Allianz chairman Mohamed El-Erian bolsters a new American economic paradigm in lieu of the Washington consensus.

Apple Boston

2018-04-20 10:38:00 Fri ET

Allianz chairman Mohamed El-Erian bolsters a new American economic paradigm in lieu of the Washington consensus. The latter dominates the old school of thought prior to the Trump administration. Most key countries would benefit from embracing domestic deregulation and free trade and open cross-border capitalism. When the Washington consensus turns into blind faith, however, America suffers the major discontents of financial globalization such as subprime mortgage risks in the global financial crisis from 2008 to 2009.

Unemployment surges to unforeseen double digits, capital investment wanes, real productivity protracts, and U.S. residents reap lower disposable income.  Secular stagnation emerges from the worst-case scenario where the central bank hits the zero lower bound on interest rates to ease labor-market frictions, whereas, higher prices become inadvertent seigniorage taxes. Political polarization further deepens economic income and wealth inequality.

With socioeconomic advantages such as elite education and political clout, the rich become richer as most of their income and wealth would result from cash dividends and capital gains. El-Erian thus proposes his new consensus on fair trade, artificial intelligence, big data, and greater labor mobility. This new consensus better adapts to the current tech titan dominance in both American labor and capital markets.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Our fun podcasts deep-dive into the current global trends, topics, and issues in support of better stock market investment decisions.

Daphne Basel

2025-02-27 07:24:00 Thursday ET

Our fun podcasts deep-dive into the current global trends, topics, and issues in support of better stock market investment decisions.

Our AYA fun podcasts deep-dive into the current global trends, topics, and issues in macro finance, political economy, public policy, strategic management,

+See More

Snap cannot keep up with the Kardashians because its stock loses $1 billion market value after Kylie Jenner tweets about her decision to leave Snapchat.

Monica McNeil

2018-02-19 08:39:00 Monday ET

Snap cannot keep up with the Kardashians because its stock loses $1 billion market value after Kylie Jenner tweets about her decision to leave Snapchat.

Snap cannot keep up with the Kardashians because its stock loses market value 7% or $1 billion after Kylie Jenner tweets about her decision to leave Snapcha

+See More

Empirical tests of multi-factor models for asset return prediction

Apple Boston

2022-02-25 00:00:00 Friday ET

Empirical tests of multi-factor models for asset return prediction

Empirical tests of multi-factor models for asset return prediction  The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) of Sharpe (1964), Lintner (1965), and Bla

+See More

Income and wealth concentration follows the ebbs and flows of the business cycle in America.

Amy Hamilton

2019-04-23 19:45:00 Tuesday ET

Income and wealth concentration follows the ebbs and flows of the business cycle in America.

Income and wealth concentration follows the ebbs and flows of the business cycle in America. Economic inequality not only grows among people, but it also gr

+See More

The current Trump stock market rally has been impressive from November 2016 to October 2017.

John Fourier

2017-10-09 09:34:00 Monday ET

The current Trump stock market rally has been impressive from November 2016 to October 2017.

The current Trump stock market rally has been impressive from November 2016 to October 2017. S&P 500 has risen by 21.1% since the 2016 presidential elec

+See More

The Trump administration initiates a new investigation into China's abuse of American intellectual property.

Olivia London

2017-08-31 09:36:00 Thursday ET

The Trump administration initiates a new investigation into China's abuse of American intellectual property.

The Trump administration has initiated a new investigation into China's abuse of American intellectual property under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 19

+See More