2018-01-21 07:25:00 Sun ET
stock market competition macrofinance stock return s&p 500 financial crisis financial deregulation bank oligarchy systemic risk asset market stabilization asset price fluctuations regulation capital financial stability dodd-frank
As he refrains from using the memorable phrase *irrational exuberance* to assess bullish investor sentiments, former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan discerns asset bubbles in the American stock and bond markets in early-2018. Despite the recent healthy fundamental recalibration, Greenspan warn of high U.S. stock indices from Dow and S&P 500 to NASDAQ and Fortune 500. Also, Greenspan points out that the current government bond yields hover not far from historically low thresholds. The latter may transform into potential U.S. bond yield curve inversion, which often signals the early dawn of an economic recession. This inversion correctly predicts U.S. economic downturns in all decades after the 1960s. As the Federal Reserve gradually normalizes and tightens its core monetary policy, interest rates continue to raise the relative likelihood of bond yield curve inversion. Greenspan shares his ingenious insight that higher long-term government bond yields may determine the extent and duration of bullish investor sentiments during the current interest rate hike. Whether the Trump team addresses the fiscal gap with $2 trillion government expenditures and $1.5 trillion tax cuts depends on the future U.S. real GDP growth trajectory. The Trump administration expects 3%-3.5% real GDP economic growth for this self-finance to trickle down to the typical American. Greenspan's prescient comments warn of the current fiscal shortfall that may fuel U.S. debt escalation as a proportion of total real GDP.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2017-11-07 09:38:00 Tuesday ET

HPE CEO Meg Whitman has run both eBay and Hewlett Packard within Fortune 500 and now has decided to step down after her 6-year stint at the technology giant
2018-12-18 10:38:00 Tuesday ET

President Trump threatens to shut down the U.S. government in 2019 if Democrats refuse to help approve $5 billion public finance for the southern border wal
2023-11-07 11:31:00 Tuesday ET

Joel Mokyr suggests that economic growth arises from a change in cultural beliefs toward technological progress. Joel Mokyr (2018) A culture
2019-09-25 15:33:00 Wednesday ET

Product market competition and online e-commerce help constrain money supply growth with low inflation. Key e-commerce retailers such as Amazon, Alibaba, an
2016-10-19 00:00:00 Wednesday ET

India's equivalent to Warren Buffett in America, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, offers several key lessons for stock market investors: When the press o
2019-04-05 08:25:00 Friday ET

Warren Buffett places his $58 billion stock bets on Apple, American Express, and Goldman Sachs. Berkshire Hathaway owns $18 billion equity stakes in America