Federal Reserve's interest rate hike may lead to an economic recession as credit supply growth ebbs and flows through the business cycle.

Monica McNeil

2018-06-14 10:35:00 Thu ET

The Federal Reserve's current interest rate hike may lead to the next economic recession as credit supply growth ebbs and flows through the business cycle. All of the 35 U.S. large banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo pass the annual stress test and thus would be able to lend even under the grimmest economic conditions. During the Trump administration, the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve may roll back at least some of the Dodd-Frank rules and regulations.

These extreme economic conditions include 10% unemployment, a sharp decline in general house prices, and a severe recession in Europe and elsewhere. Even under these dire conditions, the big banks hold sufficient capital buffers that would exceed the financial-sector equity claims back in the years just before the Global Financial Crisis. The Federal Reserve retains the final veto power to restrict any dividend hikes or share repurchases that the banks may pursue in order to return cash distributions to their shareholders.

It is important for financial intermediaries to substantially increase their core equity capital buffers in order to safeguard against extreme losses that might arise in rare times of financial stress such as the Global Financial Crisis from 2008 to 2009.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Agile lean enterprises remain flexible and capable of reinvention in light of new megatrends such as digitization and servitization.

Amy Hamilton

2020-10-20 09:36:00 Tuesday ET

Agile lean enterprises remain flexible and capable of reinvention in light of new megatrends such as digitization and servitization.

Agile lean enterprises remain flexible and capable of reinvention in light of new megatrends such as digitization and servitization. Shane Cragun and Kat

+See More

Global economic uncertainty now lurks in a thick layer of mystery.

Jonah Whanau

2019-03-01 13:36:00 Friday ET

Global economic uncertainty now lurks in a thick layer of mystery.

Global economic uncertainty now lurks in a thick layer of mystery. This uncertainty arises from Sino-U.S. trade tension, Brexit fallout, monetary policy nor

+See More

It can be practical for the U.S. to impose the 2% Warren wealth tax on the rich.

Dan Rochefort

2019-02-03 13:39:00 Sunday ET

It can be practical for the U.S. to impose the 2% Warren wealth tax on the rich.

It can be practical for the U.S. to impose the 2% wealth tax on the rich. Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren proposes a 2% wealth tax on the richest Americ

+See More

Fed Chair Jerome Powell increases the neutral interest rate to a range of 1.5% to 1.75% in his debut press conference.

Chanel Holden

2018-03-21 06:32:00 Wednesday ET

Fed Chair Jerome Powell increases the neutral interest rate to a range of 1.5% to 1.75% in his debut press conference.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell increases the neutral interest rate to a range of 1.5% to 1.75% in his debut post-FOMC press conference. The Federal Reserve raises

+See More

What are the best online stock market investment tools?

Amy Hamilton

2021-07-07 05:22:00 Wednesday ET

What are the best online stock market investment tools?

What are the best online stock market investment tools? Stock trading has seen an explosion since the start of the pandemic. As people lost their jobs an

+See More

America and China cannot decouple decades of long-term collaboration in trade, finance, and technology.

Becky Berkman

2019-12-16 11:37:00 Monday ET

America and China cannot decouple decades of long-term collaboration in trade, finance, and technology.

America and China cannot decouple decades of long-term collaboration in trade, finance, and technology. In recent times, some economists claim that China ma

+See More