2019-12-28 09:36:00 Sat ET
treasury deficit debt employment inflation interest rate macrofinance fiscal stimulus economic growth fiscal budget public finance treasury bond treasury yield sovereign debt sovereign wealth fund tax cuts government expenditures
Global debt surges to $250 trillion in the fiscal year 2019. The International Institute of Finance analytic report shows that both China and the U.S. account for at least 60% of this sharp increase in global debt. In particular, global public debt increases from $65 trillion to $70 trillion in 2019, and this increase arises primarily from the recent surge in U.S. federal debt. This latter public debt accumulation results from the recent Trump tax cuts and infrastructure expenditures.
Meanwhile, the current low-interest-rate environment makes it extremely easy for public corporations and sovereign wealth funds to borrow more money worldwide. Total government debt represents more than 2.5 times annual real GDP in China. Low long-run government bond yields and high corporate debt mountains continue to be red alerts for the next recession in several economies such as Britain, France, Germany, Japan, Italy, and Spain. The monetary authority cannot sustainably fund fiscal deficits via new public bond issuance without an eventual increase in money supply growth or price inflation. When push comes to shove, an inflationary shock above the 2% target may tilt the central bank response toward a hawkish monetary policy emphasis on price stabilization.
If any of our AYA Analytica financial health memos (FHM), blog posts, ebooks, newsletters, and notifications etc, or any other form of online content curation, involves potential copyright concerns, please feel free to contact us at service@ayafintech.network so that we can remove relevant content in response to any such request within a reasonable time frame.
2019-08-31 14:39:00 Saturday ET

AYA Analytica finbuzz podcast channel on YouTube August 2019 In this podcast, we discuss several topical issues as of August 2019: (1) Warren B
2018-07-01 08:34:00 Sunday ET

Are China and Russia etc gonna dethrone the petrodollar? Over the years, China, Russia, France, Germany, and Japan have made numerous attempts to use their
2019-07-15 16:37:00 Monday ET

President of US-China Business Council Craig Allen states that a trade deal should be within reach if Trump and Xi show courage at G20. A landmark trade agr
2018-10-11 08:44:00 Thursday ET

Treasury bond yield curve inversion often signals the next economic recession in America. In fact, U.S. bond yield curve inversion correctly predicts the da
2020-09-15 08:38:00 Tuesday ET

Macro eigenvalue volatility helps predict some recent episodes of high economic policy uncertainty, recession risk, or rare events such as the recent rampan
2018-03-21 06:32:00 Wednesday ET

Fed Chair Jerome Powell increases the neutral interest rate to a range of 1.5% to 1.75% in his debut post-FOMC press conference. The Federal Reserve raises