2018-04-20 10:38:00 Fri ET
technology antitrust competition bilateral trade free trade fair trade trade agreement trade surplus trade deficit multilateralism neoliberalism world trade organization regulation public utility current account compliance
Allianz chairman Mohamed El-Erian bolsters a new American economic paradigm in lieu of the Washington consensus. The latter dominates the old school of thought prior to the Trump administration. Most key countries would benefit from embracing domestic deregulation and free trade and open cross-border capitalism. When the Washington consensus turns into blind faith, however, America suffers the major discontents of financial globalization such as subprime mortgage risks in the global financial crisis from 2008 to 2009.
Unemployment surges to unforeseen double digits, capital investment wanes, real productivity protracts, and U.S. residents reap lower disposable income. Secular stagnation emerges from the worst-case scenario where the central bank hits the zero lower bound on interest rates to ease labor-market frictions, whereas, higher prices become inadvertent seigniorage taxes. Political polarization further deepens economic income and wealth inequality.
With socioeconomic advantages such as elite education and political clout, the rich become richer as most of their income and wealth would result from cash dividends and capital gains. El-Erian thus proposes his new consensus on fair trade, artificial intelligence, big data, and greater labor mobility. This new consensus better adapts to the current tech titan dominance in both American labor and capital markets.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2022-10-15 09:34:00 Saturday ET
Internal capital markets and financial constraints Duchin (JF 2010) empirically finds that multidivisional firms with robust internal capital markets ret
2018-11-05 10:40:00 Monday ET
Former Fed Chair Janet Yellen worries about U.S. government debt accumulation, expects new interest rate increases, and warns of the next economic recession
2018-04-26 07:37:00 Thursday ET
Credit supply growth drives business cycle fluctuations and often sows the seeds of their own subsequent destruction. The global financial crisis from 2008
2023-08-07 12:29:00 Monday ET
Oxford macro professor Stephen Nickell and his co-authors delve into the trade-off between inflation and unemployment in the dual mandate of price stability
2018-12-23 13:39:00 Sunday ET
The House of Representatives considers a government expenditure bill with border wall finance and therefore sets up a shutdown stalemate with Senate. As fre
2019-05-05 10:34:00 Sunday ET
Former Vice President Joe Biden enters the next U.S. presidential race with many moderate-to-progressive policy proposals. At the age of 76, Biden stands ou