2019-08-20 07:33:00 Tue ET
federal reserve monetary policy treasury dollar employment inflation interest rate exchange rate macrofinance recession systemic risk economic growth central bank fomc greenback forward guidance euro capital global financial cycle credit cycle yield curve
The recent British pound depreciation is a big Brexit barometer. Britain appoints former London mayor and Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson as the prime minister. The Conservative Party selects Johnson as the successor to Theresa May to set the stage for fresh Brexit negotiations with the European Commission. This change hits the pound with volatile exchange rate gyrations. The British pound sinks to the new lowest level of US$1.24 in 2017-2019. Johnson advocates that he would be keen to force Brexit with or without a post-May deal on October 31, 2019, which is the latest deadline for Britain to depart the European Union. Alternatively, Britons might consider a second referendum on Brexit with the backstop agreement for free flows of goods between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic.
Most stock market analysts predict that leaving the European Union with no proper deal would plunge the U.K. into a deep economic recession due to Eurozone trade constraints and capital outflows. U.K. stock markets would fall 5% in light of a 2% decrease in economic output, and the pound would likely plummet 10%-13%. This prediction accords with what the U.K. Office for Budget Responsibility suggests in its recent report on the British economic outlook.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2018-01-23 06:38:00 Tuesday ET
Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, and JPMorgan Chase establish a new company to reduce U.S. employee health care costs in negotiations with drugmakers, doctors, a
2018-05-29 11:40:00 Tuesday ET
America and China, the modern world's most powerful nations may stumble into a **Thucydides trap** that Harvard professor and political scientist Graham
2018-03-17 09:35:00 Saturday ET
Facebook faces a major data breach by Cambridge Analytica that has harvested private information from more than 50 million Facebook users. In a Facebook pos
2023-11-07 11:31:00 Tuesday ET
Joel Mokyr suggests that economic growth arises from a change in cultural beliefs toward technological progress. Joel Mokyr (2018) A culture
2023-02-28 10:27:00 Tuesday ET
Basic income reforms can contribute to better health care, public infrastructure, education, technology, and residential protection. Philippe Van Parijs
2027-11-22 08:26:00 Monday ET
Our AYA fun podcasts deep-dive into the current global trends, topics, and issues in macro finance, political economy, public policy, strategic management,