Federal Reserve's interest rate hike may lead to an economic recession as credit supply growth ebbs and flows through the business cycle.

Monica McNeil

2018-06-14 10:35:00 Thu ET

The Federal Reserve's current interest rate hike may lead to the next economic recession as credit supply growth ebbs and flows through the business cycle. All of the 35 U.S. large banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo pass the annual stress test and thus would be able to lend even under the grimmest economic conditions. During the Trump administration, the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve may roll back at least some of the Dodd-Frank rules and regulations.

These extreme economic conditions include 10% unemployment, a sharp decline in general house prices, and a severe recession in Europe and elsewhere. Even under these dire conditions, the big banks hold sufficient capital buffers that would exceed the financial-sector equity claims back in the years just before the Global Financial Crisis. The Federal Reserve retains the final veto power to restrict any dividend hikes or share repurchases that the banks may pursue in order to return cash distributions to their shareholders.

It is important for financial intermediaries to substantially increase their core equity capital buffers in order to safeguard against extreme losses that might arise in rare times of financial stress such as the Global Financial Crisis from 2008 to 2009.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

President Donald Trump delivers his first state-of-the-union address.

Daphne Basel

2018-01-29 07:38:00 Monday ET

President Donald Trump delivers his first state-of-the-union address.

President Donald Trump delivers his first state-of-the-union address. Several key highlights touch on economic issues from fiscal stimulus and trade protect

+See More

We assess how stablecoins and blockchains can combine to strengthen the U.S. Treasury bond market after the recent U.S. congressional passage of the GENIUS Act.

John Fourier

2027-07-31 13:25:00 Saturday ET

We assess how stablecoins and blockchains can combine to strengthen the U.S. Treasury bond market after the recent U.S. congressional passage of the GENIUS Act.

In the broader context of stablecoins for asset tokenization worldwide, many governments now seek to enter the global markets for stablecoins and other U.S.

+See More

U.S. inflation has become sustainably less than the 2% policy target in recent years.

Jonah Whanau

2019-08-03 09:28:00 Saturday ET

U.S. inflation has become sustainably less than the 2% policy target in recent years.

U.S. inflation has become sustainably less than the 2% policy target in recent years. As Harvard macro economist Robert Barro indicates, U.S. inflation has

+See More

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala is India's equivalent to Warren Buffett in America.

Jonah Whanau

2016-10-19 00:00:00 Wednesday ET

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala is India's equivalent to Warren Buffett in America.

India's equivalent to Warren Buffett in America, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, offers several key lessons for stock market investors: When the press o

+See More

Federal Reserve remains patient on future interest rate adjustments due to trade and fiscal budget negotiations.

Becky Berkman

2019-02-04 07:42:00 Monday ET

Federal Reserve remains patient on future interest rate adjustments due to trade and fiscal budget negotiations.

Federal Reserve remains patient on future interest rate adjustments due to global headwinds and impasses over American trade and fiscal budget negotiations.

+See More

A Harvard MBA graduate Camilo Maldonado shares several life lessons and wise insights into personal finance.

James Campbell

2019-05-17 15:24:00 Friday ET

A Harvard MBA graduate Camilo Maldonado shares several life lessons and wise insights into personal finance.

A Harvard MBA graduate Camilo Maldonado shares several life lessons and wise insights into personal finance. People can leverage stock market investments an

+See More