Allianz chairman Mohamed El-Erian bolsters a new American economic paradigm in lieu of the Washington consensus.

Apple Boston

2018-04-20 10:38:00 Fri ET

Allianz chairman Mohamed El-Erian bolsters a new American economic paradigm in lieu of the Washington consensus. The latter dominates the old school of thought prior to the Trump administration. Most key countries would benefit from embracing domestic deregulation and free trade and open cross-border capitalism. When the Washington consensus turns into blind faith, however, America suffers the major discontents of financial globalization such as subprime mortgage risks in the global financial crisis from 2008 to 2009.

Unemployment surges to unforeseen double digits, capital investment wanes, real productivity protracts, and U.S. residents reap lower disposable income.  Secular stagnation emerges from the worst-case scenario where the central bank hits the zero lower bound on interest rates to ease labor-market frictions, whereas, higher prices become inadvertent seigniorage taxes. Political polarization further deepens economic income and wealth inequality.

With socioeconomic advantages such as elite education and political clout, the rich become richer as most of their income and wealth would result from cash dividends and capital gains. El-Erian thus proposes his new consensus on fair trade, artificial intelligence, big data, and greater labor mobility. This new consensus better adapts to the current tech titan dominance in both American labor and capital markets.

 


If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.

Blog+More

Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fundamental analysis of AT&T (U.S. stock symbol: $T).

Apple Boston

2025-10-05 17:31:00 Sunday ET

Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fundamental analysis of AT&T (U.S. stock symbol: $T).

Stock Synopsis: With a new Python program, we use, adapt, apply, and leverage each of the mainstream Gemini Gen AI models to conduct this comprehensive fund

+See More

Admitting China to the WTO seems ineffective in imparting economic freedom and democracy to the communist regime.

Dan Rochefort

2018-07-27 10:35:00 Friday ET

Admitting China to the WTO seems ineffective in imparting economic freedom and democracy to the communist regime.

Admitting China to the World Trade Organization (WTO) and other international activities seems ineffective in imparting economic freedom and democracy to th

+See More

The Sino-U.S. trade war may be the Thucydides trap or a clash of Caucasian and non-Caucasian civilizations.

Chanel Holden

2019-06-03 11:31:00 Monday ET

The Sino-U.S. trade war may be the Thucydides trap or a clash of Caucasian and non-Caucasian civilizations.

The Sino-U.S. trade war may be the Thucydides trap or a clash of Caucasian and non-Caucasian civilizations. The proverbial Thucydides trap refers to the his

+See More

Financial institutions benefit from higher equity risk premiums and interest rate spreads.

Charlene Vos

2017-04-01 06:40:00 Saturday ET

Financial institutions benefit from higher equity risk premiums and interest rate spreads.

With the current interest rate hike, large banks and insurance companies are likely to benefit from higher equity risk premiums and interest rate spreads.

+See More

Incoming New York Fed President John Williams suggests that it is about time to end forward guidance.

Becky Berkman

2018-05-13 08:33:00 Sunday ET

Incoming New York Fed President John Williams suggests that it is about time to end forward guidance.

Incoming New York Fed President John Williams suggests that it is about time to end forward guidance in order to stop holding the financial market's han

+See More

We share famous inspirational stock market quotes by Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, Benjamin Graham, and several others.

Laura Hermes

2018-08-31 08:42:00 Friday ET

We share famous inspirational stock market quotes by Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, Benjamin Graham, and several others.

We share several famous inspirational stock market quotes by Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Ben Franklin, Philip Fisher, and Michael Jensen.

+See More