Former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan discerns asset bubbles in the American stock and bond markets in early-2018.

Jonah Whanau

2018-01-21 07:25:00 Sun ET

As he refrains from using the memorable phrase *irrational exuberance* to assess bullish investor sentiments, former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan discerns asset bubbles in the American stock and bond markets in early-2018. Despite the recent healthy fundamental recalibration, Greenspan warn of high U.S. stock indices from Dow and S&P 500 to NASDAQ and Fortune 500. Also, Greenspan points out that the current government bond yields hover not far from historically low thresholds. The latter may transform into potential U.S. bond yield curve inversion, which often signals the early dawn of an economic recession. This inversion correctly predicts U.S. economic downturns in all decades after the 1960s. As the Federal Reserve gradually normalizes and tightens its core monetary policy, interest rates continue to raise the relative likelihood of bond yield curve inversion. Greenspan shares his ingenious insight that higher long-term government bond yields may determine the extent and duration of bullish investor sentiments during the current interest rate hike. Whether the Trump team addresses the fiscal gap with $2 trillion government expenditures and $1.5 trillion tax cuts depends on the future U.S. real GDP growth trajectory. The Trump administration expects 3%-3.5% real GDP economic growth for this self-finance to trickle down to the typical American. Greenspan's prescient comments warn of the current fiscal shortfall that may fuel U.S. debt escalation as a proportion of total real GDP.


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Facebook have become the most valuable public companies in the world.

Olivia London

2017-05-13 07:28:00 Saturday ET

Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Facebook have become the most valuable public companies in the world.

America's Top 5 tech firms, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Facebook have become the most valuable publicly listed companies in the world. These

+See More

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin indicates that there is a good conceptual trade agreement between China and the U.S. in regard to intellectual property protection and enforcement.

James Campbell

2019-10-05 07:27:00 Saturday ET

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin indicates that there is a good conceptual trade agreement between China and the U.S. in regard to intellectual property protection and enforcement.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin indicates that there is a good conceptual trade agreement between China and the U.S. in regard to intellectual property pr

+See More

McKinsey Global Institute analyzes 315 U.S. cities in terms of how tech automation affects their workers in the next 10 years.

Dan Rochefort

2019-08-10 21:44:00 Saturday ET

McKinsey Global Institute analyzes 315 U.S. cities in terms of how tech automation affects their workers in the next 10 years.

McKinsey Global Institute analyzes 315 U.S. cities and 3,000 counties in terms of how tech automation affects their workers in the next 5 to 10 years. This

+See More

The U.S. greenback soars in value as the Federal Reserve continues its interest rate hike.

Daisy Harvey

2018-10-07 13:39:00 Sunday ET

The U.S. greenback soars in value as the Federal Reserve continues its interest rate hike.

The U.S. greenback soars in value as the Federal Reserve continues its interest rate hike. With impressive service-sector data and non-farm payroll wage gro

+See More

Mark Granovetter follows the key principles of modern economic sociology to analyze social relations and economic phenomena.

Charlene Vos

2023-02-21 08:27:00 Tuesday ET

Mark Granovetter follows the key principles of modern economic sociology to analyze social relations and economic phenomena.

Mark Granovetter follows the key principles of modern economic sociology to analyze social relations and economic phenomena. Mark Granovetter (2017) &

+See More

Business titans often step away from their urgent work, slow down, and invest in self-enrichment.

Laura Hermes

2017-12-23 10:40:00 Saturday ET

Business titans often step away from their urgent work, slow down, and invest in self-enrichment.

Despite having way more responsibility than anyone else, top business titans such as Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, and Oprah Winfrey often step away from

+See More