Former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan discerns asset bubbles in the American stock and bond markets in early-2018.

Jonah Whanau

2018-01-21 07:25:00 Sun ET

As he refrains from using the memorable phrase *irrational exuberance* to assess bullish investor sentiments, former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan discerns asset bubbles in the American stock and bond markets in early-2018. Despite the recent healthy fundamental recalibration, Greenspan warn of high U.S. stock indices from Dow and S&P 500 to NASDAQ and Fortune 500. Also, Greenspan points out that the current government bond yields hover not far from historically low thresholds. The latter may transform into potential U.S. bond yield curve inversion, which often signals the early dawn of an economic recession. This inversion correctly predicts U.S. economic downturns in all decades after the 1960s. As the Federal Reserve gradually normalizes and tightens its core monetary policy, interest rates continue to raise the relative likelihood of bond yield curve inversion. Greenspan shares his ingenious insight that higher long-term government bond yields may determine the extent and duration of bullish investor sentiments during the current interest rate hike. Whether the Trump team addresses the fiscal gap with $2 trillion government expenditures and $1.5 trillion tax cuts depends on the future U.S. real GDP growth trajectory. The Trump administration expects 3%-3.5% real GDP economic growth for this self-finance to trickle down to the typical American. Greenspan's prescient comments warn of the current fiscal shortfall that may fuel U.S. debt escalation as a proportion of total real GDP.


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

AYA finbuzz podcast offers fresh insights into the latest stock market topics, economic trends, and personal finance inspirations as of November 2019.

Daphne Basel

2019-11-26 11:30:00 Tuesday ET

AYA finbuzz podcast offers fresh insights into the latest stock market topics, economic trends, and personal finance inspirations as of November 2019.

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube November 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of November 2019: (1) The Trump adm

+See More

CBS and its special committee of independent directors have decided to sue the Redstone controlling shareholders.

Daisy Harvey

2018-05-09 08:31:00 Wednesday ET

CBS and its special committee of independent directors have decided to sue the Redstone controlling shareholders.

CBS and its special committee of independent directors have decided to sue the Redstone controlling shareholders because these directors might have breached

+See More

President Trump supports a bipartisan bill or the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act.

Charlene Vos

2018-07-21 13:35:00 Saturday ET

President Trump supports a bipartisan bill or the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act.

President Trump supports a bipartisan bill or the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act (FIRRMA), which effectively broadens the jurisdiction of

+See More

Product market competition and online ecommerce help constrain money supply growth with low inflation.

Peter Prince

2019-09-25 15:33:00 Wednesday ET

Product market competition and online ecommerce help constrain money supply growth with low inflation.

Product market competition and online e-commerce help constrain money supply growth with low inflation. Key e-commerce retailers such as Amazon, Alibaba, an

+See More

The Trump fiscal trifecta of lower income taxation, new infrastructure, and deregulation has yet to run its natural course.

Becky Berkman

2017-04-25 06:35:00 Tuesday ET

The Trump fiscal trifecta of lower income taxation, new infrastructure, and deregulation has yet to run its natural course.

This nice and clear infographic visualization helps us better decipher the main memes and themes of President Donald Trump's first 100 days in office.

+See More

PwC releases a new study of top innovators worldwide as of November 2018.

Daphne Basel

2018-11-07 08:30:00 Wednesday ET

PwC releases a new study of top innovators worldwide as of November 2018.

PwC releases a new study of top innovators worldwide as of November 2018. This study assesses the top 1,000 global companies that spend the most on R&D

+See More