Allianz chairman Mohamed El-Erian bolsters a new American economic paradigm in lieu of the Washington consensus.

Apple Boston

2018-04-20 10:38:00 Fri ET

Allianz chairman Mohamed El-Erian bolsters a new American economic paradigm in lieu of the Washington consensus. The latter dominates the old school of thought prior to the Trump administration. Most key countries would benefit from embracing domestic deregulation and free trade and open cross-border capitalism. When the Washington consensus turns into blind faith, however, America suffers the major discontents of financial globalization such as subprime mortgage risks in the global financial crisis from 2008 to 2009.

Unemployment surges to unforeseen double digits, capital investment wanes, real productivity protracts, and U.S. residents reap lower disposable income.  Secular stagnation emerges from the worst-case scenario where the central bank hits the zero lower bound on interest rates to ease labor-market frictions, whereas, higher prices become inadvertent seigniorage taxes. Political polarization further deepens economic income and wealth inequality.

With socioeconomic advantages such as elite education and political clout, the rich become richer as most of their income and wealth would result from cash dividends and capital gains. El-Erian thus proposes his new consensus on fair trade, artificial intelligence, big data, and greater labor mobility. This new consensus better adapts to the current tech titan dominance in both American labor and capital markets.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

European Central Bank designs its current monetary policy reaction function and interest rate forward guidance in response to low inflation.

Peter Prince

2019-04-11 07:35:00 Thursday ET

European Central Bank designs its current monetary policy reaction function and interest rate forward guidance in response to low inflation.

European Central Bank designs its current monetary policy reaction function and interest rate forward guidance in response to key delays in inflation conver

+See More

We assess non-bank financial institutions in the new world order of modern asset management.

Daisy Harvey

2028-01-31 11:29:00 Monday ET

We assess non-bank financial institutions in the new world order of modern asset management.

Today, the major passive index funds, private equity titans, hedge funds, and exchange funds etc combine to reshape Wall Street and several other global fin

+See More

The Federal Reserve proposes softening the Volcker rule that prevents banks from placing risky bets on securities with deposit finance.

James Campbell

2018-05-27 08:33:00 Sunday ET

The Federal Reserve proposes softening the Volcker rule that prevents banks from placing risky bets on securities with deposit finance.

The Federal Reserve proposes softening the Volcker rule that prevents banks from placing risky bets on securities with deposit finance. As part of the po

+See More

Former New York Times team journalist and Pulitzer Prize winner Charles Duhigg delves into how we can change our lives for the better by mastering our habits from day to day.

Monica McNeil

2025-06-05 00:00:00 Thursday ET

Former New York Times team journalist and Pulitzer Prize winner Charles Duhigg delves into how we can change our lives for the better by mastering our habits from day to day.

Former New York Times team journalist and Pulitzer Prize winner Charles Duhigg describes, discusses, and delves into how we can change our respective lives

+See More

The current AI-driven stock market rally may not be an asset bubble yet.

Laura Hermes

2027-04-30 12:31:00 Friday ET

The current AI-driven stock market rally may not be an asset bubble yet.

In recent years, the current AI-driven stock market rally may or may not turn out to be another major asset bubble in global human history. For the pract

+See More

Agile business firms beat the odds by building faster institutional reflexes to anticipate plausible economic scenarios.

Fiona Sydney

2020-09-03 10:26:00 Thursday ET

Agile business firms beat the odds by building faster institutional reflexes to anticipate plausible economic scenarios.

Agile business firms beat the odds by building faster institutional reflexes to anticipate plausible economic scenarios. Christopher Worley, Thomas Willi

+See More