2020.

Rose Prince

2019-10-29 13:36:00 Tue ET

The OECD projects global growth to decline from 3.2% to 2.9% in the current fiscal year 2019-2020. This global economic growth projection represents the slowest in a decade amid substantial economic policy uncertainty due to Sino-American trade conflict resolution, Brexit, and geopolitical risks and military confrontations in East Asia and some middle east countries such as Iran and Saudi Arabia etc. A major deterioration in global economic prognosis echoes similar concerns that monetary policymakers share in the period from the Jackson Hole summit to the recent U.S. FOMC press release.

As most central banks institute dovish interest rate cuts worldwide, monetary policy institutions may lack the important key levers and instruments to cope with the next global economic recession. As a Paris institution, the OECD further warns that a no-deal Brexit would likely push the U.K. economy into an economic recession due to both trade retrenchment and foreign capital exodus. Several OECD countries need to introduce fiscal stimulus from aggressive tax credits to fresh infrastructure expenditures in order to revive their economic prospects. These global economic developments can cause adverse ripple effects on exchange rate stabilization and asset price normalization for gold, oil, and other commodities.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Many successful business organizations develop their distinctive capabilities and unique value propositions for strategic reasons.

Jacob Miramar

2020-09-17 12:28:00 Thursday ET

Many successful business organizations develop their distinctive capabilities and unique value propositions for strategic reasons.

Many successful business organizations develop their distinctive capabilities and unique value propositions for strategic reasons. Paul Leinwand and Cesa

+See More

Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius proposes designing a new Financial Conditions Index (FCI).

Chanel Holden

2018-07-19 18:38:00 Thursday ET

Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius proposes designing a new Financial Conditions Index (FCI).

Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius proposes designing a new Financial Conditions Index (FCI) to be a weighted-average of interest rates, exchange rat

+See More

Ray Fair applies his macroeconometric model to study the central features of the U.S. macroeconomy such as price stability and full employment in the dual mandate.

Charlene Vos

2023-07-14 10:32:00 Friday ET

Ray Fair applies his macroeconometric model to study the central features of the U.S. macroeconomy such as price stability and full employment in the dual mandate.

Ray Fair applies his macroeconometric model to study the central features of the U.S. macroeconomy such as price stability and full employment in the dual m

+See More

Harvard macrofinance professor Robert Barro sees no good reasons for the recent sudden reversal of U.S. monetary policy normalization.

Laura Hermes

2019-09-09 20:38:00 Monday ET

Harvard macrofinance professor Robert Barro sees no good reasons for the recent sudden reversal of U.S. monetary policy normalization.

Harvard macrofinance professor Robert Barro sees no good reasons for the recent sudden reversal of U.S. monetary policy normalization. As Federal Reserve Ch

+See More

Several feasible near-term reforms can substantially narrow the scope for global tax avoidance by closing information loopholes.

Apple Boston

2023-03-14 16:43:00 Tuesday ET

Several feasible near-term reforms can substantially narrow the scope for global tax avoidance by closing information loopholes.

Several feasible near-term reforms can substantially narrow the scope for global tax avoidance by closing information loopholes. Thomas Pogge and Krishen

+See More

We assess almost all aspects of the current global race toward artificial general intelligence (AGI) between both the U.S. and China.

Monica McNeil

2027-10-31 00:00:00 Sunday ET

We assess almost all aspects of the current global race toward artificial general intelligence (AGI) between both the U.S. and China.

In the technological race between the U.S. and China, America leads in some strategic sectors from AI large language models (LLM), graphics processing units

+See More