2019-12-28 09:36:00 Sat ET
treasury deficit debt employment inflation interest rate macrofinance fiscal stimulus economic growth fiscal budget public finance treasury bond treasury yield sovereign debt sovereign wealth fund tax cuts government expenditures
Global debt surges to $250 trillion in the fiscal year 2019. The International Institute of Finance analytic report shows that both China and the U.S. account for at least 60% of this sharp increase in global debt. In particular, global public debt increases from $65 trillion to $70 trillion in 2019, and this increase arises primarily from the recent surge in U.S. federal debt. This latter public debt accumulation results from the recent Trump tax cuts and infrastructure expenditures.
Meanwhile, the current low-interest-rate environment makes it extremely easy for public corporations and sovereign wealth funds to borrow more money worldwide. Total government debt represents more than 2.5 times annual real GDP in China. Low long-run government bond yields and high corporate debt mountains continue to be red alerts for the next recession in several economies such as Britain, France, Germany, Japan, Italy, and Spain. The monetary authority cannot sustainably fund fiscal deficits via new public bond issuance without an eventual increase in money supply growth or price inflation. When push comes to shove, an inflationary shock above the 2% target may tilt the central bank response toward a hawkish monetary policy emphasis on price stabilization.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2020-09-15 08:38:00 Tuesday ET
Macro eigenvalue volatility helps predict some recent episodes of high economic policy uncertainty, recession risk, or rare events such as the recent rampan
2019-05-11 10:28:00 Saturday ET
The Trump administration still expects to reach a Sino-U.S. trade agreement with a better mechanism for intellectual property protection and enforcement. Pr
2025-01-31 09:26:00 Friday ET
The current homeland industrial policy stance worldwide seeks to embed the new notion of global resilience into economic statecraft. In the broader cont
2023-06-21 12:32:00 Wednesday ET
Michael Sandel analyzes what money cannot buy in stark contrast to the free market ideology of capitalism. Michael Sandel (2013) What money
2019-04-26 09:33:00 Friday ET
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon defends capitalism in his recent annual letter to shareholders. As Dimon explains here, socialism inevitably produces stagnat
2019-02-02 11:36:00 Saturday ET
The Trump administration teams up with western allies to bar HuaWei and other Chinese tech firms from building the 5G high-speed infrastructure due to natio